http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...ama_vs_mccain/
Click on the link, and click on any state to credit it to McCain or Obama.
I have it Obama 338, McCain 200. I'm not predicting a landslide. The popular vote will be pretty close. Of the states considered tossups I give McCain Montana, North Dakota, Arizona, Missouri, Georgia, Indiana, and North Carolina.
I give Obama Ohio, Virginia and Florida.
For McCain to win, he would need to sweep the tossup states, and get Pennsylvania. Not impossible, but the odds are pretty long.