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  1. #1
    Fact Rat HOFer Patler's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bretsky View Post
    I think RDN is a great spec play with nice upside; huge provider of PMI. Rules...ratios tightening...with improved housing market it's one to ponder. Anybody else want to bring a few stocks to the table. This was the last one I bought as just shy of 12; hopefully I don't lose my @ss
    Radian Group Inc.?

    Took a quick look. They have missed earning estimates for the last six quarters. It looks like they have missed significantly, too. Negative earnings since Q3 2011. Yet, a year ago it was a $4 stock, now $12. Not sure why. Usually companies that miss estimates badly suffer in the market, especially when they do it for a year and a half.

    What's their story? Might they be primed for a price collapse?
    Last edited by Patler; 06-13-2013 at 12:24 PM.

  2. #2
    Anti Homer Rat HOFer Bretsky's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Patler View Post
    Radian Group Inc.?

    Took a quick look. They have missed earning estimates for the last six quarters. It looks like they have missed significantly, too. Negative earnings since Q3 2011. Yet, a year ago it was a $4 stock, now $12. Not sure why. Usually companies that miss estimates badly suffer in the market, especially when they do it for a year and a half.

    What's their story? Might they be primed for a price collapse?
    You have to buy into the story and the recovery of the housing market to be in a believer of RDN. It's the largest provider of PMI out there. They are cleaning up their books and the regulations for getting homes with PMI and tightening and things will be getting more conservative in 2014 as well for homebuyers. I have been looking at RDN and Genworth as two potential ways to benefit form the improved housing market. I think RDN is more speculative but also more of a gamble. I am looking forward to taking a very close look at their next earnings report.
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