Analytics and the Draft: What they think we should know https://statsbylopez.com/2016/05/02/...stand-in-2016/

1. In an efficient market, trading of draft picks would yield similar value. In fact, the team that trades down and gets more picks is more successful. Lesson: don't trade up, trade down.

2. Top picks in the draft are more expensive but yield less ROI. Best spot is end of first, beginning of second. Though new CBA has lessened this.

3. Success in drafting players is not sustained year over year. Meaning its largely luck and guesswork.

4. Sunk cost fallacy makes evaluation of results problematic. Round 1 picks receive much more playing time than other players, regardless of performance. However, some positions (O Line) are tough to measure.