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  1. #1
    vince, can you post the link or the Game Finder settings you used to get those lists? Having trouble duplicating.
    Bud Adams told me the franchise he admired the most was the Kansas City Chiefs. Then he asked for more hookers and blow.

  2. #2
    Legendary Rat HOFer vince's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by pbmax View Post
    vince, can you post the link or the Game Finder settings you used to get those lists? Having trouble duplicating.
    Total games toggle at the top and at the bottom of the selection set of the first Additional Criteria are the "Halftime score margin" and "Score margin after 3 q" for each query, each set to greater than or equal to 1 obviously. The others like year range, all teams etc. I'm sure you'll find obvious.

    Description reads:
    Current search:
    In multiple seasons, from 2006 to 2016, requiring Score margin after 3 Qtrs >= 1, sorted by most games matching criteria

  3. #3
    Well, we may have to give Vince and pugger (and Beveraux?) a medal because if you take vince's search and make some changes, its clear we are talking about less than a handful of games where the situations we describe here make a difference.

    If you look at just playoff games, there are 2 games you might remember:
    Code:
                                                                      
                                                                      
    Rk                     Tm From   To  W  L T  W-L%            Count
    1          Denver Broncos 2011 2015  5  0 0 1.000     5 Ind. Games
    2       Arizona Cardinals 2008 2009  4  0 0 1.000     4 Ind. Games
    3      New Orleans Saints 2006 2013  4  0 0 1.000     4 Ind. Games
    4         New York Giants 2007 2011  4  0 0 1.000     4 Ind. Games
    5       Carolina Panthers 2014 2015  3  0 0 1.000     3 Ind. Games
    6     Philadelphia Eagles 2006 2008  3  0 0 1.000     3 Ind. Games
    7           Chicago Bears 2006 2010  2  0 0 1.000     2 Ind. Games
    8          Houston Texans 2011 2012  2  0 0 1.000     2 Ind. Games
    9           New York Jets 2009 2010  2  0 0 1.000     2 Ind. Games
    10   Jacksonville Jaguars 2007 2007  1  0 0 1.000     1 Ind. Games
    11       Baltimore Ravens 2008 2014  8  1 0 0.889     9 Ind. Games
    12    Pittsburgh Steelers 2008 2015  5  1 0 0.833     6 Ind. Games
    13      Green Bay Packers 2007 2015  7  2 0 0.778     9 Ind. Games
    14   New England Patriots 2006 2015  8  3 0 0.727    11 Ind. Games
    15       Seattle Seahawks 2006 2014  5  2 0 0.714     7 Ind. Games
    16     Indianapolis Colts 2006 2014  7  3 0 0.700    10 Ind. Games
    17    San Francisco 49ers 2011 2013  4  2 0 0.667     6 Ind. Games
    18     San Diego Chargers 2006 2013  3  2 0 0.600     5 Ind. Games
    19        Atlanta Falcons 2012 2012  1  1 0 0.500     2 Ind. Games
    20     Kansas City Chiefs 2013 2015  1  1 0 0.500     2 Ind. Games
    21      Minnesota Vikings 2009 2015  1  1 0 0.500     2 Ind. Games
    22         Dallas Cowboys 2006 2014  1  3 0 0.250     4 Ind. Games
    23          Detroit Lions 2014 2014  0  1 0 0.000     1 Ind. Games
    24    Washington Redskins 2012 2012  0  1 0 0.000     1 Ind. Games
                        Total 2006 2015 81 24 0  .771              105
    Provided by Pro-Football-Reference.com: View Original Table
    Generated 9/30/2016.

    The Packers list is this:
    Code:
                                                                                                                 
                                                                                                  Pass       Marg
    Rk    Tm Year       Date Time    LTime Opp Week G# Day  Result   OT Cmp Att Cmp% Yds TD Int Sk Yds   Q1 Q2 Q3
    1    GNB 2007 2008-01-12 4:33     3:33 SEA   19 17 Sat      W 42-20  18  23 78.3 173  3   0  1   0    0 11 15
    2    GNB 2010 2011-01-09 4:40     4:40 PHI   18 17 Sun      W 21-16  18  27 66.7 171  3   0  2   9    7 11 11
    3    GNB 2010 2011-01-15 8:15     8:15 ATL   19 18 Sat      W 48-21  31  36 86.1 346  3   0  2  20   -7 14 28
    4    GNB 2010 2011-02-06 6:34 5:34   N PIT   21 20 Sun      W 31-25  24  39 61.5 288  3   0  3  16   14 11  4
    5    GNB 2015 2016-01-10 4:42     4:42 WAS   18 17 Sun      W 35-18  21  36 58.3 205  2   0  1   5   -5  6  6
    6    GNB 2015 2016-01-16 8:15     6:15 ARI   19 18 Sat L 20-26   OT  24  44 54.5 251  2   1  1  10   -7 -1  3
    7    GNB 2012 2013-01-05 8:09     7:09 MIN   18 17 Sat      W 24-10  23  33 69.7 250  1   0  3  24    4 14 21
    8    GNB 2014 2015-01-18 3:06    12:06 SEA   20 18 Sun L 22-28   OT  19  34 55.9 171  1   2  1   7   13 16  9
    9    GNB 2010 2011-01-23 3:05     2:05 CHI   20 19 Sun      W 21-14  17  30 56.7 236  0   2  1   8    7 14 14
    Provided by Pro-Football-Reference.com: View Original Table
    Generated 9/30/2016.
    Bud Adams told me the franchise he admired the most was the Kansas City Chiefs. Then he asked for more hookers and blow.

  4. #4
    OK, different question, what about trailing at 3 Quarters?

    Code:
                                                                         
                                                                         
    Rk                     Tm From   To   W    L T  W-L%            Count
    1        Cleveland Browns 2006 2015   3   48 0 0.059    51 Ind. Games
    2         New York Giants 2006 2015   9   40 0 0.184    49 Ind. Games
    3          St. Louis Rams 2006 2015   2   47 0 0.041    49 Ind. Games
    4          Houston Texans 2006 2015   6   42 0 0.125    48 Ind. Games
    5         Oakland Raiders 2006 2015   3   45 0 0.063    48 Ind. Games
    6    Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2006 2015   3   45 0 0.063    48 Ind. Games
    7    Jacksonville Jaguars 2006 2015   2   45 0 0.043    47 Ind. Games
    8      Cincinnati Bengals 2006 2015   4   41 1 0.098    46 Ind. Games
    9        Tennessee Titans 2006 2015   6   40 0 0.130    46 Ind. Games
    10        Atlanta Falcons 2006 2015   5   40 0 0.111    45 Ind. Games
    11          Buffalo Bills 2006 2015   3   42 0 0.067    45 Ind. Games
    12          Detroit Lions 2006 2015   2   42 0 0.045    44 Ind. Games
    13          Chicago Bears 2006 2015   5   37 0 0.119    42 Ind. Games
    14      Minnesota Vikings 2006 2015   1   41 0 0.024    42 Ind. Games
    15      Arizona Cardinals 2006 2015   3   38 0 0.073    41 Ind. Games
    16      Carolina Panthers 2006 2015   3   35 0 0.079    38 Ind. Games
    17    San Francisco 49ers 2006 2015   3   35 0 0.079    38 Ind. Games
    18         Denver Broncos 2006 2015   6   31 0 0.162    37 Ind. Games
    19     Kansas City Chiefs 2006 2015   1   36 0 0.027    37 Ind. Games
    20     San Diego Chargers 2006 2015   5   32 0 0.135    37 Ind. Games
    21       Seattle Seahawks 2006 2015   8   29 0 0.216    37 Ind. Games
    22         Miami Dolphins 2006 2015   4   32 0 0.111    36 Ind. Games
    23          New York Jets 2006 2015   2   34 0 0.056    36 Ind. Games
    24       Baltimore Ravens 2006 2015   3   33 0 0.083    36 Ind. Games
    25    Washington Redskins 2006 2015   3   33 0 0.083    36 Ind. Games
    26         Dallas Cowboys 2006 2015   5   30 0 0.143    35 Ind. Games
    27     New Orleans Saints 2006 2015   4   31 0 0.114    35 Ind. Games
    28    Philadelphia Eagles 2006 2015   1   32 0 0.030    33 Ind. Games
    29     Indianapolis Colts 2006 2015   7   25 0 0.219    32 Ind. Games
    30    Pittsburgh Steelers 2006 2015   5   27 0 0.156    32 Ind. Games
    31      Green Bay Packers 2006 2015   4   26 0 0.133    30 Ind. Games
    32   New England Patriots 2006 2015   8   20 0 0.286    28 Ind. Games
                        Total 2006 2015 129 1154 1  .101             1284
    Provided by Pro-Football-Reference.com: View Original Table
    Generated 9/30/2016.
    Bud Adams told me the franchise he admired the most was the Kansas City Chiefs. Then he asked for more hookers and blow.

  5. #5
    Hard to believe he couldn't have swapped in a short yardage play with two TEs and two WRs. Roll Rodgers right with the weak-side TE going that way and then he has multiple options. Whatever, we now know with utmost certainty that overtime in postseason is instant death for the Packers.

  6. #6
    Quote Originally Posted by hoosier View Post
    Hard to believe he couldn't have swapped in a short yardage play with two TEs and two WRs. Roll Rodgers right with the weak-side TE going that way and then he has multiple options. Whatever, we now know with utmost certainty that overtime in postseason is instant death for the Packers.
    Stubby don't think on the fly.

  7. #7
    Barbershop Rat HOFer Pugger's Avatar
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    Like I said earlier - had MM gone for 2 and we didn't get it you guys would bitched about that. Mike went with the percentages and the tie to try and win it in OT. Who knew our ST and defense couldn't stop Fitzgerald and our offense yet again never saw the damn ball in OT. Besides - who here really thought if we had won that game would we have gone to Charlotte and beaten the Panthers the following week? Or beaten Denver in the SB? This is ancient history. It is way past time to move on from this, gentlemen.

  8. #8
    Quote Originally Posted by Pugger View Post
    Like I said earlier - had MM gone for 2 and we didn't get it you guys would bitched about that. Mike went with the percentages and the tie to try and win it in OT. Who knew our ST and defense couldn't stop Fitzgerald and our offense yet again never saw the damn ball in OT. Besides - who here really thought if we had won that game would we have gone to Charlotte and beaten the Panthers the following week? Or beaten Denver in the SB? This is ancient history. It is way past time to move on from this, gentlemen.
    That's the lie. That wasn't the percentage play.

    How does the offense, which cannot run a 2 pt play because Janis is injured, score in OT? Was Mr. Miyagi with Janis on the sideline and just needed time? Did McCarthy have a special OT touchdown play on the chart for 2 TE and 2 RB?

    I would also like someone who believes McCarthy is correct to run more to protect his defense, defend sending the defense out there again to stop the best NFC offense of 2015?

    It too TWO hail marys to climb back into the game. Who was going to deliver another in OT?
    Bud Adams told me the franchise he admired the most was the Kansas City Chiefs. Then he asked for more hookers and blow.

  9. #9
    NFL Coaches Are Getting Away With Crimes Against Middle-School Math | FiveThirtyEight
    According to 538's math, the Packers would have had about a 48.8% chance of winning had they gone for two after the Aaron Rodgers-Jeff Janis hail mary, but just a 40.9% chance of winning if they tried for overtime. This isn't as significant as the Chiefs, who kicked a PAT to go down seven late in the game in New England, which as you'll see is about a 15% swing.
    http://www.acmepackingcompany.com/20...e-gone-for-two
    Bud Adams told me the franchise he admired the most was the Kansas City Chiefs. Then he asked for more hookers and blow.

  10. #10
    Fact Rat HOFer Patler's Avatar
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    I agree with Pugger. I've been here long enough to know the criticisms that would have followed had he gone for two and lost.
    - why pin your season on a single play with your entire receiving corp on the sideline?
    - it's dumb to go for two without the personnel that have practiced the two point offense.
    - if you take the sure tie, anything can happen in OT, ST score, D score, doesn't have to be the offense.
    - GB already had two interceptions, OT could have brought another.

  11. #11
    Quote Originally Posted by Patler View Post
    I agree with Pugger. I've been here long enough to know the criticisms that would have followed had he gone for two and lost.
    - why pin your season on a single play with your entire receiving corp on the sideline?
    - it's dumb to go for two without the personnel that have practiced the two point offense.
    - if you take the sure tie, anything can happen in OT, ST score, D score, doesn't have to be the offense.
    - GB already had two interceptions, OT could have brought another.
    Agree completely. Very good points.

    Also, MM had to make this decision within... what? 15-20 seconds of the TD being scored?

    If you just get told you don't have enough WRs to run your 2pt play and need to decide what to do within 20 seconds of course the smart thing is to just kick the extra point and live another down.
    I am better looking than you.

  12. #12
    Fact Rat HOFer Patler's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by arcilite View Post
    Agree completely. Very good points.

    Also, MM had to make this decision within... what? 15-20 seconds of the TD being scored?

    If you just get told you don't have enough WRs to run your 2pt play and need to decide what to do within 20 seconds of course the smart thing is to just kick the extra point and live another down.
    One has to wonder if he could have processed the fact that his set two point package wasn't available, decided on what plays to use instead, gotten the message out to the assistants to get the correct players on the field and communicated the play selection to Rodgers in the time allowed.

  13. #13
    Quote Originally Posted by Patler View Post
    One has to wonder if he could have processed the fact that his set two point package wasn't available, decided on what plays to use instead, gotten the message out to the assistants to get the correct players on the field and communicated the play selection to Rodgers in the time allowed.
    If Michael James Liam Daniel McCarthy's approach to game management includes making ALL the complex calculations between plays without a timeout, then he needs to be removed from the job immediately. This board is now taking an excuse made in the offseason and now ret-conning into a coaching philosophy.

    Here is a partial list of things he knew before Janis got hurt.

    1. His WR group was thin already. Adams got hurt versus Washington and was not expected to play (this was reported by Tuesday of the week prior to game). Jones was banged up from midseason on. Cobb got hurt in the first quarter and left the game. He played Abby and Janis for most of the game.

    2. Having one 2 point play is so dumb, I refuse to believe its his actual approach. While I have disagreements about his methods, I don't think he is this short sighted. Did he have just one goal line play?

    3. The ENTIRE GAME was within one score at all times. That makes 2 point conversions an important consideration during the entire game. Especially the entire fourth quarter when you are trailing by conventional scores (3 or 7 points) and have a sputtering offense.

    4. McCarty had the 2 minute warning (right before the FG that made it a seven point game) prior to their last drive. Cardinals took a TO at 00:55 seconds remaining.

    A coach with a compromised WR position and no depth, had ALL WEEK to prepare more than one 2 pt conversion play and failed to anticipate that this single point of failure was perhaps unwise. It literally should be a weekly part of his preparation that he has more than one go to play in case of emergency that involves multiple personnel groups. McCarthy is so keen on his prep that I cannot imagine he doesn't have this on his chart.

    Janis being hurt means Janis might not be able to play the rest of the game. There is no benefit to extending the game in that case. This is the part that kills me. McCarthy doesn't have a full report on player health AFTER the game. But he knows Janis will come back after the PAT and a kickoff have passed?

    His offense was putrid in that game. He knew this when the final drive started and he was down seven. At a minimum, he or someone on his staff has the entire drive (and this does not include the calculation that could have been run while the Cardinals were on their previous possession) to find a play.
    Bud Adams told me the franchise he admired the most was the Kansas City Chiefs. Then he asked for more hookers and blow.

  14. #14
    Fact Rat HOFer Patler's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by pbmax View Post

    2. Having one 2 point play is so dumb, I refuse to believe its his actual approach. While I have disagreements about his methods, I don't think he is this short sighted. Did he have just one goal line play?
    Who said he only had one play?

  15. #15
    Despite all the emotion, there is a point buried here, that if true, points to some of his short comings in game management.

    If he really was all about that one play for a 2 point conversion, then Mike McCarthy as a coach is dependent entirely on the health of his squad to execute a game plan. Which means at the end of the game he could quite easily be lost without a path to turn to. And since he doesn't know how to take advantage of leverage except when in the lead, this would put him in a precarious position when behind late.

    I don't believe he had only the one play. But I might believe that he had one play he liked much better than the others.
    Bud Adams told me the franchise he admired the most was the Kansas City Chiefs. Then he asked for more hookers and blow.

  16. #16
    Senior Rat HOFer beveaux1's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by pbmax View Post
    Despite all the emotion, there is a point buried here, that if true, points to some of his short comings in game management.

    If he really was all about that one play for a 2 point conversion, then Mike McCarthy as a coach is dependent entirely on the health of his squad to execute a game plan. Which means at the end of the game he could quite easily be lost without a path to turn to. And since he doesn't know how to take advantage of leverage except when in the lead, this would put him in a precarious position when behind late.

    I don't believe he had only the one play. But I might believe that he had one play he liked much better than the others.
    I was not happy with the decision to kick the EP because I felt that we had a kind of momentum that comes with 2 successful Hail Marys, but I feel certain that there would have been as much criticism on this board from people who couldn't believe that he went for two with Janis out of the game and no viable replacement.

  17. #17
    Quote Originally Posted by Patler View Post
    One has to wonder if he could have processed the fact that his set two point package wasn't available, decided on what plays to use instead, gotten the message out to the assistants to get the correct players on the field and communicated the play selection to Rodgers in the time allowed.
    Belichick could have processed all that, drawn up ten NEW plays with the players available and had time to spare.

  18. #18
    Prescient Rat HOFer esoxx's Avatar
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    Stubby

  19. #19
    Senior Rat HOFer beveaux1's Avatar
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    They would have argued that our defense had kept us in the game to that point and we pinned all our hopes on one play with a beat up offense with no receivers.

  20. #20
    Quote Originally Posted by beveaux1 View Post
    I was not happy with the decision to kick the EP because I felt that we had a kind of momentum that comes with 2 successful Hail Marys, but I feel certain that there would have been as much criticism on this board from people who couldn't believe that he went for two with Janis out of the game and no viable replacement.
    Quote Originally Posted by beveaux1 View Post
    They would have argued that our defense had kept us in the game to that point and we pinned all our hopes on one play with a beat up offense with no receivers.
    Of course he could be criticized. Comes with the territory. But it must be a question about what gives you the best chance to win as a team.

    Bad offense from the 2.5 yard line > Bad offense from their own 20
    Bud Adams told me the franchise he admired the most was the Kansas City Chiefs. Then he asked for more hookers and blow.

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