Who's the Biggest Bust? 2017 Draft

[Upnorth]

Biegel is my biggest concern. But if a 4th rounder doesn't pan out is it really a bust? I think the expected starter rate of 4th rounds is less than 10% . So really a bust in the 4th round would really have to suck.
I guess then our only true bust potential would be king... which would really really really suck

[Guiness]

Since team wasn't specified I'm going with Trubisky. Bears gave up Sammy Watkins level picks there, and it will hurt them for a while if it doesn't pan out. Plus, they've got Glennon who's pretty pissed off about how this all fell out.

[MadScientist]

Since team wasn't specified I'm going with Trubisky. Bears gave up Sammy Watkins level picks there, and it will hurt them for a while if it doesn't pan out. Plus, they've got Glennon who's pretty pissed off about how this all fell out.

Cook for MN. So glad the Packers didn't take him. Injuries, fumbles and off-field problems. Trubisky flopping would be nice, since the Bears will be bottom feeders for another 5+ years as a result of that trade.

[texaspackerbacker]

Biegel is my biggest concern. But if a 4th rounder doesn't pan out is it really a bust? I think the expected starter rate of 4th rounds is less than 10% . So really a bust in the 4th round would really have to suck.
I guess then our only true bust potential would be king... which would really really really suck

10% for starting in the first year, maybe, but being a bust takes a few years, and I'm pretty sure that 10% is way low for a 4th rounder being a starter by say his 4th or 5th year. I'd guess 40-50% is closer on that.