This is kind of interesting.

Last 5 Years Run Rate by Down in 4th Q close games (when leading by 7 or less)

..............1st........2nd......3rd.......4th... .......Win % in Those Game
NE..........53.8......29.7.....14.5......2.1...... ......90.0
GB..........49.4......33.3.....15.6......1.7...... ......89.5
League....53.2......32.4.....13.5......0.9........ ....68.8