The part about Sharp that is frustrating is that last time I went to their website, there was no historical data. It was all current or past year (don't remember which), and in the case of the Packers made it hard to judge some of McCarthy's poorest results in any kind of context. I couldn't even find a pay option to access it.

The other thing here is that he thinks of this as analytics and its really just a first level pass at collecting data. Pagano is a D coordinator by training and he knows offensive tendencies. I tend to think the Colts were hamstrung not by a failure of analytics, lack of film work about tendencies or self-scout, but by a failure of imagination that affects almost all defensive trained head coaches with the always exception of Belichick.

They always want to offense to protect the D, which is how you get run/run/pass. Pagano doesn't have Luck and he assumes his offense, despite the 4th quarter lead, is outmanned. So despite a very questionable O line, he decides conservative is the way to play it. Losing by the book this is called. Its why they kick FGs in the fourth quarter down by multiple scores.