Ring the bells that still can ring
Forget your perfect offering
There is a crack, a crack in everything
That's how the light gets in - Leonard Cohen
49ers starting ILB Dre Greenlaw listed as questionable with an achilles. 49ers don't take their ILB's off the field much. If Greenlaw plays, I would really look for MLF to try and isolate TE's and maybe even Jones on him.
Ring the bells that still can ring
Forget your perfect offering
There is a crack, a crack in everything
That's how the light gets in - Leonard Cohen
We’ve been playing two months straight of back against the wall football. The 9ers haven’t played a meaningful game in almost a month. I think you want to take the ball first again. I think we might be able to get in a cheap shot with our sharpness vs them knocking off the rust. And then right away, you kind of have them and their crowd stunned.
Formerly known as JustinHarrell.
It’s looking like off and on rain. Maybe if Purdy is in a rain drive you can take a couple risks with single safety and make him try to go over the top. He’s got small hands, a weak arm AND the receivers have a better chance of drops with a wet ball. I think there are enough factors making a long pass unlikely that you can get aggressive on underneath stuff.
Formerly known as JustinHarrell.
Expect a lot of penalties Saturday. The officiating crew doing the game called the most penalties during the regular season, averaging 15.3. Packers and 49ers were both in the top third of most penalized teams.
Ring the bells that still can ring
Forget your perfect offering
There is a crack, a crack in everything
That's how the light gets in - Leonard Cohen
They do not run whole crews in the playoffs. The NFL puts together new crews with the highest graded officials.
Christians dad, Tim Watson (drafted by Ron Wolf to the Packers in the early 90s) watched all of the 49ers tape. His analysis was really close to what I saw too.
The thing that stood out from Purdy that both of us saw was how regularly he completed those deep out routes. Deebo and Aiyuk both run those routes really well, especially aiyuk. And Purdy throws them with great anticipation. You know why they’re getting there, but still, when you see that ball hovering in the air off of his average arm strength, you’re thinking it’s a house call every time and instead it’s a freaking 20 yard gain.
23 and 37 are snappy guys who can really break on the ball. Don’t be surprised if they sit on one of those and make a house call. Purdys luck is going to run out on those.
Formerly known as JustinHarrell.
https://x.com/interneth0f/status/174...Oxzq2_jOx_kBGw
This was a really bad matchup, but this is “pad level” coaching tape.
Formerly known as JustinHarrell.
Oh shit! 30 hours away and the hourly is 85% chance of rain from 6pm-11pm. If there’s 85% chance in any given hour it’s gotta be over 99% over the course of the game.
It’s gonna be a mudder.
Love has huge hands, Purdy tiny. Passing isn’t going to be easy for anyone, but Purdy might fumble when his arm goes back. Dillon never fumbles.
This is a completely different game than it looks on paper. 49ers really are the favorite. If anything it evens the playing field.
Formerly known as JustinHarrell.
Guys who rely less on changing direction and should excel on a slippery surface….
AJ Dillon
Christian Watson
Luke Musgrave
Jonathan Taylor
To a lesser degree
Tucker Kraft
49ers players
McCaffrey (he’s surprisingly a north/south guy at his size
Juan Jennings
To a lesser degree
Kittle
So bet accordingly, degenerates.
Formerly known as JustinHarrell.
I just made a $25, 8-leg parlay bet to win $2,100
This is a mud game parlay (relying on a bunch of things that are more likely or less likely to happen in a mud game)
Under Purdy completions
Under Purdy attempts
Under Love completions
Under Love attempts
Over McCaffrey yards (he’s a north/south runner who should excel in a mud game. And has fresh legs)
Over Juan Jennings receptions (hes their only guy who’s not quick and doesn’t require this quick breaks that won’t happen in a mud game)
Under Aiyuk receptions (relys too much on change of direction)
Green Bay to +9.5 (shouldn’t be high scoring)
Formerly known as JustinHarrell.
I fucking love my chances to hit this parlay. It’s obviously long odds when 8’freaking things ALL have to happen, but at +8700, I think the odds make it a good bet.
Formerly known as JustinHarrell.
The 49'ers are our kryptonite or should I say LaFleur's kryptonite. Every single marker points to a SF win.
On defense, they have the best 7 man box in the conference. CBs and Safeties are better than ours.
On offense, they have a solid OL with the best RB in football, one of the best TEs in football, a QB who had a near MVP season, and excellent WRs.
Coaching has the root of the Shanahan coaching tree, Kyle Shanahan, with a great DC in Steve Wilks.
They're also playing at home.
The fan in me says we have a puncher's chance. A one in five chance.
The realist in me says 31-21 SF.
I hope the fan in me wins this time.
^ We have a puncher's chance+, IMO.
12 isn't on his revenge tour so that weirdness is gone.
10 is playing at an insane level.
Packers kids are loose. The pressure is on the Niners.
Track is going to be slow.
Shanny pulls his own share of brain farts in big games.
But Joe Barry.
So yeah, puncher's chance+.
I still say, our RBs are close if not as good, our receivers are as good or better, our O Line probably as good, and our QB way better. On D, our DBs are as good or better, our front seven also is as good or better - Gary cancelling out Bosa. Our ILBs are shaky, but supposedly their best ILB is either not playing or playing a little bit hurt.
It would not be as much of a stunner tomorrow night as it was last week IMO.
What could be more GOOD and NORMAL and AMERICAN than Packer Football?