Double digits would mean the 49ers are just on a different level. That's simply not the case. I'll also add in that the NFL hates blowouts (it hurts ratings). If we are down 14 late look for a random flag or 2 to keep a drive going. Back door covers are a real thing.

That being said, we are going to win outright. Its like +400 right now. To me that is huge value. I'm confident we have a much better than 20% chance to win this game.