Would you care to put a percentage on it--McCain dying in say 1 year, 2 years, 4 years of taking office? Rule out assassination on the grounds that it is supposedly equally likely for either.Originally Posted by BallHawk
You're saying that a man that would be 72 when he takes office is "extremely unlikely" to die? Is it unlikely? Yes. But at his age, don't tell me that it's out of the question.
My guess would be about 1% the first year, 2% within two years, and maybe 4 or 5% within a four year term. I honestly think that an actuary would consider those percentages rather high considering current good health and the kind of attention and care any president gets.
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