I think hitting on a quarterback between picks 20 and 32 is probably a little more likely when the team who drafts them has a 36 year old HOF qb already on the roster and aren’t having to draft a QB. And then they get to learn for 3 years behind the HOFer too.

Just like number of teams that miss when they’re desperate and have to take one are probably a lot worse.


1 in 1000 is still close to the odds of being able to hit three in a row after pick 20.