Seattle is near unbeatable at home and there front four have shown to be able to pressure Rodgers w/o blitzing. Their LB's are very fast and at home they are stellar against the run.
Their secondary is still probably the best in the NFL.
To me they are clear favorites at home. I would have considered us slight favorites at home...but slight. They are built to beat us. They are way better than Buffalo. If you look at our wins on the road we have not excelled there.
I have not read logic besides our gut feeling as Packer fans that would sway me o believe we have anything better than a 25 percent chance