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Legendary Rat
HOFer
OK I was a little quick publishing those stats. Those are the percentage of runs on each down relative to the other downs, not relative to passes. Sorry about that.
Here are the 5-yr. run vs. pass rates in the 4th Q with a lead (all downs combined).
NE - 58%
GB - 63%
League - 65%
Belli is 5% more likely than McCarthy to pass with a lead in the 4th. McCarthy is 2% more likely than the league average. Both are very successful closing games.
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