Here is the most reasonable path for Green Bay:
— First, Green Bay has to run the table and get to 10-6. That is the most farfetched item on the must-have list.
— Second, sorry, but you have to be Vikings fans the next two weeks. Minnesota wins at Atlanta and at Carolina would be helpful.
— Third, between Atlanta and Carolina, the Panthers have the toughest schedule, since they play at the Falcons, and a poor conference record, which could come into play for a multi-team tiebreaker. So, the Panthers are the target. Losses at New Orleans on Sunday, at home to Green Bay in Week 15 and at Atlanta in the finale would send the Panthers to 10-6. Green Bay would get the head-to-head tiebreaker.
— The Seahawks are 2-2 in their last four games and have been hit hard by injuries. Seattle is only 3-2 at home, and the Eagles and Rams are on a roll. Jacksonville is 7-4 with a tremendous defense. Dallas will have Ezekiel Elliott back from his suspension. So, it’s easy to see the Seahawks dropping at least a couple of those games. Green Bay, by virtue of its Week 1 victory, would win a head-to-head tiebreaker.
— Detroit leads the Packers by one game. If the Lions were to win their next four games but lose to Green Bay in the finale, both teams would finish 10-6. Head-to-head, division-record and common-games tiebreakers wouldn’t settle anything, but the Packers would have the better conference record. Still, a loss at Baltimore on Sunday wouldn’t hurt anything. The Lions, it’s worth noting, are only 2-4 at home.