QB experts, do Love’s fundamentals look better?

[RashanGary]

Sacks happen more often at the end of the game when you’re losing and have to pass too. So if you have a zero sack game, you’re likely to have been ahead.

Zero sack games are less common. You probably have a superior OL/QB/Running game if you give up zero sacks.


I’m not surprised zero sack games lead to more wins than zero interception games.

[sharpe1027]

Sacks happen more often at the end of the game when you’re losing and have to pass too. So if you have a zero sack game, you’re likely to have been ahead.

Zero sack games are less common. You probably have a superior OL/QB/Running game if you give up zero sacks.


I’m not surprised zero sack games lead to more wins than zero interception games.

Can't you say the same thing for interceptions?

[run pMc]

Sacks happen more often at the end of the game when you’re losing and have to pass too. So if you have a zero sack game, you’re likely to have been ahead.

Zero sack games are less common. You probably have a superior OL/QB/Running game if you give up zero sacks.


I’m not surprised zero sack games lead to more wins than zero interception games.

I'm not surprised zero sack games lead to wins either, they are more rare, and likely indicate you have an offense that is stopping the other team's pass rush cold. If your QB has time and a clean jersey, he's going to have a good day. More rare also could mean more fluky, statistically speaking.

Plenty of QBs have thrown a pick and won the game.

Perhaps a better indicator would be turnover margin. Not to be Captain Obvious, but I'd expect the team that turns the ball over less (or not at all) in a game is more likely to win a pretty significant amount of the time.

[sharpe1027]

I'm not surprised zero sack games lead to wins either, they are more rare, and likely indicate you have an offense that is stopping the other team's pass rush cold. If your QB has time and a clean jersey, he's going to have a good day. More rare also could mean more fluky, statistically speaking.

Plenty of QBs have thrown a pick and won the game.

Perhaps a better indicator would be turnover margin. Not to be Captain Obvious, but I'd expect the team that turns the ball over less (or not at all) in a game is more likely to win a pretty significant amount of the time.

Winning turnover margin by one means you win 66% of the time. It goes up even higher if you win by more than one.

That being said, correlation is not always the same as causation. It's likely that the turnover rate is higher when teams are trailing late in games. That means that losing a game causes some turnovers, which is kinda the opposite of turnovers causing a team to lose.