Quote Originally Posted by pbmax View Post
I am not worried about the first down run. I AM worried about run-run-pass.

That said, the entire argument about passing is in that line. Passing netted 2 first downs and 1 huge change in field position.

Running guaranteed you needed another play to keep possession.

That is not to argue for passing all the time. We have seen what happens to this offense when it goes entirely to the pass and the defense has adjusted. You don't want to increase the number of times you go deep because you must.

But it does demonstrate that a failure to pass dampens offensive output.

Running, assuming moderate success, does help keep ALL your other running and passing options open.
To all the football nerds and statisticians out there:

On any particular down, with less than 10 yards to go for a first down, what are the odds of successfully running for the first down vs the odds of successfully passing for the first down?