More Banjo: Coronavirus And Sports

[texaspackerbacker]

Got it. Going strictly by the data, this could kill a whole hell of a lot of people. Any of the assumptions prove wrong and that can change, but it's the best info we have to go in today. Best not to tempt fate IMHO.

Going strictly by the data, hell no, it won't. Past performance is the best indicator of future results, and up to now, it has been a big nothing - compared to flu, compared to past "outbreaks", compared to some people's expectations.

As a precaution, don't go out, especially if you need to drive, as 39,000 or so die from that in a year - more than 100 per day.

[sharpe1027]

Going strictly by the data, hell no, it won't. Past performance is the best indicator of future results, and up to now, it has been a big nothing - compared to flu, compared to past "outbreaks", compared to some people's expectations.

As a precaution, don't go out, especially if you need to drive, as 39,000 or so die from that in a year - more than 100 per day.

Key to past outbreaks was getting prentative measures in place early. With SARs infection rate was under 10k. Problem is with 100k cases we are already way past SARs.

Again, not to say it won't fall short of worst case, but the risk is not comparable to anything in recent history.

As for the car analogy, that's complete strawman.