pbmax
01-09-2011, 10:23 AM
Fritz said I need to step it up this week if the Packers are to beat the Eagles. Its a heavy burden, but here we go.
Is it better to throw longer passes (perhaps completing fewer) or to throw quickly and let the WR make some hay? (http://community.advancednflstats.com/2010/12/examining-qb-yards-after-catch.html)
Longer passes attempt to move the offense into advantageous field position quickly, where they are more likely to score (and the opponent less likely). Quicker shorter passes are theoretically easier to complete and might allow a WR to escape coverage and wind their way down the field, whereas many longer routes send the receiver angling to the sideline to gain separation.
The answer is probably intuitive: you want to move in as big a chuck of yardage as possible for each play. Regardless of whether those yards are gained on the arm or on the leg, you want to move efficiently. Maximize your talent.
This article, using some incomplete data (only the top 20 QBs are publicly available year over year) attempts to find out who is traveling largely by air, versus the toes of the receivers.
http://community.advancednflstats.com/2010/12/examining-qb-yards-after-catch.html
The second table has the most interesting numbers, showing Rodgers yards coming more from the air than most QBs, with Favre at the other end of the spectrum. But the fun really starts to happen in the comments, when a commenter tries to argue that the QB has an influence in YAC, despite the earlier work showing that correlation is weak compared to the receiver themselves.
His data for the argument? The QBs for the 2007 and the 2008 Green Bay Packers.
Is it better to throw longer passes (perhaps completing fewer) or to throw quickly and let the WR make some hay? (http://community.advancednflstats.com/2010/12/examining-qb-yards-after-catch.html)
Longer passes attempt to move the offense into advantageous field position quickly, where they are more likely to score (and the opponent less likely). Quicker shorter passes are theoretically easier to complete and might allow a WR to escape coverage and wind their way down the field, whereas many longer routes send the receiver angling to the sideline to gain separation.
The answer is probably intuitive: you want to move in as big a chuck of yardage as possible for each play. Regardless of whether those yards are gained on the arm or on the leg, you want to move efficiently. Maximize your talent.
This article, using some incomplete data (only the top 20 QBs are publicly available year over year) attempts to find out who is traveling largely by air, versus the toes of the receivers.
http://community.advancednflstats.com/2010/12/examining-qb-yards-after-catch.html
The second table has the most interesting numbers, showing Rodgers yards coming more from the air than most QBs, with Favre at the other end of the spectrum. But the fun really starts to happen in the comments, when a commenter tries to argue that the QB has an influence in YAC, despite the earlier work showing that correlation is weak compared to the receiver themselves.
His data for the argument? The QBs for the 2007 and the 2008 Green Bay Packers.