Packers vs. 49ers Discussion Thread

[Joemailman]

Packers lead all-time series 38-34-1. 34-28-1 in regular season, 4-6 in playoffs.

Last meeting: January 20, 2024. 49ers beat the Packers 24-21 in divisional round game. Jordan Love passes for 194 yards with 2 TD's and 2 INT's. Aaron Jones rushed 18 times for 108 yards. For the 49ers, Brock Purdy passed for 252 yards and 1 TD. Christian McCaffrey rushed 17 times for 98 yards and 2 TD's.

The 49ers are 5-5, coming off a 20-17 loss to the Seattle Seahawks. Offensively, the 49ers are ranked 8th in points scored and 2nd in yards gained. Brock Purdy has completed 66% of his passes for 2613 yards with 13 TD and 8 INT's. With Christian McCaffrey missing 49ers first 8 games, Jordan Mason has been the leading rusher with 703 rushing yards and 3 TD's. Since returning to the starting lineup McCaffrey has rushed 32 times for 118 yards and caught 10 passes for 95 yards. Jauan Jennings leads the 49ers in receiving with 42 catches for 588 yards and 4 TD's. George Kittle has caught 43 passes for 560 yards and 7 TD's. Deebo Samuel has caught 33 passes for 490 yards and 1 TD. Brandon Aiyuk is out for the year with an injury.

Defensively, the 49ers rank 15th in points allowed and 6th in yards allowed. Opposing QB's have completed 64% of their passes for 1972 yards with 11 TD's and 11 INT's. Opponents have rushed for 1050 yards and 13 TD's, averaging 4.3 YPC. The 49ers have sacked opposing QB's 26 times, led by Nick Bosa with 7.

Packers favored by 1.5
Moneyline: 49ers +100, Packers -120
Over/under: 47.5

[Tony Oday]

If the defense plays like they did against the Bears we get destroyed by 20 minimum.

[run pMc]

They're an older team, and older players have more injuries. Aiyuk is out, Deebo, Bosa, Kittle, and McCaffrey have all been in and out of the lineup.
IF Kittle plays, they will be a handful for GB bc Quay or Bullard vs. Kittle is a mismatch. McCaffrey is also a matchup problem but he might still be shaking off the rust, not sure. I have doubts that he's fully healthy.

The SF D isn't what it was either, but they can still play.

Coin flip game, but GB is at home this time. It depends on which team shows up.

[Joemailman]

If the defense plays like they did against the Bears we get destroyed by 20 minimum.

49ers coming off a home loss to an average Seahawks team, so their fans are probably feeling the same way.

[George Cumby]

Hags took a melon baller to the Niners' Souls yesterday.

Packers got lucky yesterday.

See how they react, respectively.

[Fosco33]

We’ve got a lot of hard games left.

Niners always play us well - esp at Lambeau.
Dolphins on a short week but at least we’re at home. They’re playing better.
We have away games at Lions and Vikes and Seahawks.
And home games vs Saints (playing well after firing coach) and Bears which we arguably should’ve lost to.

I don’t know about you - but I could see us winning 4-5 more games at most and likely 6 or 7 seed.

[Joemailman]

We'll see. Packers are 25-5 under MLF from Thanksgiving on.

[MadtownPacker]

They're an older team, and older players have more injuries. Aiyuk is out, Deebo, Bosa, Kittle, and McCaffrey have all been in and out of the lineup.
IF Kittle plays, they will be a handful for GB bc Quay or Bullard vs. Kittle is a mismatch. McCaffrey is also a matchup problem but he might still be shaking off the rust, not sure. I have doubts that he's fully healthy.

The SF D isn't what it was either, but they can still play.

Coin flip game, but GB is at home this time. It depends on which team shows up.This post says it all. These are not the niners of old. They are just old. Purdy’s feet will be the thing to watch for. He has picked up many critical 1st downs when defenses have locked down his rusting weapons.

[Joemailman]

Fox Late - Almost all of the country will get 49ers at Packers. Kevin Burkhardt and Tom Brady with the call. Northwest, including Alaska, and Arizona will get Arizona at Seattle. Adam Amin and Mark Sanchez with the call.

https://506sports.com/2024/12-FOX-L.png

[MadtownPacker]

Great now we have to listen to Brady mancrush on Pepe.

[MadtownPacker]

The game I have been waiting for since the playoff loss. While not a playoff game a loss puts the hated miners at very low odds of making the playoffs so almost as good as a dagger to the heart.

https://www.nfl.com/news/nfl-playoff-picture-postseason-probabilities-entering-week-12-of-2024-season
6. Packers (7-3) currently 81% if they win 92% if they lose 68% chance at 1 seed 3%
10. 49ers (5-5) currently 31% if they win 49% if they lose 18%

[bobblehead]

I hate to overstate the importance of a game, but this is an important game. You can't lose this game, likely meaning you have to go to their place in the playoffs if you meet them and expect a good outcome. You win and if you meet them its probably home again with the seed planted that you are the better team.

The only must win games are elimination games so its not that, but again, you have to take care of business in a game like this and NOT be thinking about Detroit on turkey day.

[Joemailman]

‪Wes Hodkiewicz‬ ‪@weshod.bsky.social‬

The Packers stayed inside the Hutson Center for Thursday’s padded practice.

Jaire Alexander (knee) & Edgerrin Cooper (hamstring) only players not participating. Jaire was on the bike.

[ThunderDan]

I hate to overstate the importance of a game, but this is an important game. You can't lose this game, likely meaning you have to go to their place in the playoffs if you meet them and expect a good outcome. You win and if you meet them its probably home again with the seed planted that you are the better team.

The only must win games are elimination games so its not that, but again, you have to take care of business in a game like this and NOT be thinking about Detroit on turkey day.

We don’t play Det on Thanksgiving. We play Miami.

[Teamcheez1]

‪Wes Hodkiewicz‬ ‪@weshod.bsky.social‬

The Packers stayed inside the Hutson Center for Thursday’s padded practice.

Jaire Alexander (knee) & Edgerrin Cooper (hamstring) only players not participating. Jaire was on the bike.

Jaire is now likely out with a PCL.
He and Stokes are living on borrowed time on this roster.

[Sparkey]

Purdy didn't practice today. Has a shoulder and there is speculation he won't play this week.

[MadtownPacker]

Purdy didn't practice today. Has a shoulder and there is speculation he won't play this week.
My niners fan primo said he is out. He got tackled with his arm held back and landed square on his shoulder.

[Joemailman]

Purdy didn't practice today. Has a shoulder and there is speculation he won't play this week.

Actually I read he did practice today but left early.

"He was still limited today," Shanahan said on KNBR 680. "He didn't do as much yesterday but did a little bit more today. He went out there and did a little bit, then went back in about halfway through and rested up. Hopefully [his shoulder] will be feeling great on Sunday."

[MadtownPacker]

Actually I read he did practice today but left early.
That’s why.

[Teamcheez1]

Looking like no Jaire or Cooper on Sunday.
I’m not feeling very good about the defense when you combine that with a lack of pass rush.

Can the offense finally kick it into high gear and win this game?

[Joemailman]

Looking like no Jaire or Cooper on Sunday.
I’m not feeling very good about the defense when you combine that with a lack of pass rush.

Can the offense finally kick it into high gear and win this game?

They'll have to. Over/under is 47.5. Bet the over.

[bobblehead]

We don’t play Det on Thanksgiving. We play Miami.

Oops. The week after. I am getting old. I am easily confused.

[Joemailman]

Aaron Nagler
‪@aaronnagler.bsky.social‬

Jaire Alexander and Edgerrin Cooper both DNPs for Friday’s practice. Wouldn’t expect either to play vs 49ers.

[Joemailman]

Brock Purdy out Sunday. Brandon Allen to start. Bosa out also Packers now favored by 5.5.

[run pMc]

Brock Purdy out Sunday. Brandon Allen to start. Packers now favored by 5.5.

It's Shanahan, dude has manufactured points with Jimmy G or Nick Mullens at QB. Bosa being ruled out is an equally big deal IMO.
On the flip side, Jaire and Cooper being out will hurt.

I was ambivalent about this game, but now I expect GB to squeak out a win. Niners will be desperate/dangerous team (they always are) but their injuries will be a lot to overcome on the road.

[Fosco33]

What’s the read on the backup? Heard he’s mobile… didn’t play all that well in scheme w/ Caleb.

Wtf do we keep quay out there. And we need a spy…

[Joemailman]

Brandon Allen has started games before...but not since 2021. Allen is 2-7 as a starter for Denver and Cincinnati. Has completed 56.7% of his passes for 1611 yards with 10 TD's and 6 INT's. Best performance was December 27, 2020 when he led the Bengals to a 37-31 win over Houston. Completed 29 of 37 passes for 371 yards with 2 TD's and 0 INT's. Houston had one the NFL's worst defenses that year. The following week against the Ravens he completed 6 pf 21 passes for 48 yards with 2 INT's in a 38-8 loss.

[George Cumby]

Brandon Allen has started games before...but not since 2021. Allen is 2-7 as a starter for Denver and Cincinnati. Has completed 56.7% of his passes for 1611 yards with 10 TD's and 6 INT's. Best performance was December 27, 2020 when he led the Bengals to a 37-31 win over Houston. Completed 29 of 37 passes for 371 yards with 2 TD's and 0 INT's. Houston had one the NFL's worst defenses that year. The following week against the Ravens he completed 6 pf 21 passes for 48 yards with 2 INT's in a 38-8 loss.

Well, if the Packers D plays true to form, they'll make this clown look like Dan Fucking Fouts.

[ThunderDan]

Well, if the Packers D plays true to form, they'll make this clown look like Dan Fucking Fouts.

We hope that has changed with Hafley as DC.

No QB has really gone off this year.

Last week we made Williams look like a competent starter. But he didn’t go for 350 and 3 TDs.

[George Cumby]

We hope that has changed with Hafley as DC.

No QB has really gone off this year.

Last week we made Williams look like a competent starter. But he didn’t go for 350 and 3 TDs.

I hope you're right, Dan.

My perception of the D, actually the whole team, is one of inconsistency. Something just feels kind of off.

[ThunderDan]

I hope you're right, Dan.

My perception of the D, actually the whole team, is one of inconsistency. Something just feels kind of off.

I agree. They can look great for a half and look bad for a half.

[bobblehead]

Allen is a lot like Purdy and his experience with Cincinatti was with a shit coach and a bad OL. I expect that Shannahan has him ready to play and likely looking better than we have previously seen him. For sure there is a dropoff from Purdy, but not as large as one might think. The skill sets are similar.

[Freak Out]

It's a trap.

[Teamcheez1]

I feel like we will play a bend but don’t break defense. Keep everything in front of us.
Allen will play way better than should be expected for a minimally experienced back-up.
Whereas we should be attacking like a shark that smells blood in the water.

[sharpe1027]

This defense is way more aggressive than last year.