motife
04-21-2007, 05:07 PM
Big Mike (Chicago, IL): How big a dropoff is there from Greg Olsen to Zach Miller? Is it worth it to go after Olsen when you could get Miller a round later?
Todd McShay: The biggest difference is speed. Miller is athletic and sure-handed, but he can't stretch the field. Olsen has the speed to do so. The problem for teams in need of TE's (Carolina, Cincy, Chicago, Seatlle, etc) is that only two TE's are worth drafting in the first two rounds. The supply does not meet the demand, which is why I expect Olsen and Miller to go higher than their respective values.
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pete (NJ): Why is the Cowboys interest in Meachem falling, and interest in Jarrett rising?
Todd McShay: Says who?
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Mike DC: Can the Skins land Calvin Johnson?
Todd McShay: I know they've shown interest but I'm not sure they have the amunition to pull off a deal. Remember, the Skins own the No. 6 overall pick but they don't have a pick in the next three rounds. They'd have to mortgage off future drafts and possibly throw a veteran into the mix.
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Bob-O (Cincy): Is it possible that the Bengals could take Ted Ginn Jr.?
Todd McShay: It's possible if he slips to No. 18 but I'd rather see them go defense with that pick. Cincy can get a good No. 3 receiver to fill Chris Henry's void in the second or third round.
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Chris (New Orleans): Todd, Do the Saints have a shot at landing a press corner at 27 or are they prime to trade down?
Todd McShay: I think they can get one of the top cover corners at No. 27. Leon Hall and Darrelle Revis will be long gone, but Texas' Aaron Ross and Arkansas' Chris Houston could be available. Also, they could trade back and still get a good value with Fresno State's Marcus McCauley or UNLV's Eric Wright.
Todd McShay: This year's CB class is interesting... Hall and Revis are the best of the bunch but they're just a notch below the level of an elite prospect. The positive, though, is that this year's crop is pretty deep, so some good players can be found in Rounds 2 and 3.
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Evan (Chicago, IL): With the Colts pick, they will take the best available, might that be Michael Bush to complement Joe Addai?
Todd McShay: I see your thinking at the position but Bush will be lucky to come off the board in Round 3. I think Indy can get a good defensive player at that spot, possibly OLB Jon Beason (Miami) or DT Justin Harrell (Tennessee).
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Joe (AZ via Chicago): MCSHAY, you have the Bears taking Beason in round 1 - who I like - but is it their top priority over offensive playmakers with Briggs still in the mix, at least for next year? Are you assuming he'll forego the $420K weekly to make a point?
Todd McShay: I think they need to address depth issues and potential future contract problems on offense, but they also need to assume Briggs will sit out some of the 2007 season and be gone in 2008. Beason would be a good value at 31. They could also get an OLB like Hampton's Justin Durant or Georgia's Tony Taylor in later rounds.
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Paras (Baltimore, MD): Todd, you have projected the Ravens picking OT Joe Staley, but shouldn't the Ravens go CB in round one and OT/OG in round two? Thanks.
Todd McShay: Sure. In a perfect world. But in this scenario Staley is a far better value than any CB still on the board. If Staley is still around at 29 I'm all but certain he becomes a Raven.
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Ryan (BUffalo): Todd, do you see the Bills being able to trade up to get Adrian Peterson if he were to slip past the Browns at 3?
Todd McShay: If they really want to they'll have the opportunity. If Cleveland goes with Quinn at No. 3, Peterson has a chance to slip. Washington (No. 6) and Minnesota (No. 7) would be all ears.
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Ryan (Home): The Redskins have a few needs on the defensive side of the ball. If Adams is gone, who do you think they pick?
Todd McShay: If the Skins are stuck at No. 6 and Adams is off the board, I think the best two options are DT Amobi Okoye and DS LaRon Landry. I have Landry rated higher but DT is a bigger need. So take your pick???
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Tim (ATL): Do you think the Titans will draft a corner now that pac man will miss the year, and if so when do you see them taking one? thanks.
Todd McShay: I think the need is definately upgraded. The addition of Nick Harper helps, but the team shold probably spend a Day 1 pick on the position. Perhaps more pressing is the need for a legit return man. A cornerback that can double as a PR and/or KR would be ideal. Texas' Aaron Ross is a possibility.
Todd McShay: Don't be surprised if the Titans spend an early Day 2 pick on a return specialist like Kansas State's Yamon Figurs.
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Drew (Cooper City Florida): Will Brady Quinn drop to the Dolphins at pick 9
Todd McShay: I would be shocked. I think Quinn could go as high as No. 3 to the Browns or fall as far as No. 7 to the Vikings. If the Vikings don't take Quinn at No. 7 I think they'll strike a deal with an interested party such as the Dolphins.
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Woody (Canton): Is Troy Smith a Day 2 pick?
Todd McShay: It's starting to look like that's the case. I still would spend a third-round pick on him... I know his weaknesses but he's a proven winner with very good athleticism and arm strength... somehow he finds a way to contribute at the next level.
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Chris (Broadview Heights, OH): What is your opinion on the Browns potentially taking Brady Quinn? I keep hearing a bunch of differing opinions.
Todd McShay: I'm not for it. I understand the value of taking a QB when you're stuck picking that high. However, while I think Quinn is good enough to warrant first-round consideration, I don't view him as a top-five type of elite prospect. His big game woes are well-documented but I'm more concerned with his accuracy issues. Bottom line: I would draft RB Adrian Peterson, assuming JaMarcus Russell is off the board.
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Ray, New York: Is Tyler Palko a Day 2 pick?
Todd McShay: I think so.. He'd fit best in a west coast system. I think he has value in Round 5 or beyond.
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Shawn (Bay Area, CA): Good stuff Todd!!! I am suprsised to see Hughes from CAL dropping so much. This is exactly what happened to Vasher from Texas a couple years ago because of a bad 40 and he turned into a Pro Bowler. Hughes could be a great cover 2 corner. How far is he going to drop?
Todd McShay: I agree. Listen, his 40 times were atrocious, but he improved them at Cal's Pro Day and he shouldn't be forced to turn in run at the next level. For a team employing a cover-2 heavy scheme, I think Hughes will be a steal in the third round. I've actually heard some people project him as a Day 2 pick. What a shame.
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Evan (NJ): Michael Bush, Brian Leonard, or Tony Hunt.... any of these 3 on the Steelers radar??
Todd McShay: They all should be... but in this order: Leonard, Hunt and Bush. The Steelers need a "hammer" back to complement Willie Parker. He shouldn't have to carry the ball 337 times and he could use a big back to take some of the short-yardage carries off his plate. Leonad would be a good value in Round 2, and Hunt and Bush project in Round 3.
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jeremy (kcmo): i know the 2007 draft is coming up, but i was wondering what player you think has the edge to be the top pick in the 2008 draft?
Todd McShay: The scary thing is that NFL area scouts are already breaking down film on the 2008 class. I would say Louisville QB Brian Brohm. But Arkansas RB Darren McFadden is my pick if he leaves early.
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Rick (Detroit): Does Trent Edwards make sense for the Lions with that early second round pick?
Todd McShay: I keep hearing that Mike Martz likes Edwards. Martz doesn't want to deal with a rookie QB from the first round b/c he knows how much pressure the team will be under to play him. That's why the Lions are very unlikely to take a QB at No. 2. They would rather take a player like DE Gaines Adams or OT Joe Thomas, and then draft a backup QB later. Best case scenario is to trade back a couple spots (or more), still get Adams or Thomas, and stockpile a couple picks for the move.
Todd McShay: A pick-for-pick trade between the Lions and Bucs would likely cost the Bucs their second and third round choices this year. Such a deal would give Detroit five picks in the top-68... that would be a tremendous deal for the Lions.
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Joe (Cincinnati): So according to your draft Ben Patrick and Marcus Thomas wont get selected?
Todd McShay: That's not true. There was an error that we corrected earlier this week. Patrick goes off the board in Round 3 and Thomas is pick No. 99 to Indy.
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Michael (St. Louis): C'mon Todd, just one Rams question and then you're done. What are the odds that Okoye is still on the board @ #13 for the rams? If he's not, what do you think they should do? could they trade up/down to get a better value?
Todd McShay: That's a deal. First, I don't think Okoye slips that far. If he does, he's a natural fit for the Rams. Alan Branch has a much better chance of slipping and No. 13 would be a good value for him (at least in my opinion). If not, DE is a possibility with Nebraska's Adam Carriker and Arkansas' Jamaal Anderson possibly both on the board. Finally, while it doesn't make sense to me, it sounds like the Rams have interest in Ted Ginn Jr. at No. 13, as well.
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Cameron (CO): Buzzer Beater...Broncos take a LB in the first round now that Wilson has been released?
Todd McShay: If he's really gone, I think LB becomes a much bigger need. If the right pass rusher isn't available at No. 21, Miami's Jon Beason becomes a possibility. They might even trade back a few spots (assuming, of course, another team wants to deal up) and still get Beason later in Round 1.
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Kyle (Atlanta): Slip me in before 1 pm. Any chance atlanta lands CJ?
Todd McShay: I say it won't happen.
Todd McShay: Another strong showing from SportsNation. Only one more chat left. I'm going to miss all the harassment when the draft is over. Next week should be a blast. I'll chat with you then.
Todd McShay: The biggest difference is speed. Miller is athletic and sure-handed, but he can't stretch the field. Olsen has the speed to do so. The problem for teams in need of TE's (Carolina, Cincy, Chicago, Seatlle, etc) is that only two TE's are worth drafting in the first two rounds. The supply does not meet the demand, which is why I expect Olsen and Miller to go higher than their respective values.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
pete (NJ): Why is the Cowboys interest in Meachem falling, and interest in Jarrett rising?
Todd McShay: Says who?
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Mike DC: Can the Skins land Calvin Johnson?
Todd McShay: I know they've shown interest but I'm not sure they have the amunition to pull off a deal. Remember, the Skins own the No. 6 overall pick but they don't have a pick in the next three rounds. They'd have to mortgage off future drafts and possibly throw a veteran into the mix.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Bob-O (Cincy): Is it possible that the Bengals could take Ted Ginn Jr.?
Todd McShay: It's possible if he slips to No. 18 but I'd rather see them go defense with that pick. Cincy can get a good No. 3 receiver to fill Chris Henry's void in the second or third round.
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Chris (New Orleans): Todd, Do the Saints have a shot at landing a press corner at 27 or are they prime to trade down?
Todd McShay: I think they can get one of the top cover corners at No. 27. Leon Hall and Darrelle Revis will be long gone, but Texas' Aaron Ross and Arkansas' Chris Houston could be available. Also, they could trade back and still get a good value with Fresno State's Marcus McCauley or UNLV's Eric Wright.
Todd McShay: This year's CB class is interesting... Hall and Revis are the best of the bunch but they're just a notch below the level of an elite prospect. The positive, though, is that this year's crop is pretty deep, so some good players can be found in Rounds 2 and 3.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Evan (Chicago, IL): With the Colts pick, they will take the best available, might that be Michael Bush to complement Joe Addai?
Todd McShay: I see your thinking at the position but Bush will be lucky to come off the board in Round 3. I think Indy can get a good defensive player at that spot, possibly OLB Jon Beason (Miami) or DT Justin Harrell (Tennessee).
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Joe (AZ via Chicago): MCSHAY, you have the Bears taking Beason in round 1 - who I like - but is it their top priority over offensive playmakers with Briggs still in the mix, at least for next year? Are you assuming he'll forego the $420K weekly to make a point?
Todd McShay: I think they need to address depth issues and potential future contract problems on offense, but they also need to assume Briggs will sit out some of the 2007 season and be gone in 2008. Beason would be a good value at 31. They could also get an OLB like Hampton's Justin Durant or Georgia's Tony Taylor in later rounds.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Paras (Baltimore, MD): Todd, you have projected the Ravens picking OT Joe Staley, but shouldn't the Ravens go CB in round one and OT/OG in round two? Thanks.
Todd McShay: Sure. In a perfect world. But in this scenario Staley is a far better value than any CB still on the board. If Staley is still around at 29 I'm all but certain he becomes a Raven.
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Ryan (BUffalo): Todd, do you see the Bills being able to trade up to get Adrian Peterson if he were to slip past the Browns at 3?
Todd McShay: If they really want to they'll have the opportunity. If Cleveland goes with Quinn at No. 3, Peterson has a chance to slip. Washington (No. 6) and Minnesota (No. 7) would be all ears.
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Ryan (Home): The Redskins have a few needs on the defensive side of the ball. If Adams is gone, who do you think they pick?
Todd McShay: If the Skins are stuck at No. 6 and Adams is off the board, I think the best two options are DT Amobi Okoye and DS LaRon Landry. I have Landry rated higher but DT is a bigger need. So take your pick???
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tim (ATL): Do you think the Titans will draft a corner now that pac man will miss the year, and if so when do you see them taking one? thanks.
Todd McShay: I think the need is definately upgraded. The addition of Nick Harper helps, but the team shold probably spend a Day 1 pick on the position. Perhaps more pressing is the need for a legit return man. A cornerback that can double as a PR and/or KR would be ideal. Texas' Aaron Ross is a possibility.
Todd McShay: Don't be surprised if the Titans spend an early Day 2 pick on a return specialist like Kansas State's Yamon Figurs.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Drew (Cooper City Florida): Will Brady Quinn drop to the Dolphins at pick 9
Todd McShay: I would be shocked. I think Quinn could go as high as No. 3 to the Browns or fall as far as No. 7 to the Vikings. If the Vikings don't take Quinn at No. 7 I think they'll strike a deal with an interested party such as the Dolphins.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Woody (Canton): Is Troy Smith a Day 2 pick?
Todd McShay: It's starting to look like that's the case. I still would spend a third-round pick on him... I know his weaknesses but he's a proven winner with very good athleticism and arm strength... somehow he finds a way to contribute at the next level.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Chris (Broadview Heights, OH): What is your opinion on the Browns potentially taking Brady Quinn? I keep hearing a bunch of differing opinions.
Todd McShay: I'm not for it. I understand the value of taking a QB when you're stuck picking that high. However, while I think Quinn is good enough to warrant first-round consideration, I don't view him as a top-five type of elite prospect. His big game woes are well-documented but I'm more concerned with his accuracy issues. Bottom line: I would draft RB Adrian Peterson, assuming JaMarcus Russell is off the board.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Ray, New York: Is Tyler Palko a Day 2 pick?
Todd McShay: I think so.. He'd fit best in a west coast system. I think he has value in Round 5 or beyond.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Shawn (Bay Area, CA): Good stuff Todd!!! I am suprsised to see Hughes from CAL dropping so much. This is exactly what happened to Vasher from Texas a couple years ago because of a bad 40 and he turned into a Pro Bowler. Hughes could be a great cover 2 corner. How far is he going to drop?
Todd McShay: I agree. Listen, his 40 times were atrocious, but he improved them at Cal's Pro Day and he shouldn't be forced to turn in run at the next level. For a team employing a cover-2 heavy scheme, I think Hughes will be a steal in the third round. I've actually heard some people project him as a Day 2 pick. What a shame.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Evan (NJ): Michael Bush, Brian Leonard, or Tony Hunt.... any of these 3 on the Steelers radar??
Todd McShay: They all should be... but in this order: Leonard, Hunt and Bush. The Steelers need a "hammer" back to complement Willie Parker. He shouldn't have to carry the ball 337 times and he could use a big back to take some of the short-yardage carries off his plate. Leonad would be a good value in Round 2, and Hunt and Bush project in Round 3.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
jeremy (kcmo): i know the 2007 draft is coming up, but i was wondering what player you think has the edge to be the top pick in the 2008 draft?
Todd McShay: The scary thing is that NFL area scouts are already breaking down film on the 2008 class. I would say Louisville QB Brian Brohm. But Arkansas RB Darren McFadden is my pick if he leaves early.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Rick (Detroit): Does Trent Edwards make sense for the Lions with that early second round pick?
Todd McShay: I keep hearing that Mike Martz likes Edwards. Martz doesn't want to deal with a rookie QB from the first round b/c he knows how much pressure the team will be under to play him. That's why the Lions are very unlikely to take a QB at No. 2. They would rather take a player like DE Gaines Adams or OT Joe Thomas, and then draft a backup QB later. Best case scenario is to trade back a couple spots (or more), still get Adams or Thomas, and stockpile a couple picks for the move.
Todd McShay: A pick-for-pick trade between the Lions and Bucs would likely cost the Bucs their second and third round choices this year. Such a deal would give Detroit five picks in the top-68... that would be a tremendous deal for the Lions.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Joe (Cincinnati): So according to your draft Ben Patrick and Marcus Thomas wont get selected?
Todd McShay: That's not true. There was an error that we corrected earlier this week. Patrick goes off the board in Round 3 and Thomas is pick No. 99 to Indy.
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Michael (St. Louis): C'mon Todd, just one Rams question and then you're done. What are the odds that Okoye is still on the board @ #13 for the rams? If he's not, what do you think they should do? could they trade up/down to get a better value?
Todd McShay: That's a deal. First, I don't think Okoye slips that far. If he does, he's a natural fit for the Rams. Alan Branch has a much better chance of slipping and No. 13 would be a good value for him (at least in my opinion). If not, DE is a possibility with Nebraska's Adam Carriker and Arkansas' Jamaal Anderson possibly both on the board. Finally, while it doesn't make sense to me, it sounds like the Rams have interest in Ted Ginn Jr. at No. 13, as well.
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Cameron (CO): Buzzer Beater...Broncos take a LB in the first round now that Wilson has been released?
Todd McShay: If he's really gone, I think LB becomes a much bigger need. If the right pass rusher isn't available at No. 21, Miami's Jon Beason becomes a possibility. They might even trade back a few spots (assuming, of course, another team wants to deal up) and still get Beason later in Round 1.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Kyle (Atlanta): Slip me in before 1 pm. Any chance atlanta lands CJ?
Todd McShay: I say it won't happen.
Todd McShay: Another strong showing from SportsNation. Only one more chat left. I'm going to miss all the harassment when the draft is over. Next week should be a blast. I'll chat with you then.