motife
04-23-2007, 06:53 PM
1. Oakland Raiders (2-14)
Projected pick: +JaMarcus Russell, QB, LSU
Needs: QB, DT, OT/G, TE, WR, LB, CB, RB
• Russell makes the most sense for a team loaded with talented wide receivers (Randy Moss, Jerry Porter and Ronald Curry) but nobody to get the ball to them.
• It seems the window of opportunity has passed for Oakland to acquire a veteran starting quarterback in order to justify taking Georgia Tech WR Calvin Johnson. If the team does add a second-tier veteran between now and the draft, it will do so as insurance for Russell. A veteran like Tim Rattay could potentially bridge the gap for a season while Russell is being groomed for 2008.
• Oakland will continue to field trade calls but it's highly unlikely owner Al Davis will move out of the No. 1 spot.
• The Raiders will also continue communications with the agents for Johnson and QB Brady Quinn, but more so for leverage purposes in attempts to get a pre-draft deal done with Russell.
2. Detroit (3-13)
Projected pick: +Calvin Johnson, WR, Georgia Tech
Needs: QB, ILB, CB, TE, S, WR, C, DT, DE
• Johnson coming off the board at No. 2 is the most logical assumption at this point in time.
• Assuming Russell goes No. 1 to the Raiders, the Lions will put their pick up for public auction. The Buccaneers, Redskins and Falcons are all rumored to have interest in trading up for Johnson, but striking a deal will be much harder than most think. The Lions would ideally like to trade down within the top 10, acquire an extra pick or two and still draft Clemson DE Gaines Adams or Wisconsin OT Joe Thomas in the first round.
• All bets are off if Oakland takes Johnson. Detroit could find a trading partner in Cleveland, but it wouldn't get much in return for moving down one spot (possibly the Browns' third and fourth-round picks).
• If stuck at No. 2 with Johnson as the top pick, the Lions would likely decide between Russell, Adams and Thomas.
3. Cleveland (4-12)
Projected pick: Brady Quinn, QB, Notre Dame
Needs: CB, QB, RB, LOT, DL, WR, S, OLB
• The Browns would love to land Russell with this pick and would consider moving up one spot if Russell fell and if the Lions made a generous offer.
• If Russell is gone, GM Phil Savage will have an excruciatingly difficult decision to make between Quinn and Adrian Peterson. Although I consider Peterson the higher-rated prospect, Quinn seems to be the more likely pick.
• The Browns are rumored to have some interest in trading down but it's a long shot. The only moves they would likely consider would be down one or two spots with the Buccaneers and Cardinals, respectively. That would keep the Browns within striking range of what Savage considers to be the five elite prospects in this year's class (Johnson, Peterson, Quinn, Russell and Thomas).
4. Tampa Bay (4-12)
Projected pick: Gaines Adams, DE, Clemson
Needs: WR, DT, S, DE, CB, OT, RB, TE
• The Bucs are reportedly already in discussions with the Lions to trade up if WR Johnson is on the board at No. 2 overall. Coach Jon Gruden must be salivating at the possibility of working with a dynamic playmaker like Johnson. The Bucs own four of the top 68 picks overall. Unfortunately for Tampa, it is expected to take at least three of those Day 1 picks to move up two spots.
• If the Buccaneers can't land Johnson they'll look to bail out of this pick. They could trade down, acquire more picks and still land a quality prospect such as DE Adams, DT Amobi Okoye (Louisville) or S Laron Landry (LSU).
• If stuck at No. 4, the Bucs are expected to choose between OT Thomas and DE Adams.
5. Arizona (5-11)
Projected pick: Joe Thomas, OT, Wisconsin
Needs: OT, WLB, CB, DT, DE, TE, S, P
• This is the best-case scenario for a Cardinals team in desperate need of an upgrade at offensive tackle. Thomas is the premier offensive line talent in the 2007 class and he's ready to start immediately. He would help protect last year's first-round investment, QB Matt Leinart, while also upgrading a run offense that finished 30th last year despite the acquisition of RB Edgerrin James.
• There are some rumblings that the Cardinals would strongly consider Peterson if a similar scenario unfolds. Although Thomas fills a great need, Peterson is considered by most to be the better value and new head coach Ken Whisenhunt would like to run the ball enough to keep two premier backs like Peterson and James content.
6. Washington (5-11)
Projected pick: Amobi Okoye, DT, Louisville
Needs: DT, DE, G, S, CB, WR, OLB, QB, TE
• Washington's No. 1 priority is to trade out of the No. 6 spot. Regardless of where they pick, the Redskins should be in search for the best available defensive lineman (DT or DE) after setting a franchise record with only 19 sacks and finishing 27th versus the run in 2006.
• Trading back is the smartest play for the Skins, as they currently are without picks in the second, third and fourth rounds. Moving back would allow them to recoup some of those picks, while still getting a very good value on one of the top defensive linemen. The Vikings (No. 7) and Dolphins (No. 9) are potential trade partners if Quinn is still on the board. The Texans (No. 10), Bills (No. 12) and Packers (No. 16) would be possible suitors if Peterson is available.
• If stuck at No. 6 with DE Adams already off the board, DT Okoye becomes the next-best option. The 19-year-old has bulked up to 300-plus pounds and ran the 40 in the 4.8-second range at an on-campus workout.
• Although it's a long shot, there are some whispers of the Redskins trading away next year's first-round pick (and possibly more) in order to move up for WR Johnson.
7. Minnesota (6-10)
Projected pick: +Adrian Peterson, RB, Oklahoma
Needs: WR, DE, CB, TE, C/G, QB, DT, RB, ILB
• Minnesota is in a tough spot at No. 7. The team's two biggest needs are at wide receiver and defensive end, but the top players at those positions (WR Johnson and WR Adams) should be gone.
• It would be considered too high to reach for a cornerback like Leon Hall (Michigan) or Darrelle Revis (Pittsburgh).
• Landry is a good value at No. 7 but safety is one of the team's deeper positions.
• Minnesota could get a great value if Quinn or Peterson falls to the Vikes at No. 7, but neither plays a position of pressing need for the team. Although the Vikings still like the potential of QB Tarvaris Jackson (last year's second-round pick), it would be awfully difficult to pass on Quinn if he slips to No. 7. The same can be said for Peterson despite the presence of starting RB Chester Taylor, who rushed for 1,216 yards in 2006.
• The team is rumored to have interest in trading up for Quinn, but I have a hard time buying into that speculation. GM Rick Spielman believes in building through the draft, so the team is definitely open to trading down and stockpiling picks. Unfortunately for the Vikings, it looks like Washington could trade one pick ahead of them, which will make it significantly harder for the Vikings to find a suitor.
8. Atlanta (7-9)
(from Houston)
Projected pick: LaRon Landry, S, LSU
Needs: S, DE, OT, CB, G, DT, RB, PK, MLB, QB
• Landry is the best pick if Atlanta stays at No. 8. A four-year starter in the SEC, Landry should be ready to start immediately in the NFL and he would give the Falcons a significant upgrade in speed, athleticism and toughness at the safety position.
• OT Levi Brown is another strong possibility, especially with new head coach Bobby Petrino looking to get bigger and more physical along the offensive line.
• Depending on how the first seven picks shake out, the Falcons would consider DTs Okoye and Alan Branch (Michigan) at No. 8.
• The Falcons currently own 10 picks overall, which gives them ammunition to move up the board on Day 1. The Falcons are rumored to have an interest in moving up to No. 2 for WR Johnson. Such a move would likely cost the team its top three picks (8, 39 and 44).
9. Miami (6-10)
Projected pick: Levi Brown, OT, Penn State
Needs: OT/G, QB, DL, CB, TE, WR, S, RB, LB, C
• Although nothing has been finalized at this point, it seems inevitable that the team will welcome QB Trent Green (Chiefs) and part ways with QB Daunte Culpepper. Regardless, the team is expected to address the future of the quarterback position early in the 2007 draft. The Dolphins may consider moving up if Quinn falls to No. 6 (Redskins) or No. 7 (Vikings). Otherwise, they should target Stanford's Trent Edwards or Michigan State's Drew Stanton in Round 2.
• If it's not Quinn in the first round, expect Miami to take the best available offensive or defensive lineman at No. 9. Brown, who is this draft's second-rated offensive tackle behind Thomas, has the size and mobility to solidify the Dolphins' left tackle position for years to come.
• In this scenario, DT Branch would be the best available defensive lineman.
10. Houston (6-10)
(from Atlanta)
Projected pick: Leon Hall, CB, Michigan
Needs: CB, WR, S, DT, OLB, DE, OT, RB
• Houston is rumored to have interest in trading up for RB Peterson but it seems unlikely considering its multitude of needs. Peterson would, however, be a tremendous value in the unlikely scenario he falls to the Texans at No. 10. Houston has more pressing needs after signing veteran RB Ahman Green, but it would be awfully tough to pass on Peterson -- one year after passing on Reggie Bush (Saints).
• OT Brown would be a perfect match of need and value if he's available.
• The Texans need to find a quality starter opposite Dunta Robinson and Hall is the top-rated cornerback in this year's class.
• The team has pressing needs at wide receiver and safety but it would be a reach to select the next best prospects at either position. If Houston were able to pull off a downward trade, Ohio State WR Ted Ginn Jr. and Florida S Reggie Nelson would be good fits later in the round.
• In this scenario, DT Branch would be a consideration.
11. San Francisco (7-9)
Projected pick: Adam Carriker, DE, Nebraska
Needs: DT/DE, OLB, S, OT, WR, RB, ILB, TE, FB, C/G
• The 49ers should use this pick to bolster their defensive front. At 296 pounds, Carriker has the size, strength, quickness and technique to develop into a quality every-down starter at DE in the team's 3-4 scheme.
• DT Branch and ILB Patrick Willis (Mississippi) would also be considerations at No. 11.
• Wide receiver is the team's biggest need area but it's too early to spend a pick on Ginn, Dwayne Bowe (LSU) or Robert Meachem (Tennessee).
• Also, with eight picks in the first four rounds, don't be surprised if the 49ers move back into the bottom half of Round 1 like they did a year ago (TE Vernon Davis at No. 6 and DE/OLB Manny Lawson at No. 22). They could use the second choice in the first round on a receiver such as Meachem or a safety such as Nelson.
12. Buffalo (7-9)
Projected pick: Patrick Willis, ILB, Mississippi
Needs: RB, CB, LB, TE, DT, FB, WR, ILB, FS, QB
• Running back is the team's most pressing need, but it's too high to take a chance on RB Marshawn Lynch, and Peterson is already off the board. Trading up for RB Peterson is a possibility but the Bills have been tight-lipped if they actually intend on doing so.
• In this scenario, the Bills should address a lesser need by taking Willis, who ranks as the premier linebacker prospect in the 2007 class. Willis has the workout numbers to match his production as a three-year starter in the SEC.
• The team could also use this pick on a cornerback. Hall is off the board in this scenario, so Pittsburgh's Darrelle Revis would be the next best value.
• Also note: Though it sounds like a deal for Chargers RB Michael Turner is off the table, don't completely rule it out on draft day.
13. St. Louis (8-8)
Projected pick: +Alan Branch, DT, Michigan
Needs: DT, DE, LB, CB, RB, G/C, WR, S, P
• The Rams will focus on defense early in the draft, especially the defensive tackle position. With Okoye off the board, Branch is the top candidate. Branch is slipping on many teams' boards due to his inconsistent motor and a potential for durability issues (speculation of shin splints or stress fractures in his legs). However, if the 323-pounder is still on the board at No. 13, it could prove to be a worthwhile risk for the Rams.
• Youth is also needed at defensive end, linebacker and cornerback. ILB Willis would be a great value, if available. The team would also consider DE Jamaal Anderson (Arkansas) and CB Revis with this pick.
• It should also be noted that the Rams showed extra interest in WR/RS Ginn during the month of April.
14. Carolina (8-8)
Projected pick: +Greg Olsen, TE, Miami
Needs: TE, S, ILB, DE, OT, WR, OLB, DE
• Olsen is the best fit if ILB Willis is off the board. Olsen is the only first-round talent in this year's tight end class and he has the speed to take pressure off WRs Steve Smith and Keyshawn Johnson.
• The Panthers have significant needs at safety and linebacker. But they would be reaching at No. 14 for safeties Nelson and Michael Griffin (Texas), as well as LBs Lawrence Timmons (Florida State) and Paul Posluszny (Penn State).
• Defensive end and defensive tackle are also possibilities if the right prospect falls to them here.
15. Pittsburgh (8-8)
Projected pick: +Lawrence Timmons, OLB, Florida State
Needs: OLB, G, DE, CB, RB, WR, C, ILB, TE, FB
• The Steelers need to address their outside linebacker situation early in this year's draft. Although Posluszny and DE/OLB Jarvis Moss are possibilities, Timmons seems to make the most sense as new head coach Mike Tomlin transitions from a 3-4 to a 4-3 defensive alignment. Timmons can provide some pass-rushing production in the team's current 3-4 system, but he also projects as a better fit as a weakside linebacker in the 4-3 scheme.
• They also could use this pick on a defensive lineman (Branch or Carriker if available) or cornerback (Hall or Revis if available).
• The Steelers would like to improve depth at guard, wide receiver and running back, but they're likely to do so after Round 1.
16. Green Bay (8-8)
Projected pick: +Marshawn Lynch, RB, Cal
Needs: RB, S, TE, WR, DT, CB, OLB, G
• The Packers are in desperate need of offensive playmakers, particularly at running back. After Peterson, Lynch is the best back the 2007 class has to offer. QB Brett Favre could help maximize Lynch's explosiveness and versatility if they're working in the same backfield next fall.
• If Lynch is gone, or if they pass on him due to character/durability issues, the Packers could use this pick to select the best available tight end (Olsen) or wide receiver (Ginn, Bowe or Meachem).
• Safety is the team's top defensive need, but it can address that position in a later round.
17. Jacksonville (8-8)
Projected pick: +Jamaal Anderson, DE, Arkansas
Needs: S, DE, OLB, WR, CB, DT, MLB, G/C, PT, QB, TE
• There is talk of the Jaguars using this pick on a safety, but if Anderson slips he is a much better value than any safety available in this scenario. Anderson has the size and agility to emerge as an impact full-time starter in the future. As a rookie, Anderson could rotate with Paul Spicer on the left side.
• If DEs Adams, Carriker and Anderson are off the board, the Jaguars would likely use this pick on their highest-rated safety after Landry. The list would include Nelson, Texas' Michael Griffin and Miami's Brandon Meriweather.
• They also could take one of the next best DEs in either Moss or Purdue's Anthony Spencer.
18. Cincinnati (8-8)
Projected pick: +Darrelle Revis, CB, Pittsburgh
Needs: CB, WR, OLB, TE, DT, S, OT, QB, DE, G
• The Bengals are likely to use this pick on the best defensive player available (with no character concerns), particularly at cornerback, defensive tackle and outside linebacker. Revis' outstanding workout at Pittsburgh's pro day last month helped solidify his standing as one of the top two corners available in the 2007 class. Revis is instinctive in coverage, he supports the run effectively and he also has value as a potential punt return specialist.
• If Revis doesn't slip to No. 18, the Bengals could use this pick on Texas' Aaron Ross, who is widely considered the next best cornerback prospect.
• DT Branch would be tough to pass on if he slipped this far.
• Other possibilities on the defensive side of the ball include DT Justin Harrell (Tennessee), safeties Nelson and Griffin, and OLBs Timmons, Paul Posluszny and John Beason.
• The only two offensive players the Bengals have shown interest in are TE Olsen and WR/RS Ginn.
19. Tennessee (8-8)
Projected pick: +Ted Ginn Jr., WR, Ohio State
Needs: WR, RB, CB, DE, DT, MLB, G/O, S, OLB, QB
• The Titans would be elated if Ginn slipped to them at No. 19. He has the speed to stretch the field vertically for QB Vince Young, who needs more weapons to work with on the perimeter. The Titans would benefit from Ginn's world-class speed in the return game, especially considering the suspension of Pacman Jones and the free-agency departure of Bobby Wade.
• Bowe and Meachem are two other possibilities at wide receiver.
• Tennessee also has a need for a pass-rushing defensive end (Anderson, Moss and Spencer) and depth at cornerback (Hall, Revis and Ross).
• Finally, the team would have to consider RB Lynch should he fall this far.
20. N.Y. Giants (8-8)
Projected pick: Aaron Ross, CB/RS, Texas
Needs: OT, CB, OLB, WR, DT, RB, TE, G/C, PT, PK, ILB
• The Giants have several needs they could address at this spot, including the cornerback position. Ross has the size, instincts and playmaking ability to emerge as a difference maker early in his career. Ross also can help in the return game, which adds to his value.
• David Diehl is penciled in as the team's starting left tackle right now, so Central Michigan's Joe Staley would be awfully tempting here.
• Despite the recent addition of Kavika Mitchell, the Giants still need to upgrade their outside linebacker position. Timmons, Posluszny and Beason would all be candidates if available at No. 20 overall.
• The Giants could surprise if they deem a great value available at defensive tackle (Branch) or wide receiver (Ginn, Bowe and Meachem).
21. Denver (9-7)
Projected pick: +Jarvis Moss, DE/OLB, Florida
Needs: DE, WR, S, OT, DT, MLB, RB, CB
• The Broncos have four picks on the first day, so moving up in the first round is a possibility. Considering the depth at their top positions of need (DE, WR, S), it also wouldn't surprise me a bit if Denver took a deal to move down.
• The Broncos solidified their secondary by trading for Dre' Bly, who will start opposite Champ Bailey. Drafting a pass-rushing threat like Moss is a logical step to help fix a pass defense that ranked 21st in 2006.
• Purdue DE Anthony Spencer is moving up the boards and could easily go ahead of Moss as the fourth end taken.
• If stuck at No. 21 with no satisfying defensive end prospect to choose from, OT Staley, WRs Bowe and Meachem and safeties Nelson, Meriweather and Griffin would all be possibilities.
22. Dallas (9-7)
Projected pick: Dwayne Bowe, WR, LSU
Needs: CB, WR, S, OT, DE, PK, C, NT, ILB, OLB
• The Cowboys have done a nice job of filling their holes during free agency, which gives them some freedom early in the draft. They have interest in moving down if they get the right deal. Otherwise, they will take the best available cornerback, wide receiver, offensive tackle or edge rusher at No. 22.
• In this scenario, Bowe is the best fit. The 6-foot-2, 222-pound wideout displays the size, agility and playmaking skills to develop into a quality starter at the next level. As a rookie in 2007, Bowe could serve as an excellent No. 3 option behind aging veterans Terrell Owens and Terry Glenn.
• Signing Ken Hamlin certainly does not preclude the Cowboys from using this pick on a safety such as Nelson, Griffin or Meriweather.
The Cowboys should also consider a cornerback like Ross, an offensive tackle like Staley or a 3-4 rush-linebacker like Spencer, if available.
23. Kansas City (9-7)
Projected pick: Justin Harrell, DT, Tennessee
Needs: WR, OT, DT, CB, DE, QB, G, FB, LB, C
• Harrell is moving up draft boards because he's regained full strength after suffering a torn biceps as a senior. Additionally, there isn't enough supply at the defensive tackle position to meet the demand of interested NFL teams. The Chiefs can stay ahead of the curve by nabbing Harrell here.
• If Kansas City doesn't go with Harrell, it could find a similar value at cornerback with Arkansas' Chris Houston or offensive tackle with Staley.
• The Chiefs have a pressing need for a playmaking wide receiver, but it's not their style to spend a high pick at that position. They could surprise by taking Bowe or Meachem at No. 23. Otherwise, the Chiefs can take advantage of this year's deep crop of receivers in a later round.
24. New England (12-4) (from Seattle)
Projected pick: +Reggie Nelson, S, Florida
Needs: ILB, S, CB, OLB, RB, OT, QB, P, NT
• The Patriots, who own 10 picks overall, have made 23 draft-day trades during the Bill Belichick/Scott Pioli era, which dates back to 2000. So don't count out a deal with one of their two first-round picks in this year's draft.
• The Patriots' top needs exist at inside linebacker and safety. In this scenario, Nelson is the best available option. At 6-0 and 198 pounds, Nelson has very good range and playmaking potential as a centerfielder-type free safety. Head coach Bill Belichick loves players from Florida because he has tremendous respect for coach Urban Meyer.
• The team has spent quality time with Meriweather during the pre-draft process and Griffin is another possibility if New England elects to draft a safety at No. 28.
• The Patriots never act as if they're handcuffed by needs during draft weekend, but the Asante Samuel situation should increase their interest in this year's cornerback crop. Ross would be a possibility if available at No. 24 overall. If not, the team has shown interest in Fresno State CB Marcus McCauley, which it could nab later in this round or by trading up into the top half of Round 2.
25. N.Y. Jets (10-6)
Projected pick: Anthony Spencer, DE/OLB, Purdue
Needs: CB, OLB, TE, WR, NT, ILB,C, S
• The Jets should take advantage of their good fortune if Spencer is still on the board at No. 25. Undersized with very good speed and up-the-field playmaking skills, Spencer could be a steal late in the first round if he builds on the progress he made as a senior at Purdue (nation-best 26.5 tackles for loss). He would be an ideal fit opposite DE/OLB Bryan Thomas when the Jets line up in their 3-4 look, and he could provide depth at defensive end when the team is using a four-man front.
• TE Olsen and DT Harrell are two other prospects the Jets will target if available at No. 25.
• Considering their need to upgrade at cornerback, CB Houston should also be on the Jets' short list of prospects in this scenario. Teams have differing opinions regarding Houston's value. Although he certainly has room to improve with regards to his technique and overall run-support skills, Houston is blessed with outstanding speed, athleticism and upper-body strength. However, it's not typically the style of the Bill Parcells/Belichick coaching tree to spend a high pick on the cornerback position.
26. Philadelphia (10-6)
Projected pick: Brandon Meriweather, S, Miami-FL
Needs: CB, S, DE, OLB, RB, WR, TE, MLB, PK, DT
• Although the Eagles certainly can use depth at several different positions, it's hard to find a glaring weakness at any starting spot on their depth chart. One thing is certain, the Eagles will not be handcuffed by positions of need in this year's draft.
• Meriweather is a good value here because of his versatility and toughness, so long as the Eagles are comfortable with his character. The team could use Meriweather as insurance at the safety position, as Brian Dawkins is 34 and Sean Considine is still unproven.
• Other possibilities in this scenario could include S Griffin, CB Houston, and OLBs Posluszny and Beason.
27. New Orleans (10-6)
Projected pick: Paul Posluszny, LB, Penn State
Needs: DT, LB, DC, WR, TE, DE, G/C, QB
• The Saints would like to use this pick on the best available defensive prospect, particularly at linebacker or defensive tackle. The career tackles leader at Penn State, Posluszny is instinctive, quick and tough enough to eventually emerge as an upgrade at outside linebacker for the Saints.
• DT Harrell would be tough to pass on if he falls.
• Beason and Harris are two more linebackers New Orleans would consider with this selection.
• The Saints could still take a cornerback should the right value (Ross or Houston) fall to them at No. 27. However, the team is no longer handcuffed by that need after signing restricted free agent Jason David -- assuming the Colts opt not to match the offer by Friday.
• Although it's unlikely the Eagles would use a first-round pick on a wide receiver, they do need depth at the position and could take advantage of a great value falling in their lap, such as Ginn, Bowe or Meachem.
28. New England (12-4)
Projected pick: +John Beason, LB, Miami-FL
• After landing S Nelson four picks earlier, the team could use this pick on the best available linebacker. New England would consider Michigan's David Harris here, but Beason is the better value. He's instinctive, quick and tough enough to develop into a good starter at inside linebacker in the team's 3-4 scheme. Belichick's system is complex, which is why the team typically avoids drafting linebackers high. However, Beason would have ample time to learn as a backup in 2007 behind aging veteran ILBs Tedy Bruschi and Mike Vrabel.
• As is always the case with the Patriots, don't be surprised if they stray from their needs and take advantage of a player who falls to them at No. 28 overall. Some examples could include OT Staley, Auburn G Ben Grubbs, USC C Ryan Kalil, WR Bowe, DT Harrell or OLB/DE Spencer.
29. Baltimore (13-3)
Projected pick: Joe Staley, OT, Central Michigan
Needs: CB, OT, OLB, ILB, FB, C/G, QB, S, DE
• The Ravens will be extremely fortunate if Staley falls to them at No. 29. He's a fast-rising prospect with excellent feet and the frame to get bigger and stronger. With Jonathan Ogden threatening to retire, Staley becomes the future at left tackle for the Ravens.
• Baltimore could also look to target the best available cornerback or linebacker with this selection. CB Houston would be a possibility in this scenario, as would ILB Harris. The team would be even more tempted to pull the trigger on OLB/DE Spencer should he fall to them here.
• Don't rule out C Kalil, G Grubbs, OT Tony Ugoh (Arkansas) and OG/OT Justin Blalock (Texas) if Staley is off the board.
• Finally, GM Ozzie Newsome has built the Ravens by drafting the best available player rather than reaching for prospects at positions of need. So, if a player of superior value falls to them here, don't be surprised if the Ravens take him instead of the best available offensive lineman, linebacker or cornerback.
30. San Diego (14-2)
Projected pick: +Robert Meachem, WR, Tennessee
Needs: WR, S, ILB, CB, DL, RB, G, OT, OLB, LS
• Meachem could easily be off the board in the top 20. Needless to say, the Chargers would be stoked to get him at No. 30. Although he may never be a pure No. 1 receiver in the NFL, Meachem has the speed and playmaking skills to take attention away from RB LaDainian Tomlinson and TE Antonio Gates.
• Ohio State's Anthony Gonzalez and USC's Dwayne Jarrett and Steve Smith would be the other wide receiver possibilities with this pick.
• The team also could take the best available safety or linebacker with this pick. Some options could include safeties Griffin and Meriweather, as well as LBs Beason and Harris.
31. Chicago (13-3)
Projected pick: +Dwayne Jarrett, WR, USC
Needs: DT, OLB, WR, TE, RB, OT, QB, S, G, PT
• The Bears have bigger needs at defensive tackle and outside linebacker, but Jarrett is a much better value than any player remaining at those positions in this scenario. Despite his subpar workout results at USC's pro day, Jarrett is one of the top five receivers in this class and he's enough of a playmaker to warrant late-first round consideration.
• Gonzalez and Smith would be the other wide receiver possibilities for the Bears with this pick.
• The Bears also should look to address the outside linebacker position early, even if they fail to trade disgruntled starter Lance Briggs prior to draft weekend. Beason or Posluszny would be great values if either falls to them at No. 31 overall.
• Assuming Okoye and Harrell are off the board, the Bears will need to find depth for their one-gap defensive tackle spot later in this draft.
• Don't be surprised if the Bears take advantage of a good value falling to them at any other position, particularly along the offensive line or at safety.
32. Indianapolis (12-4)
Projected pick: Michael Griffin, S, Texas
Needs: OLB, DT, ILB, RB, G, CB, WR, OT, QB
• The Colts have bigger needs at linebacker and defensive tackle, but Griffin is a good value because he brings experience and versatility to the table after notching 250 tackles during his last two seasons at Texas. He could provide quality depth behind Antoine Bethea and oft-injured Bob Sanders, especially with Mike Doss (Vikings) bolting in the offseason.
• The team would like to see DT Harrell or LB Beason slip to this spot.
• ILB Harris is a possibility but he just doesn't seem to fit the Colts' mold of undersized, speedy defenders.
• Cornerback is a possibility here after the Colts lost both Super Bowl starters (David and Nick Harper) via free agency. However, the team won't reach for one in the first round because the Tampa 2 defense doesn't place as much value on cornerbacks as other schemes. CB Houston is the best available in this scenario but he's an undersized man-to-man coverage specialist who doesn't fit the Colts' prototype.
• A guard like Grubbs or a WR like Smith would be quality values at positions that need an upgrade.
Projected pick: +JaMarcus Russell, QB, LSU
Needs: QB, DT, OT/G, TE, WR, LB, CB, RB
• Russell makes the most sense for a team loaded with talented wide receivers (Randy Moss, Jerry Porter and Ronald Curry) but nobody to get the ball to them.
• It seems the window of opportunity has passed for Oakland to acquire a veteran starting quarterback in order to justify taking Georgia Tech WR Calvin Johnson. If the team does add a second-tier veteran between now and the draft, it will do so as insurance for Russell. A veteran like Tim Rattay could potentially bridge the gap for a season while Russell is being groomed for 2008.
• Oakland will continue to field trade calls but it's highly unlikely owner Al Davis will move out of the No. 1 spot.
• The Raiders will also continue communications with the agents for Johnson and QB Brady Quinn, but more so for leverage purposes in attempts to get a pre-draft deal done with Russell.
2. Detroit (3-13)
Projected pick: +Calvin Johnson, WR, Georgia Tech
Needs: QB, ILB, CB, TE, S, WR, C, DT, DE
• Johnson coming off the board at No. 2 is the most logical assumption at this point in time.
• Assuming Russell goes No. 1 to the Raiders, the Lions will put their pick up for public auction. The Buccaneers, Redskins and Falcons are all rumored to have interest in trading up for Johnson, but striking a deal will be much harder than most think. The Lions would ideally like to trade down within the top 10, acquire an extra pick or two and still draft Clemson DE Gaines Adams or Wisconsin OT Joe Thomas in the first round.
• All bets are off if Oakland takes Johnson. Detroit could find a trading partner in Cleveland, but it wouldn't get much in return for moving down one spot (possibly the Browns' third and fourth-round picks).
• If stuck at No. 2 with Johnson as the top pick, the Lions would likely decide between Russell, Adams and Thomas.
3. Cleveland (4-12)
Projected pick: Brady Quinn, QB, Notre Dame
Needs: CB, QB, RB, LOT, DL, WR, S, OLB
• The Browns would love to land Russell with this pick and would consider moving up one spot if Russell fell and if the Lions made a generous offer.
• If Russell is gone, GM Phil Savage will have an excruciatingly difficult decision to make between Quinn and Adrian Peterson. Although I consider Peterson the higher-rated prospect, Quinn seems to be the more likely pick.
• The Browns are rumored to have some interest in trading down but it's a long shot. The only moves they would likely consider would be down one or two spots with the Buccaneers and Cardinals, respectively. That would keep the Browns within striking range of what Savage considers to be the five elite prospects in this year's class (Johnson, Peterson, Quinn, Russell and Thomas).
4. Tampa Bay (4-12)
Projected pick: Gaines Adams, DE, Clemson
Needs: WR, DT, S, DE, CB, OT, RB, TE
• The Bucs are reportedly already in discussions with the Lions to trade up if WR Johnson is on the board at No. 2 overall. Coach Jon Gruden must be salivating at the possibility of working with a dynamic playmaker like Johnson. The Bucs own four of the top 68 picks overall. Unfortunately for Tampa, it is expected to take at least three of those Day 1 picks to move up two spots.
• If the Buccaneers can't land Johnson they'll look to bail out of this pick. They could trade down, acquire more picks and still land a quality prospect such as DE Adams, DT Amobi Okoye (Louisville) or S Laron Landry (LSU).
• If stuck at No. 4, the Bucs are expected to choose between OT Thomas and DE Adams.
5. Arizona (5-11)
Projected pick: Joe Thomas, OT, Wisconsin
Needs: OT, WLB, CB, DT, DE, TE, S, P
• This is the best-case scenario for a Cardinals team in desperate need of an upgrade at offensive tackle. Thomas is the premier offensive line talent in the 2007 class and he's ready to start immediately. He would help protect last year's first-round investment, QB Matt Leinart, while also upgrading a run offense that finished 30th last year despite the acquisition of RB Edgerrin James.
• There are some rumblings that the Cardinals would strongly consider Peterson if a similar scenario unfolds. Although Thomas fills a great need, Peterson is considered by most to be the better value and new head coach Ken Whisenhunt would like to run the ball enough to keep two premier backs like Peterson and James content.
6. Washington (5-11)
Projected pick: Amobi Okoye, DT, Louisville
Needs: DT, DE, G, S, CB, WR, OLB, QB, TE
• Washington's No. 1 priority is to trade out of the No. 6 spot. Regardless of where they pick, the Redskins should be in search for the best available defensive lineman (DT or DE) after setting a franchise record with only 19 sacks and finishing 27th versus the run in 2006.
• Trading back is the smartest play for the Skins, as they currently are without picks in the second, third and fourth rounds. Moving back would allow them to recoup some of those picks, while still getting a very good value on one of the top defensive linemen. The Vikings (No. 7) and Dolphins (No. 9) are potential trade partners if Quinn is still on the board. The Texans (No. 10), Bills (No. 12) and Packers (No. 16) would be possible suitors if Peterson is available.
• If stuck at No. 6 with DE Adams already off the board, DT Okoye becomes the next-best option. The 19-year-old has bulked up to 300-plus pounds and ran the 40 in the 4.8-second range at an on-campus workout.
• Although it's a long shot, there are some whispers of the Redskins trading away next year's first-round pick (and possibly more) in order to move up for WR Johnson.
7. Minnesota (6-10)
Projected pick: +Adrian Peterson, RB, Oklahoma
Needs: WR, DE, CB, TE, C/G, QB, DT, RB, ILB
• Minnesota is in a tough spot at No. 7. The team's two biggest needs are at wide receiver and defensive end, but the top players at those positions (WR Johnson and WR Adams) should be gone.
• It would be considered too high to reach for a cornerback like Leon Hall (Michigan) or Darrelle Revis (Pittsburgh).
• Landry is a good value at No. 7 but safety is one of the team's deeper positions.
• Minnesota could get a great value if Quinn or Peterson falls to the Vikes at No. 7, but neither plays a position of pressing need for the team. Although the Vikings still like the potential of QB Tarvaris Jackson (last year's second-round pick), it would be awfully difficult to pass on Quinn if he slips to No. 7. The same can be said for Peterson despite the presence of starting RB Chester Taylor, who rushed for 1,216 yards in 2006.
• The team is rumored to have interest in trading up for Quinn, but I have a hard time buying into that speculation. GM Rick Spielman believes in building through the draft, so the team is definitely open to trading down and stockpiling picks. Unfortunately for the Vikings, it looks like Washington could trade one pick ahead of them, which will make it significantly harder for the Vikings to find a suitor.
8. Atlanta (7-9)
(from Houston)
Projected pick: LaRon Landry, S, LSU
Needs: S, DE, OT, CB, G, DT, RB, PK, MLB, QB
• Landry is the best pick if Atlanta stays at No. 8. A four-year starter in the SEC, Landry should be ready to start immediately in the NFL and he would give the Falcons a significant upgrade in speed, athleticism and toughness at the safety position.
• OT Levi Brown is another strong possibility, especially with new head coach Bobby Petrino looking to get bigger and more physical along the offensive line.
• Depending on how the first seven picks shake out, the Falcons would consider DTs Okoye and Alan Branch (Michigan) at No. 8.
• The Falcons currently own 10 picks overall, which gives them ammunition to move up the board on Day 1. The Falcons are rumored to have an interest in moving up to No. 2 for WR Johnson. Such a move would likely cost the team its top three picks (8, 39 and 44).
9. Miami (6-10)
Projected pick: Levi Brown, OT, Penn State
Needs: OT/G, QB, DL, CB, TE, WR, S, RB, LB, C
• Although nothing has been finalized at this point, it seems inevitable that the team will welcome QB Trent Green (Chiefs) and part ways with QB Daunte Culpepper. Regardless, the team is expected to address the future of the quarterback position early in the 2007 draft. The Dolphins may consider moving up if Quinn falls to No. 6 (Redskins) or No. 7 (Vikings). Otherwise, they should target Stanford's Trent Edwards or Michigan State's Drew Stanton in Round 2.
• If it's not Quinn in the first round, expect Miami to take the best available offensive or defensive lineman at No. 9. Brown, who is this draft's second-rated offensive tackle behind Thomas, has the size and mobility to solidify the Dolphins' left tackle position for years to come.
• In this scenario, DT Branch would be the best available defensive lineman.
10. Houston (6-10)
(from Atlanta)
Projected pick: Leon Hall, CB, Michigan
Needs: CB, WR, S, DT, OLB, DE, OT, RB
• Houston is rumored to have interest in trading up for RB Peterson but it seems unlikely considering its multitude of needs. Peterson would, however, be a tremendous value in the unlikely scenario he falls to the Texans at No. 10. Houston has more pressing needs after signing veteran RB Ahman Green, but it would be awfully tough to pass on Peterson -- one year after passing on Reggie Bush (Saints).
• OT Brown would be a perfect match of need and value if he's available.
• The Texans need to find a quality starter opposite Dunta Robinson and Hall is the top-rated cornerback in this year's class.
• The team has pressing needs at wide receiver and safety but it would be a reach to select the next best prospects at either position. If Houston were able to pull off a downward trade, Ohio State WR Ted Ginn Jr. and Florida S Reggie Nelson would be good fits later in the round.
• In this scenario, DT Branch would be a consideration.
11. San Francisco (7-9)
Projected pick: Adam Carriker, DE, Nebraska
Needs: DT/DE, OLB, S, OT, WR, RB, ILB, TE, FB, C/G
• The 49ers should use this pick to bolster their defensive front. At 296 pounds, Carriker has the size, strength, quickness and technique to develop into a quality every-down starter at DE in the team's 3-4 scheme.
• DT Branch and ILB Patrick Willis (Mississippi) would also be considerations at No. 11.
• Wide receiver is the team's biggest need area but it's too early to spend a pick on Ginn, Dwayne Bowe (LSU) or Robert Meachem (Tennessee).
• Also, with eight picks in the first four rounds, don't be surprised if the 49ers move back into the bottom half of Round 1 like they did a year ago (TE Vernon Davis at No. 6 and DE/OLB Manny Lawson at No. 22). They could use the second choice in the first round on a receiver such as Meachem or a safety such as Nelson.
12. Buffalo (7-9)
Projected pick: Patrick Willis, ILB, Mississippi
Needs: RB, CB, LB, TE, DT, FB, WR, ILB, FS, QB
• Running back is the team's most pressing need, but it's too high to take a chance on RB Marshawn Lynch, and Peterson is already off the board. Trading up for RB Peterson is a possibility but the Bills have been tight-lipped if they actually intend on doing so.
• In this scenario, the Bills should address a lesser need by taking Willis, who ranks as the premier linebacker prospect in the 2007 class. Willis has the workout numbers to match his production as a three-year starter in the SEC.
• The team could also use this pick on a cornerback. Hall is off the board in this scenario, so Pittsburgh's Darrelle Revis would be the next best value.
• Also note: Though it sounds like a deal for Chargers RB Michael Turner is off the table, don't completely rule it out on draft day.
13. St. Louis (8-8)
Projected pick: +Alan Branch, DT, Michigan
Needs: DT, DE, LB, CB, RB, G/C, WR, S, P
• The Rams will focus on defense early in the draft, especially the defensive tackle position. With Okoye off the board, Branch is the top candidate. Branch is slipping on many teams' boards due to his inconsistent motor and a potential for durability issues (speculation of shin splints or stress fractures in his legs). However, if the 323-pounder is still on the board at No. 13, it could prove to be a worthwhile risk for the Rams.
• Youth is also needed at defensive end, linebacker and cornerback. ILB Willis would be a great value, if available. The team would also consider DE Jamaal Anderson (Arkansas) and CB Revis with this pick.
• It should also be noted that the Rams showed extra interest in WR/RS Ginn during the month of April.
14. Carolina (8-8)
Projected pick: +Greg Olsen, TE, Miami
Needs: TE, S, ILB, DE, OT, WR, OLB, DE
• Olsen is the best fit if ILB Willis is off the board. Olsen is the only first-round talent in this year's tight end class and he has the speed to take pressure off WRs Steve Smith and Keyshawn Johnson.
• The Panthers have significant needs at safety and linebacker. But they would be reaching at No. 14 for safeties Nelson and Michael Griffin (Texas), as well as LBs Lawrence Timmons (Florida State) and Paul Posluszny (Penn State).
• Defensive end and defensive tackle are also possibilities if the right prospect falls to them here.
15. Pittsburgh (8-8)
Projected pick: +Lawrence Timmons, OLB, Florida State
Needs: OLB, G, DE, CB, RB, WR, C, ILB, TE, FB
• The Steelers need to address their outside linebacker situation early in this year's draft. Although Posluszny and DE/OLB Jarvis Moss are possibilities, Timmons seems to make the most sense as new head coach Mike Tomlin transitions from a 3-4 to a 4-3 defensive alignment. Timmons can provide some pass-rushing production in the team's current 3-4 system, but he also projects as a better fit as a weakside linebacker in the 4-3 scheme.
• They also could use this pick on a defensive lineman (Branch or Carriker if available) or cornerback (Hall or Revis if available).
• The Steelers would like to improve depth at guard, wide receiver and running back, but they're likely to do so after Round 1.
16. Green Bay (8-8)
Projected pick: +Marshawn Lynch, RB, Cal
Needs: RB, S, TE, WR, DT, CB, OLB, G
• The Packers are in desperate need of offensive playmakers, particularly at running back. After Peterson, Lynch is the best back the 2007 class has to offer. QB Brett Favre could help maximize Lynch's explosiveness and versatility if they're working in the same backfield next fall.
• If Lynch is gone, or if they pass on him due to character/durability issues, the Packers could use this pick to select the best available tight end (Olsen) or wide receiver (Ginn, Bowe or Meachem).
• Safety is the team's top defensive need, but it can address that position in a later round.
17. Jacksonville (8-8)
Projected pick: +Jamaal Anderson, DE, Arkansas
Needs: S, DE, OLB, WR, CB, DT, MLB, G/C, PT, QB, TE
• There is talk of the Jaguars using this pick on a safety, but if Anderson slips he is a much better value than any safety available in this scenario. Anderson has the size and agility to emerge as an impact full-time starter in the future. As a rookie, Anderson could rotate with Paul Spicer on the left side.
• If DEs Adams, Carriker and Anderson are off the board, the Jaguars would likely use this pick on their highest-rated safety after Landry. The list would include Nelson, Texas' Michael Griffin and Miami's Brandon Meriweather.
• They also could take one of the next best DEs in either Moss or Purdue's Anthony Spencer.
18. Cincinnati (8-8)
Projected pick: +Darrelle Revis, CB, Pittsburgh
Needs: CB, WR, OLB, TE, DT, S, OT, QB, DE, G
• The Bengals are likely to use this pick on the best defensive player available (with no character concerns), particularly at cornerback, defensive tackle and outside linebacker. Revis' outstanding workout at Pittsburgh's pro day last month helped solidify his standing as one of the top two corners available in the 2007 class. Revis is instinctive in coverage, he supports the run effectively and he also has value as a potential punt return specialist.
• If Revis doesn't slip to No. 18, the Bengals could use this pick on Texas' Aaron Ross, who is widely considered the next best cornerback prospect.
• DT Branch would be tough to pass on if he slipped this far.
• Other possibilities on the defensive side of the ball include DT Justin Harrell (Tennessee), safeties Nelson and Griffin, and OLBs Timmons, Paul Posluszny and John Beason.
• The only two offensive players the Bengals have shown interest in are TE Olsen and WR/RS Ginn.
19. Tennessee (8-8)
Projected pick: +Ted Ginn Jr., WR, Ohio State
Needs: WR, RB, CB, DE, DT, MLB, G/O, S, OLB, QB
• The Titans would be elated if Ginn slipped to them at No. 19. He has the speed to stretch the field vertically for QB Vince Young, who needs more weapons to work with on the perimeter. The Titans would benefit from Ginn's world-class speed in the return game, especially considering the suspension of Pacman Jones and the free-agency departure of Bobby Wade.
• Bowe and Meachem are two other possibilities at wide receiver.
• Tennessee also has a need for a pass-rushing defensive end (Anderson, Moss and Spencer) and depth at cornerback (Hall, Revis and Ross).
• Finally, the team would have to consider RB Lynch should he fall this far.
20. N.Y. Giants (8-8)
Projected pick: Aaron Ross, CB/RS, Texas
Needs: OT, CB, OLB, WR, DT, RB, TE, G/C, PT, PK, ILB
• The Giants have several needs they could address at this spot, including the cornerback position. Ross has the size, instincts and playmaking ability to emerge as a difference maker early in his career. Ross also can help in the return game, which adds to his value.
• David Diehl is penciled in as the team's starting left tackle right now, so Central Michigan's Joe Staley would be awfully tempting here.
• Despite the recent addition of Kavika Mitchell, the Giants still need to upgrade their outside linebacker position. Timmons, Posluszny and Beason would all be candidates if available at No. 20 overall.
• The Giants could surprise if they deem a great value available at defensive tackle (Branch) or wide receiver (Ginn, Bowe and Meachem).
21. Denver (9-7)
Projected pick: +Jarvis Moss, DE/OLB, Florida
Needs: DE, WR, S, OT, DT, MLB, RB, CB
• The Broncos have four picks on the first day, so moving up in the first round is a possibility. Considering the depth at their top positions of need (DE, WR, S), it also wouldn't surprise me a bit if Denver took a deal to move down.
• The Broncos solidified their secondary by trading for Dre' Bly, who will start opposite Champ Bailey. Drafting a pass-rushing threat like Moss is a logical step to help fix a pass defense that ranked 21st in 2006.
• Purdue DE Anthony Spencer is moving up the boards and could easily go ahead of Moss as the fourth end taken.
• If stuck at No. 21 with no satisfying defensive end prospect to choose from, OT Staley, WRs Bowe and Meachem and safeties Nelson, Meriweather and Griffin would all be possibilities.
22. Dallas (9-7)
Projected pick: Dwayne Bowe, WR, LSU
Needs: CB, WR, S, OT, DE, PK, C, NT, ILB, OLB
• The Cowboys have done a nice job of filling their holes during free agency, which gives them some freedom early in the draft. They have interest in moving down if they get the right deal. Otherwise, they will take the best available cornerback, wide receiver, offensive tackle or edge rusher at No. 22.
• In this scenario, Bowe is the best fit. The 6-foot-2, 222-pound wideout displays the size, agility and playmaking skills to develop into a quality starter at the next level. As a rookie in 2007, Bowe could serve as an excellent No. 3 option behind aging veterans Terrell Owens and Terry Glenn.
• Signing Ken Hamlin certainly does not preclude the Cowboys from using this pick on a safety such as Nelson, Griffin or Meriweather.
The Cowboys should also consider a cornerback like Ross, an offensive tackle like Staley or a 3-4 rush-linebacker like Spencer, if available.
23. Kansas City (9-7)
Projected pick: Justin Harrell, DT, Tennessee
Needs: WR, OT, DT, CB, DE, QB, G, FB, LB, C
• Harrell is moving up draft boards because he's regained full strength after suffering a torn biceps as a senior. Additionally, there isn't enough supply at the defensive tackle position to meet the demand of interested NFL teams. The Chiefs can stay ahead of the curve by nabbing Harrell here.
• If Kansas City doesn't go with Harrell, it could find a similar value at cornerback with Arkansas' Chris Houston or offensive tackle with Staley.
• The Chiefs have a pressing need for a playmaking wide receiver, but it's not their style to spend a high pick at that position. They could surprise by taking Bowe or Meachem at No. 23. Otherwise, the Chiefs can take advantage of this year's deep crop of receivers in a later round.
24. New England (12-4) (from Seattle)
Projected pick: +Reggie Nelson, S, Florida
Needs: ILB, S, CB, OLB, RB, OT, QB, P, NT
• The Patriots, who own 10 picks overall, have made 23 draft-day trades during the Bill Belichick/Scott Pioli era, which dates back to 2000. So don't count out a deal with one of their two first-round picks in this year's draft.
• The Patriots' top needs exist at inside linebacker and safety. In this scenario, Nelson is the best available option. At 6-0 and 198 pounds, Nelson has very good range and playmaking potential as a centerfielder-type free safety. Head coach Bill Belichick loves players from Florida because he has tremendous respect for coach Urban Meyer.
• The team has spent quality time with Meriweather during the pre-draft process and Griffin is another possibility if New England elects to draft a safety at No. 28.
• The Patriots never act as if they're handcuffed by needs during draft weekend, but the Asante Samuel situation should increase their interest in this year's cornerback crop. Ross would be a possibility if available at No. 24 overall. If not, the team has shown interest in Fresno State CB Marcus McCauley, which it could nab later in this round or by trading up into the top half of Round 2.
25. N.Y. Jets (10-6)
Projected pick: Anthony Spencer, DE/OLB, Purdue
Needs: CB, OLB, TE, WR, NT, ILB,C, S
• The Jets should take advantage of their good fortune if Spencer is still on the board at No. 25. Undersized with very good speed and up-the-field playmaking skills, Spencer could be a steal late in the first round if he builds on the progress he made as a senior at Purdue (nation-best 26.5 tackles for loss). He would be an ideal fit opposite DE/OLB Bryan Thomas when the Jets line up in their 3-4 look, and he could provide depth at defensive end when the team is using a four-man front.
• TE Olsen and DT Harrell are two other prospects the Jets will target if available at No. 25.
• Considering their need to upgrade at cornerback, CB Houston should also be on the Jets' short list of prospects in this scenario. Teams have differing opinions regarding Houston's value. Although he certainly has room to improve with regards to his technique and overall run-support skills, Houston is blessed with outstanding speed, athleticism and upper-body strength. However, it's not typically the style of the Bill Parcells/Belichick coaching tree to spend a high pick on the cornerback position.
26. Philadelphia (10-6)
Projected pick: Brandon Meriweather, S, Miami-FL
Needs: CB, S, DE, OLB, RB, WR, TE, MLB, PK, DT
• Although the Eagles certainly can use depth at several different positions, it's hard to find a glaring weakness at any starting spot on their depth chart. One thing is certain, the Eagles will not be handcuffed by positions of need in this year's draft.
• Meriweather is a good value here because of his versatility and toughness, so long as the Eagles are comfortable with his character. The team could use Meriweather as insurance at the safety position, as Brian Dawkins is 34 and Sean Considine is still unproven.
• Other possibilities in this scenario could include S Griffin, CB Houston, and OLBs Posluszny and Beason.
27. New Orleans (10-6)
Projected pick: Paul Posluszny, LB, Penn State
Needs: DT, LB, DC, WR, TE, DE, G/C, QB
• The Saints would like to use this pick on the best available defensive prospect, particularly at linebacker or defensive tackle. The career tackles leader at Penn State, Posluszny is instinctive, quick and tough enough to eventually emerge as an upgrade at outside linebacker for the Saints.
• DT Harrell would be tough to pass on if he falls.
• Beason and Harris are two more linebackers New Orleans would consider with this selection.
• The Saints could still take a cornerback should the right value (Ross or Houston) fall to them at No. 27. However, the team is no longer handcuffed by that need after signing restricted free agent Jason David -- assuming the Colts opt not to match the offer by Friday.
• Although it's unlikely the Eagles would use a first-round pick on a wide receiver, they do need depth at the position and could take advantage of a great value falling in their lap, such as Ginn, Bowe or Meachem.
28. New England (12-4)
Projected pick: +John Beason, LB, Miami-FL
• After landing S Nelson four picks earlier, the team could use this pick on the best available linebacker. New England would consider Michigan's David Harris here, but Beason is the better value. He's instinctive, quick and tough enough to develop into a good starter at inside linebacker in the team's 3-4 scheme. Belichick's system is complex, which is why the team typically avoids drafting linebackers high. However, Beason would have ample time to learn as a backup in 2007 behind aging veteran ILBs Tedy Bruschi and Mike Vrabel.
• As is always the case with the Patriots, don't be surprised if they stray from their needs and take advantage of a player who falls to them at No. 28 overall. Some examples could include OT Staley, Auburn G Ben Grubbs, USC C Ryan Kalil, WR Bowe, DT Harrell or OLB/DE Spencer.
29. Baltimore (13-3)
Projected pick: Joe Staley, OT, Central Michigan
Needs: CB, OT, OLB, ILB, FB, C/G, QB, S, DE
• The Ravens will be extremely fortunate if Staley falls to them at No. 29. He's a fast-rising prospect with excellent feet and the frame to get bigger and stronger. With Jonathan Ogden threatening to retire, Staley becomes the future at left tackle for the Ravens.
• Baltimore could also look to target the best available cornerback or linebacker with this selection. CB Houston would be a possibility in this scenario, as would ILB Harris. The team would be even more tempted to pull the trigger on OLB/DE Spencer should he fall to them here.
• Don't rule out C Kalil, G Grubbs, OT Tony Ugoh (Arkansas) and OG/OT Justin Blalock (Texas) if Staley is off the board.
• Finally, GM Ozzie Newsome has built the Ravens by drafting the best available player rather than reaching for prospects at positions of need. So, if a player of superior value falls to them here, don't be surprised if the Ravens take him instead of the best available offensive lineman, linebacker or cornerback.
30. San Diego (14-2)
Projected pick: +Robert Meachem, WR, Tennessee
Needs: WR, S, ILB, CB, DL, RB, G, OT, OLB, LS
• Meachem could easily be off the board in the top 20. Needless to say, the Chargers would be stoked to get him at No. 30. Although he may never be a pure No. 1 receiver in the NFL, Meachem has the speed and playmaking skills to take attention away from RB LaDainian Tomlinson and TE Antonio Gates.
• Ohio State's Anthony Gonzalez and USC's Dwayne Jarrett and Steve Smith would be the other wide receiver possibilities with this pick.
• The team also could take the best available safety or linebacker with this pick. Some options could include safeties Griffin and Meriweather, as well as LBs Beason and Harris.
31. Chicago (13-3)
Projected pick: +Dwayne Jarrett, WR, USC
Needs: DT, OLB, WR, TE, RB, OT, QB, S, G, PT
• The Bears have bigger needs at defensive tackle and outside linebacker, but Jarrett is a much better value than any player remaining at those positions in this scenario. Despite his subpar workout results at USC's pro day, Jarrett is one of the top five receivers in this class and he's enough of a playmaker to warrant late-first round consideration.
• Gonzalez and Smith would be the other wide receiver possibilities for the Bears with this pick.
• The Bears also should look to address the outside linebacker position early, even if they fail to trade disgruntled starter Lance Briggs prior to draft weekend. Beason or Posluszny would be great values if either falls to them at No. 31 overall.
• Assuming Okoye and Harrell are off the board, the Bears will need to find depth for their one-gap defensive tackle spot later in this draft.
• Don't be surprised if the Bears take advantage of a good value falling to them at any other position, particularly along the offensive line or at safety.
32. Indianapolis (12-4)
Projected pick: Michael Griffin, S, Texas
Needs: OLB, DT, ILB, RB, G, CB, WR, OT, QB
• The Colts have bigger needs at linebacker and defensive tackle, but Griffin is a good value because he brings experience and versatility to the table after notching 250 tackles during his last two seasons at Texas. He could provide quality depth behind Antoine Bethea and oft-injured Bob Sanders, especially with Mike Doss (Vikings) bolting in the offseason.
• The team would like to see DT Harrell or LB Beason slip to this spot.
• ILB Harris is a possibility but he just doesn't seem to fit the Colts' mold of undersized, speedy defenders.
• Cornerback is a possibility here after the Colts lost both Super Bowl starters (David and Nick Harper) via free agency. However, the team won't reach for one in the first round because the Tampa 2 defense doesn't place as much value on cornerbacks as other schemes. CB Houston is the best available in this scenario but he's an undersized man-to-man coverage specialist who doesn't fit the Colts' prototype.
• A guard like Grubbs or a WR like Smith would be quality values at positions that need an upgrade.