PDA

View Full Version : Fox sports Rookie impact analysis



Rastak
05-28-2007, 07:48 PM
It's time to welcome a few well-intentioned rookies to the NFL, where the first learning curve arrives while you're backing out of the driveway.

Thanks to a party favor known as the salary cap, rookie production is required more quickly than seems reasonable. The attendant fiscal juggling often encourages teams — even the good ones — to jettison above-average (and relatively pricey) veterans and replace them during a marathon known as the NFL Draft.
NFL off-season

Now that we're all off the clock, you're quite aware of who had the top selections and which players were chosen to play inside these pressure-cookers. But who will emerge as early contributors? Well, the early picks were the early picks for a reason.

However, a few prospects who somehow avoided first-round attention have opportunities to prematurely shine. In an effort to supply you with a game-plan on which rookies to pay the greatest attention to, we're here to look at the expected and possibly unexpected. Please note that this is not intended as a fantasy-draft primer.


THE ANTICIPATED

JaMarcus Russell (LSU), quarterback, Oakland Raiders: Based on the swift, precedent-setting ascension of last year's first-round passers, the No. 1 overall pick for 2007 may not have to wait long for his chance.
Standing (or falling, based on last year's league-high 72 sacks) between him and the staring lineup are incumbent youngster Andrew Walter and veteran newcomer Josh McCown.

Walter lacks the mobility to escape the rush and McCown couldn't make a dent in Detroit. But Russell, who has ridiculous arm, should get an early call because the Raiders averaged a league low 4.36 yards-per-pass play in 2006.


Calvin Johnson (Georgia Tech), receiver, Detroit Lions: Yeah, as the second overall pick this guy seems pretty obvious. All Johnson does is register as a Terrell Owens with more size, strength and speed, better hands and a superior attitude. That's it.
Please note that the size and ability to elevate could be a boon to an offense that finished 30th in the league in red-zone efficiency. By the way, the Lions already have Roy Williams, which could provide single coverage for a dangerous rookie.


Joe Thomas (Wisconsin), tackle, Cleveland Browns: A potentially great left tackle on a bad team seems as philosophically shaky as slurping expensive wine with canned spaghetti. But, hey, you have to start somewhere with the third pick.
Thomas, who went fishing during the draft, goes to a team that waited until late in the first round before it went fishing for a QB.


Gaines Adams (Clemson), defensive end, Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Right, we're just marching down the first-round roll call to No. 4. Adams, it has been alleged, is quite similar to current Bucs defensive end Simeon Rice. Then why take him? Well, Tampa Bay's 25 sacks check in as the second-lowest total in the NFC.
With Rice ahead of him on one side and veteran free-agent acquisition Kevin Carter on the other, Adams will have to work harder to reach the field on a consistent basis.


Levi Brown (Penn State), tackle, Arizona Cardinals: Brown is expected to line up on the right side, where he can protect Matt Leinart's blind spot. Apparently, this is the same side that prevented Leinart from seeing all of those photo-radar cameras in Scottsdale.
Anyway, even more important is Brown's anticipated ability as a road-grating run blocker for a team that averaged an NFC-worst 3.19 yards per rush in '06.


Patrick Willis should give the 49ers defense an immediate lift. (Associated Press)


Patrick Willis (Mississippi), linebacker, San Francisco 49ers: A few draft sharpies thought Willis went a bit quickly at 11, but something even more unreasonably high was the Niners' rushing-touchdowns-allowed number (18) last season.

Adam Carriker (Nebraska), defensive line, St. Louis Rams: The 13th overall pick goes 6-foot-6 and more than 290 pounds — big enough to help the Rams bring down an NFC-high 145.4 rushing yards allowed per game.
Carriker, who spent most of his Cornhusker snaps on the edge, will have to adjust to life at tackle. Minicamp scuttlebutt says he's been doing just fine.


DON'T FORGET THESE GUYS

Justin Blalock (Texas), guard, Atlanta Falcons: Jamaal Anderson, who went eighth overall — seems like a solid first-round pick for the Falcons. But Blalock, who slipped to the second round, is a bulky sort and had the top Wonderlic score at the 2007 combine.
This suggests he's smart enough to avoid flipping off the home crowd, creating a ridiculous alias or engaging in several other ill-advised, off-field pursuits.


Dwayne Jarrett (USC), receiver, and Ryan Kalil (USC), center, Carolina Panthers: The Panthers strike twice with potential steals out of USC in the second round.
Although stopwatch speed was his draft-day downfall, Jarrett is quicker than the guy he's replacing (Keyshawn Johnson). His hands and size should help the Panthers rise from 19th overall in red-zone efficiency.

Kalil should step in as the starter for an offensive line that helped create a measly seven rushing touchdowns last season.


Mike Walker (Central Florida), receiver, and John Broussard (San Jose State), receiver, Jacksonville Jaguars: With Dirk Koetter (Arizona State) on board as offensive coordinator, look for the Jags to supplement an already-excellent ground game with a vertical approach to passing.
The Jags' prevailing lineup of rangy receivers lacks the downfield speed to take advantage of Byron Leftwich's gun. Walker and Broussard — whose hands were stickier in minicamp than advertised — could fill the bill.


Robert Meacham (Tennessee), receiver, New Orleans Saints: Meacham, despite being big, strong and fast, slipped to the 27th overall pick. He now works for a team that creates a lot of attention for Marcus Colston and Reggie Bush, leaving a large portion of field open for a big, strong and fast receiver.

David Harris (Michigan), linebacker, New York Jets: The Jets traded up 12 spots to land the former Wolverine in the second round. This suggests Harris can play, and that Johnson Vilma needs help on a defense that surrendered 4.6 yards per rushing play.

POTENTIAL HALL-OF-FAMER

Adrian Peterson (Oklahoma), running back, Minnesota Vikings: If the Vikes can use the pass to keep defenses even reasonably honest and if his health isn't a future concern, this guy should run all the way to Canton.
Veteran columnist Randy Hill is a frequent contributor to FOXSports.com.

swede
05-29-2007, 12:25 PM
Adrian Peterson to the hall of fame? Before a single game has been played?

No mention of Justin Harrell? But David Harris--quick, who drafted him and when?--gets a little man love even though he got picked in the second round.

This is why they should drug test sports writers.

retailguy
05-29-2007, 03:43 PM
Justin who? :D


Why should Harrell be mentioned in the mainstream press? What about the other 20 odd players who weren't mentioned? Shouldn't they be mentioned too?

Peterson is a rare talent. However, he's also rarely been healthy... They've got to hype someone... Might as well be Adrian.

Anyone heard whether Harrell will be healthy enough to practice at the next OTA?

The Leaper
05-29-2007, 04:09 PM
No mention of Justin Harrell? But David Harris--quick, who drafted him and when?--gets a little man love even though he got picked in the second round.

Well, the Jets drafted based on NEED...so the kid is going to see playing time, and thus be more likely to make an impact as a rookie. Harrell comes into a loaded DL...he's far less likely to make a major impact measureable in stats as a result.

I just think the bigger laugh comes when they cite the "trade up" as evidence that this guy is any more capable at making an impact as someone else. The fact of the matter is that is shows more the desperation of the team making the move than the ability level of the player being drafted.