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Bretsky
10-18-2007, 07:28 AM
Riddle to solve
Packers' offense has stalled facing the Tampa-2 defense
By GREG A. BEDARD
gbedard@journalsentinel.com
Posted: Oct. 17, 2007

Green Bay - With Green Bay riding a 4-0 record and enjoying a 17-7 halftime lead against the Chicago Bears in Week 5, it seemed as if the Packers' passing offense could do no wrong.

Sure the Packers' running game was far from threatening. But with quarterback Brett Favre playing like an MVP once again and his receivers catching the ball all over the field, who cared about Green Bay running the ball?

Apparently not its opponents. Starting with the second half against the Bears and continuing through the game against the Washington Redskins, defenses finally ignored the Packers' running game and concentrated on defending the pass by using a modified version of the Cover-2 defense, the Tampa-2.

And the results have had the Packers running for cover.

Yes, Green Bay managed to beat the Redskins, but its passing statistics continued a downward spiral that began in the second half against the Bears.

Completion percentage is down more than 15 points. Yards gained per passing attempt are nearly half what they were. Favre has yet to throw a touchdown pass against the Tampa-2, while his interceptions have doubled to four in just six quarters. As a result, his passer rating has gone from MVP-range (101.6) to that of a journeyman backup (35.9) in the past six quarters. And most importantly, the Packers' average points-per-quarter mark has shrunk by a field goal.

And if the Packers don't use this bye week to find a way to combat the Tampa-2 defense, things could get worse.

"It's safe to say you're opening up a can of worms if you're not moving the ball real well against Tampa-2," said offensive coordinator Joe Philbin. "Then it's going to be a part of every team's plans from here on out.

"We have to come up with some better answers because we're not executing the way we need to."

The Tampa-2 defense was created by Indianapolis Colts coach Tony Dungy when he was the defensive coordinator of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. It's derived from the Cover-2 with a few differences.

The two safeties play very deep and divide the field in half between them. And the middle (Mike) linebacker is a vital component of the pass defense because he drops deep into coverage to defend the scheme's biggest weakness: the deep middle of the field between the safeties.

The best way to combat the Tampa-2 is run the ball because it doesn't normally commit enough defenders. So with the Packers ranked last in the NFL (32nd) with 65.7 yards per game, their lack of a running game has finally caught up with them.

"I always liked it when people played me Tampa-2 because you want to run the ball," Packers coach Mike McCarthy said. "It really goes back to the run game question. We need to do a better job of taking advantage of the seven-man box. If you've got two backs in the backfield, and you cannot run the ball well against a seven-man box, you're playing uphill. And we have done that the last (six) quarters."

The Packers have been so bad running the ball that the Redskins threw two new wrinkles that further caused problems for Favre and the passing offense.

In passing down and distances, Washington dropped an eighth player - a defensive tackle, at that - into pass coverage in the short middle of the field and rushed only three. That "Zeke" formation is not something the Packers anticipated.

"I think at times that got us a little bit out of sync in the passing game," said receivers coach Jimmy Robinson.

The Redskins also played their corners with inside leverage - meaning they played on the ball side of the receivers - to keep the Packers from executing their slants, which were the team's most effective patterns early in the season.

Green Bay knows that it will not be able to move the ball with consistency against the Tampa-2 until its running game is a threat. Once that happens, defenses will have to commit more manpower to stopping the run, and the threat of the play-action fakes will hold the linebackers and open up some passing lanes.

"You would think with that many guys committed to stopping the pass, obviously you feel like running the ball has to be one answer and we have to do that better," Philbin said.

Even if the running game continues to struggle, the Packers should have opportunities to pass the ball against the Tampa-2.

Green Bay exposed one weakness - the deep middle of the field between the safeties - on the 60-yard reception by tight end Donald Lee in the first quarter against the Redskins. And if the safeties are held by play-action or a receiver streaking down the middle, the sidelines are open for a fly pattern in the 15- to 25-yard range. Favre had opportunities there but failed to connect when he underthrew receivers four times.

"We had some areas of their coverage scheme that we felt we were able to attack, particularly with the deep ball, but we didn't get that done," McCarthy said.

There are also openings for short crossing patterns and quick throws at the line of scrimmage.

"We have the plays to take advantage of it; we've had them in our offense for two years," quarterbacks coach Tom Clements said. "It's just a matter of being able to get in some type of rhythm. If you can hit those plays and a run play here and there, you can have success.

"You have to be patient against that defense because it's designed not to give up the big play. If you want to try to get the big play, you have to hold the ball for a fair amount of time. Most of the time you have to take the 4-, 5-yard passes, hopefully get some yards after the catch, get in some type of rhythm and get the running game going."

The Packers should catch a break in their next game, Oct. 29 against the Denver Broncos. Former Packers defensive coordinator Jim Bates has installed the same bump-and-run scheme in Denver that he brought to Green Bay.

But all the Packers' NFC North rivals run a version of the Cover-2 defense, as do upcoming opponents Kansas City, Carolina and St. Louis.

That means if the Packers are to finish the season strongly, their going to have to find an answer to the defense that has left them, at least for now, stopped in their tracks.

"They all look at the film," Clements said. "If they see teams having success, they're going to try to duplicate it. We're going to see more of it. We have seen a lot of it already. But there are holes to every defense. We just have to find them and take advantage."

The Leaper
10-18-2007, 08:16 AM
There's no riddle. The only way to attack a Cover 2 is to either have an elite talent as a receiver at TE that can attack the middle of the defense (we don't) or to have an elite talent out of the backfield as a receiver that will keep the defense honest (again, we don't).

It also helps to spread a Cover 2 out and use 4 WRs with lots of crossing patterns and double moves. I don't think our offense does that much. It is far more bread and butter...mainly because of the inexperience at the skill positions.

Carolina_Packer
10-18-2007, 09:24 AM
There's no riddle. The only way to attack a Cover 2 is to either have an elite talent as a receiver at TE that can attack the middle of the defense (we don't) or to have an elite talent out of the backfield as a receiver that will keep the defense honest (again, we don't).

It also helps to spread a Cover 2 out and use 4 WRs with lots of crossing patterns and double moves. I don't think our offense does that much. It is far more bread and butter...mainly because of the inexperience at the skill positions.

With Robinson back, at some point I think the 4 WR sets are going to be much better. It makes you wonder, if Donald Lee was able to break that one play (not saying they happen a lot) but why didn't they at least try and run that play to him again? Lee should be able to get away from a Mike, at least to get open. I don't know how deep that pattern is, and I don't have a tape of the game. Does anyone know if they tried using the TE's in the middle of the field again during the Redskins game?

The Leaper
10-18-2007, 09:38 AM
I don't know how deep that pattern is, and I don't have a tape of the game. Does anyone know if they tried using the TE's in the middle of the field again during the Redskins game?

I thought the Redskins were watching that more closely after Lee made that catch. To be honest, Lee's catch should only have been a 15 yard completion...that one DB whiffed horribly on an open field tackle. The safeties were sitting at 20 yards out...and often were watching the middle of the field, which is why some of the routes on the edge were open later in the game. Taylor has great range, so he can cover almost half of the field back there.

Neither Lee or Franks has the ability to attack a Cover 2 effectively. They may get lucky if the defense makes a mistake, like Lee took advantage of...but usually, they won't be much of a threat.

fan4life
10-18-2007, 09:49 AM
In another thread, the NFL's Pereira admits that Bubba should have been given the TD on a forceout. And most observers admit that the holding call on the TD to James Jones was ticky-tacky at best, bogus at worst.

How different would the score, the offense and Favre's QB rating look if the refs had done their job correctly and the O-linemen been just a little more conscious of the fact that the refs were looking for a reason to flag them?

The plays were there. I'm more worried about the lousy officiating than I am GB's offense, which can only get better with a veteran WR schooled in the WCO, and a starting guard, returning to the line-up.