Read about Facebooks last earnings report and listen to the conference call. I'm thinking about swallowing my pride about not getting in earlier and finding an entry point.
I'll put my money there before APPL
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I should invest in FB considering how much I use it. There was an article recently that predicted that FB would lose 80% of its users based on an epidemiological study. I LOL'd.
MJZ - Social Media Change Denier. You troglodyte.
http://finance.yahoo.com/blogs/hot-s...MzhXNyoA;_ylu=
I don't buy into this; Facebook is growing on so many levels even if it loses some of it's users....the ad revenew and mobile are growng so fast.
For what it's worth I'm not an investor in Facebook yet....still trying to figure this one out..........but they just reported, to my surprise, a dynamic report and growth outlook.
Each time they've did this they follow through with a better quarter than projected.
Got any stock ideas ? I'm always game to research
Late 2013 was a pretty easy time to make money, so I don't claim any great investing acumen for having done so. More winners than loser, and some up big. I made a few blunders too. Some of the stocks I own right now:
I bought FB in late October under $50, so I am up about 30%.
UBNT bought twice, sold half when I was up 20%. it rose more, then fell. Up 4% on what I have left.
MPAA in November, up 18%.
Z in September, down 6%
Biggest mistake in 2013 - CRUS - stubbornly held on as it fell, lost nearly 35% before I came to my senses. The only thing that makes me feel "better" is that it fell even more and is still lower today than when I sold.
Been playing with Biotechs a lot the last year. Very mixed results so far. Currently own MDVN (prostate cancer drug) that just released some very good clinical study reports. Jumped about 13% early last week. I'm up 32%. I own PCYC, which hasn't made any $ for me.
Owned a couple that had some interesting drugs in clinical trials, which ended up inconclusive, or worse. Lost $ on THLD.
Bought QCOR in 2012. Held for a long time waiting for FDA approvals and final clinical reports. FDA came back with questions and the stock fell. There seemed to be more than normal publicized back & forths between the company and the FDA. I held through a lot of ups and downs, some analyst turned sour on them, which confused me because I thought things seemed to be in a hold rather than negative with the FDA. But, as more experts turned negative I figured I wasn't knowwledgeable about the procedures, so I waited for a good point, got out losing just a little. It dropped a bit again. then turned around and has climbed ever since. I bought and ultimately sold at around $32. It's gotten into the $70's since I sold, so I missed a 100%+ gain. Oh well.........
I wanted to buy AAPL last spring/summer when it was hanging around $400, because that was...ridiculous. But, I was fully invested and didn't have anything I wanted to sell. Right now, investors really have no patience with AAPL
I was looking hard at FB at $29 but did nothing. I DO believe the research and I think they will need to adjust their business model and find other streams of revenue in the future. Americans are very privacy conscious and Zuckerburg is way too cozy with D.C. for me. I think he's capable of selling out his members if it benefits his own personal ambitions.
Personally, I think Twitter could have more permanence than Facebook in the long run. But, again, it's business model is also unproven.
But I can't complain about missing out of FB because my two single remaining stocks did outstanding. I'm getting gun-shy with individual stocks so I have been in the 'buy and hold' camp for a while. Watching Amazon cross the $400 barrier after I sold it at $13 in 2002 will do that to you. :wink:
Short-term, I do have a little cash that I will probably invest after there is a bigger correction. Long-term, I hate the Fed's interference in the Market and changing the rules as they go along. I think the Market is artifically high and several underlying systemic problems have still not been addressed. I wouldn't be surprised if there were a major pull-back after November 2014 for domestic reasons or possibly sooner for international reasons.
Approval and construction of the Keystone XL Pipeline could change everything, however. Wow, imagine real jobs again and a country heading toward energy independence!
Agreed, and weening from it will cause a lot of turbulence in the market on its own, even apart from the real economic factors. Even the announcements months ago of the Fed pulling back sometime in the future made the market gasp.
I had several really nice winners that I almost sold two weeks ago. It is a relatively small account that I actively trade just for the fun of it. I wish I had now. I should anyway, because my gut tells me there are better things to go to right now than the ones I almost sold then. I should have spent some time over the weekend planning.
I wouldn't. Check out @PeterGhostine on Twitter. He is the single best tech analysts I've seen. I intend to get back into Apple in the coming weeks and run it all the way up to 900. I'm trying to convince the wife to let me put 100K into it. I doubt she'll let me, though.
I want the home run. I owe 300K on my house. I want to pay the bitch off within a year or two. Leaving AAPL with 200K would be a pretty sweet and life changing event for me.
Palter and Kiwon...what stocks are you guys floating with ? Right now I'm in
Applied Materials
Under Armour
Yahoo
Channel Advisor (ECOM)
ZU-Zulilly
LOCK (Life Lock)
Had great returns with the first two, ok returns on the next two...and the last two are pretty recent and both pretty speculative IMO
I TOO almost jumped at Facebook at 24.....pissed now that I didn't.
Partial.....still shocked at you. Apple is fine....but there are so many with huge growth right now I'm surprised you are not embracing some of the futuristic ideas. I'm close friends with the investing guy at our company. He's looking for an exit point with AAPL as he's taken a loss and thinks it's not that well positioned.
Partials's estimates of AAPL getting to 1000, or whatever by the end of the year missed badly in 2011, 2012 and 2013.
Is the fourth time a charm?
I only invest in things I follow closely. I have over 100K growing in the 401K, so I let that just do it's thing and don't worry about it. There is a lot of opportunity in 3D printing but again - I don't follow it closely enough to invest in it.
I do have a few bitcoin and litecoin but that is really just a moonshot thing to see what happens. I intend to hold these for a very long time.
My uncle swing trades triple leverage EFTs and I guess he has an algorithm where he hasn't lost a trade yet. He says it takes some serious balls and he has come close to losing his ass a few times, but he has always ended up coming out a head or even. I may start doing this and following his algorithm.
Right now... my focus is on the really big win. I'm building companies now. That is the best way to make big bucks.
The two individual stocks I'm in are SIRI and ALU.
I have held positions for several years and many times wished I hadn't. Bankruptcy was a possibility with both. However, SIRI is finally profitable and ALU came back to life in 2013. Both are risky and you shouldn't invest money you can't afford to lose.
But, both companies have good leadership now and are innovative. And when Tech recovers and D.C. gets out of the way, these two should purchase me a house one day. That's the plan, at least.
Otherwise, these days I'm all about maxing out my 401K contributions and lowering my taxes and investment expenses.
One thing missing from my portfolio are ETFs. I would be interested in knowing which ETF fund families appeal to the Packer Rat financial brain trust and their expense ratios.
The new microsoft CEO is a UWM grad. Time to buy.
The only ETFs I have traded with any regularity are TZA and its opposite TNA, Direxion'se 3x small cap bear and bull. Overall, I have done OK, but certainly haven't profited every time.
Woulda, shoulda, coulda - kept telling myself a correction was due, and that it was time to play with these. It would have been a good time to invest equal amounts in both until the market direction was clear. It works out that you make money even if they respond identically on a percentage basis day to day, then when direction seems clear, dump the one and hold the other.
Probably should do that now, maybe later this week. Have to check the ouija board since I don't have an algorithm that is 100% accurate like some supposedly do.
My uncle does SPY and SPX is my understanding. He does a few more, too, but I don't know the details of those. He has told me that he's been over 100K in the hole before but luckily they bounced back up to bail him out. The premise of his algorithm (which he didn't write, it is from some book or something) is that you keep putting money in as it dips. I believe there is a fairly complicated set-up (way more complicated that a Tom DeMark sequential or something like that).
Here is the link to Peter Ghostine's twitter. He has started a company and taken much of his trading charts private, but he still posts pretty good advice publically at least once a day. This guy is generally considered one of the best at what he does. He flies under the radar, but his reputation is stellar. He isn't a finance guy, he's an electrical engineer. Just about everything is based around math and Fibonacci sequences.
https://twitter.com/PeterGhostine
Cloud will be huge, yes, but cloud is vague. What is cloud? I think TWTR will be huge eventually because it provides a value proposition. Are you talking abut virtual machine providers, or what do you mean by cloud? Cloud hosts, or software makers? I think Salesforce will be big, Jive seems like a decent buy at 10 bucks, etc.
I think Google and self driving cars will be insanely, unfathomably large.
I'm a gambler to a degree, but I don't really mess with stocks that I don't feel confident in. I'm extremely bullish on Apple. They are the strongest company in the world and valued like a chump. This soon, will change.
SIRI's majority stakeholder, John Malone at Liberty Media, is trying to take 100% ownership right now so it's possible that small guys like me will get bought out and not get to enjoy the benefits as SIRI brings video and other services to cars, along with other developments in the future.
ALU still isn't profitable but they have finally found a leader with a plan and have been downsizing for years to address their debt problem. They have new loans and near-term bankruptcy is off the table. They are being innovative, creating new products and are globally positioned. When the global business environment finally improves, there will be a ton of spending in telecom hardware upgrades. The more tablets and smart phones sold, the greater the need for the ISPs to improve their systems. Their LTE products are strong and have several contracts to build 4G networks in developing countries.
Overall, they have only a small market share compared to CSCO and ERIC but they have gotten off the mat and are making some noise. In addition, the financial firms are starting to believe in ALU's CEO and investing, hence the rise in their stock price from $1.27-$4.68 (52-week low and high). I added to my positions in 2012 at $0.99 and $1.61 so you know that I'm happy right now.
I live in South Korea where everything is broadband and 4G networks are available almost nationwide. We love our speed here. But wouldn't it be cool to have 1 gigabit-per-second residential service in the good 'ole USA? It's possible. - http://www.prnewswire.com/news-relea...102768309.html
ALU is doing some good things and they are worth investigating. The whole sector, though, when it recovers will make a lot of people wealthy. I think we will visit some of the valuations of the Internet-bubble age again. Everything will be about data, speed, and storage, driven relentlessly by business and consumer demand.
Again, don't invest money that you can't afford to lose but I think ALU is relatively safe at this point. But I would definitely look to get in before they turn profitable though because once they cross that barrier I think the momentum will take them much higher. Overall, they will go as the sector goes. It's not a question of 'if' but a matter of 'when'. Buy and hold.
(P.S. - Somebody believes in the stock. It was off 3.5% yesterday and then up 8% today before their earnings report on Thursday. Yes, I'm smiling.)
I made a killing on MGM. Or I did last time I checked. Maybe I'll switch to this ALU, whatever that is. I invest like a blind retard, and it works.
It is interesting; I do too much stock research and like SIRI and ALU before it was noted in here. I watch Mad Money...aka...Jim Cramer each night for starter ideas to investigate. Under Armour has been my kick ass stock so far. But it's one of those that has had such a great run it's almost scary to throw more money at. So I'm just going to keep riding the wave.
Hate to say it...but Apple is now a slow growth stock with a HUGE cash position...so I don't thnk there is a ton of risk at these levels....but the reward IMO is not what it used to be either. It may double in the next three years and I'd be happy to see that happen. If Apple is growing then the odds are some of the turbo growth stocks will be kicking ass as well.
Cloud stocks I've been watching, for what it's worth, include WDAY, NOW, YELP, and FB...which the latter is really a play on multiple things that are growing fast within the company.
If you are a believe in TWTR a chance to get in might come soon. Disappointing growth for a stock that is very richly priced.
FB reported last week; TWTR this week. Two very contrasting outlooks. Facebook crushed expectations and went way higher and TWTR is probably going to get crushed tomorrow due to not hitting expectations.
Yep, he called it. That was easy to see if you followed tech analysis (which I didn't). Trading completely dried up. Gotta look at volume and option prices. It made NO sense for it to happen - the company was so strong - but the indicators surely supported it happening and if you were into technical analysis you would have saw it coming a mile away.
I couldn't invest in any of those but FB. I can't invest in something I don't think is fundamentally sound. What does Yelp do for money? Are they in the black or red? What kind of growth can we expect? Lots of funny money in the valley.
AAPL is a growth stock. It's the law of large numbers. 8% growth at 200B is a hell of a lot more additional profit compared to 50% growth at 5B.
iWatch rumors have it coming out soon with sensors galore. I'm a little skeptical personally... but I guarantee you they are pumping an absurd amount of money to getting glucose level through a sensor without the prick. Maybe not this year, maybe not next year, but it'll happen, and it will be an additional 50 billion in revenue per year. The race for the diabetes market is on. Diabetes is going to be the world's biggest health problem very soon. Google has prototypes of contact lenses that can measure glucose, but they are a very long well from market.
TWTR is down 20%. Good time to buy in the coming weeks. Follow Pete and see what he says about it.
Yep. Long way from market. I guarantee you that Apple is pumping as much money as they need to figure out how to get glucose levels through the skin via the wrist within 2-3 years. iWatch isn't about today, it's about tomorrow. They get the glucose level, they get the 100B market.
The prickless blood sugar sensor has been the holy grail of biosensors for over 10 years. Are there actual breakthroughs?
Peter just said today that he wouldn't bet his IRA, but he'd bet anyone 100K that AAPL hits 900 in 2014 after retesting 425ish.
http://charts.61point8.com/Tradewind...40128-aapl.png
This is the earnings chart.
Another good chart detailing the rise and fall.
http://charts.61point8.com/20140106-AAPL.png
He used to put really good notes on them detailing exactly what was happening and why. Now, he makes 35 bucks a month for a subscription so he doesn't include that level of detail for free very often.
This is the scenario that's unfolding in AAPL. You can take it to the bank.
http://www.61point8.com/Portals/0/Ar...106-AAPL-7.png
This is a detailed essay on why.
http://www.61point8.com/TradeWinds/T...bers-Only.aspx
Ha! I predicted the rare triple zig zag abc-X-abc-X-abc z slash halfback flat slot Z cross correction!
Either way, whether the cup finishes, or the bat finishes, just about everybody has AAPL hitting 750 in 2014. The chart really says it all.
Dude.....answer your questions by going to read about YELP's earnings and conference call. They just killed it. FB and GOOD are safer investments, but YELP...WOW........up 20 % today.
Truth be told, I'm PISSED at myself for not jumping into YELP when it was in the 60's a sort time ago. Now it's 90.. I think this one...and FB...will be going way higher.