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All the precautions against coronavirus spread should help reduce the incidence of seasonal flu, which killed another 100 people in the US today. As for coronavirus, watch out for places Chinese citizens, especially from the Wuhan region, travelled to recently.
Going strictly by the data, hell no, it won't. Past performance is the best indicator of future results, and up to now, it has been a big nothing - compared to flu, compared to past "outbreaks", compared to some people's expectations.
As a precaution, don't go out, especially if you need to drive, as 39,000 or so die from that in a year - more than 100 per day.
Now the NCAA basketball tourney will only be essential employees and families ...Sorry this Fear Mongering and Hysteria have officially gone Off The Tracks.
Key to past outbreaks was getting prentative measures in place early. With SARs infection rate was under 10k. Problem is with 100k cases we are already way past SARs.
Again, not to say it won't fall short of worst case, but the risk is not comparable to anything in recent history.
As for the car analogy, that's complete strawman.
From Twitter, source is good, but it’s Twitter:
2 weeks ago: Italy had 322 confirmed cases of the coronavirus
1 week ago: 2,502
Today: 10,149
A LOT depends on that next number and the US is way behind even manufacturing tests.
In sports news, UW Madison is going online only after March 23 for three weeks. I think that is after the break.
What is attendance like at B1G basketball tourney? Can’t watch yet.
More on Italy:
I'm seeing 12,462 cases for Italy.
worldometers.info/coronavirus/
Different Guy
2,313 new cases and 196 dead in Italy today alone.
Those are randos, so take care with repeating the numbers.
Phillip Bump
I overlaid the increase of coronavirus cases in Italy with the recent spike in the U.S. We're about where they were eight days ago.
Last mortality rate I can find is 1%, 10 times greater than that of seasonal flu. This was from this AM I believe.
Reuter’s
The #coronavirus mortality rate is ‘10 times’ that of the seasonal flu, said Anthony Fauci, director at the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, during a congressional hearing
Some tips on what to watch for the spread trend.
https://twitter.com/dsquareddigest/s...553393666?s=21
We’ll never get a real USA number so no point in stressing it. Bottom line - expect to see outcomes and ratios similar or worse to other major non-shit-hole countries.
Hope this virus situation gets resolved before tick season gets here or we'll be dealing with Corona with Lyme.
Tex is still thinking this is all silly shit and nothings going to happen. That old gomer is off his rocker.
This 1% will likely go down as the denominator right now is skewed towards people with symptoms. Likely but not certain that there are lots of infected people who are asymptomatic And will never get sick. I suspect (and hope) this group is under represented right now.
If you are elderly and/or have compromising illnesses, you’re at higher risk. But that’s the same population that’s highest risk for flu complications as well.
US strategy is to slow the spread so that hospitals can accommodate the sick, and for warmer weather to extinguish the virus. It should work.
We could use a little global warming rn though.
Someone brought it in but I don’t think they know Who it was yet.
https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.nyt...l%3f0p19G=7900
It ain't the apocalypse, but I have plenty of friends and family that are at high risk. I don't mind missing a few in person sporting events to slow this down and decrease their risks. That being said, not being able to attend a sporting events in person could be argued as being more important.
In full disclosure, it's Friday night and I'm not entirt sober, so don't be too hard on me.
talk about a fucking overreaction, sheeeesh, cancelling the NBA season? Just stupid!
Lemme know when they start canceling NFL games. I favor a 20-games regular season schedule b/c watching my beloved Pack on any given Sunday is the only thing I look forward too. The rest of my life is just a tedious grind.
As for the NBA and NHL, I ain’t give fucks. Only caucasoid supremacists dig the NHL, and I ain’t one in any shape, form or matter. The NBA, too many blacks.
Problem the NBA ran into was that when Gobert got the Covid, he and his teammates had to be quaranteened for 14 days. How is the NBA going to deal with a team that can't play for 2 weeks? So they had to postpone all the games.
Right, but that is why travel restrictions only buy you time. The virus is here, and travel is no longer a good predictor. This response was also not comprehensive or up to date. While Italy and France were experiencing large outbreaks, customs was still asking only about travel from China.
It would have helped to have testing squared away earlier because mitigation would be more effective if you knew about more of your cases to isolate.
Unless he's Marty McFly?
Rudy Gobert, and you won't believe what he did next.
https://twitter.com/HoarseWisperer/s...73331703861248
Next game he was out (another teammate as well) with an illness. Now he tested positive. Real Man of Genius.
NBA is telling times to check on availability of arenas into August.
I'm guessing NFL Draft will be a throwback. Guys making picks on the phone with no fans around. Free Agency is almost here though. Not sure how they'll handle player visits.
Folks, I know some of you think this is not real, but you literally would have to be dumb as a box of rocks to think that way. Its not the flu, its not a bad cold, its a 'novel' virus, i.e. never seen before. And for some of you saying it is dumb to cancel events, I have seen graphs of daily infected of countries who are not locking down vs countries who are locking down, and its not even close. And be careful on mortality rates, I'm pretty sure the denominator is not those with symptoms, it is those who have been officially diagnosed. And in the good old USA, who does not have enough test kits yet, I am concerned we are WAY behind the curve. You can love or hate the current administration, but they also are way behind the curve, they should have been preparing when China first started having outbreaks.