Interesting read. If we go 3-3 and finish at 10-6, there's a 40% chance that we won't make the playoffs. If we go 4-2 and finish at 11-5, there's a 97% chance that we will make the playoffs.
Interestingly, we have a higher probability of making the playoffs than the Bears (despite them holding the tiebreaker at the moment)--in large part because we play them at home and are probably favored to switch that home field advantage.
The probability ratings show that we'll win the NFC North, but get the #3 seed and host the Bears in the playoffs.
1 Atlanta
2 Philadelphia
6 Chicago at 3 Green Bay
5 New Orleans at 4 Seattle
Tampa Bay finishes #7 and NY Giants finishes #8.
If we beat the Bears, we'd then travel to Philadelphia.
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Created by:
HarveyWallbangers
- Published: 11-28-2010, 06:18 PM
- 0 comments
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by FritzWell, this is the year - or so 99% of the fans in Detroit think - that the Lions get a big, meaningful "W" on Thanksgiving Day. Many many talking heads have reminded folks that this is reminiscent of the 1962 Turkey Day game - the 10 - 0 Packers coming in to town - and in that game the Lions' defensive line, lead by Alex Karras, shredded the Packer offensive line, dumping Bart Starr over and over and leading the Leos to a whupping of the Pack. The Lions feature a talented, deep defensive line. Ndama...11-25-2011, 02:28 PM
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NFC
First Round Bye
1) Packers (1) (Undefeated)
2) 49'ers (2) (Winning % .889 > Saints .700)
Division Winners
3) Saints (4) (Winning % .700 > Giants .667)
4) Giants (3) (Winning % .667 > Cowboys .556)
Wild Cards
5) Lions (5) (Divisional winning % .667 > Bears .500)
6) Bears (6) (Winning % .667 > Cowboys .556)
The Rest in Order: 7) Cowboys (8) (Conference Winning % .667 > Falcons .500) 8) Falc...11-15-2011, 09:33 PM -
NFC
First Round Bye
1) Packers (5) (Better record than anyone)
2) 49'ers (2) (5-1, Buccaneers + Giants 4-2)
Division Winners
3) Buccaneers (7) (Head to head win over Saints; SOV .333 > Giants .300)
4) Giants (6) (4-2 > Redskins 3-2)
Wild Cards
5) Lions (1) (5-1 > Saints 4-2)
6) Saints (3) (4-2 > Redskins 3-2)
The Rest in Order:
7) Redskins (4) (3-2 > Bears 3-3)
8) Bears (10)...10-18-2011, 01:36 PM -
Week 5
NFC
First Round Bye
1) Lions (5) (SOV .420 > Packers .400)
2) 49'ers (3) (Conf Winning % .750 > Saints .666)
Division Winners
3) Saints (7) (Winning % .800 > Redskins .750)
4) Redskins (2) (Winning % .750 > Giants .600)
Wild Cards
5) Packers (1) (Winning % 1.00 > Giants .600)
6) Giants (6) (Conf winning % .600 > Buccaneers .500)
The Rest in Order: 7) Buccaneers (4) (...10-11-2011, 12:55 PM -
NFC
First Round Bye
1) Packers (1) (SOV .438 > Lions .375; Better record than anyone else)
2) Redskins (6) (SOV .333 > Giants .167; Conf % .750 > 49'ers .667)
Division Winners
3) 49'ers (4) (SOV .333 > Buccaneers .167)
4) Buccaneers (3) (Conference winning % .667 > Saints .500)
Wild Cards
5) Lions (5) (Winning % 1.000 > Giants .750)
6) Giants (7) (Conference winning % .750 > Saints .500)
The Rest in Order: 7)...10-04-2011, 10:38 AM
