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  • Playoff Probabilities

    Interesting read. If we go 3-3 and finish at 10-6, there's a 40% chance that we won't make the playoffs. If we go 4-2 and finish at 11-5, there's a 97% chance that we will make the playoffs.

    The Packers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Packers play future games.


    Interestingly, we have a higher probability of making the playoffs than the Bears (despite them holding the tiebreaker at the moment)--in large part because we play them at home and are probably favored to switch that home field advantage.

    The probability ratings show that we'll win the NFC North, but get the #3 seed and host the Bears in the playoffs.

    The NFC Playoff Picture table presents the probabilities that a team will win each NFL playoff spot.


    1 Atlanta
    2 Philadelphia

    6 Chicago at 3 Green Bay
    5 New Orleans at 4 Seattle

    Tampa Bay finishes #7 and NY Giants finishes #8.

    If we beat the Bears, we'd then travel to Philadelphia.
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