Favre Prediction Thread

[Chevelle2]

Yes I know, another Favre topic, but Im serious here, lets try not to get into a pissing match, myself included. My predicted stats for this season are as follows:

62%/3750 yards/24 touchdowns/20 interceptions

I believe this for the following reasons:

-As with any injury, I think Favre will feel some lingering/re-aggravating effects to his bicep, effecting his accuracy and velocity

-He has had 1.5 good seasons, in the past 4. A good sample size, showing his production has fallen.

-He has led the NFL in 1 category since 2004. Interceptions. Twice. I expect that trend to continue.

-I believe the Jets receivers are better and more experienced than the Vikings receivers.

-Some people point to 2007 as a sign that Favre is still capable of playing within himself and leading a team far, and no doubt he did that. But I don't think Chilly will be able to reign Favre in like McCarthy did, because Chilly is spineless, and will be eager to use his new toy.

-In 2007, Favre participated in all if not most of the offseason workouts. This got him conditioned and familiar with his receivers, early. This season he is just coming in during training camp. This extra work he is not putting in is going to come back to haunt him

-The pressure will be enormous. Its Super Bowl or bust up there.

-40 year old QBs don't fair well. Look it up.

-Along with age, comes wear and tear. We are well aware of his post thanksgiving woes, and I have no reason to believe that will not continue

-Some argue that a dome will help him play better. It very well may, but I point to 08 games such as @oakland, @san fransisco (although it may have been raining then) and 07 games such as @dallas, @stl, in which Favre flat out played average or well below average.

-Back to 07 for a moment, some say Favre wasn't effected by the snow vs SEA, and I would agree. However, one must also take note, that the SEA game was coming off THREE weeks rest, recall that he only played 1 quarter in Week 17. So between December 30, and January 12, he threw 11 in-game passes.


-And perhaps the most telling: A whopping 50% of Favre's touchdowns in 08 came in 3 games. And 27% of his touchdowns came in 1 game. His stats were madly inflated.

Those are my reasons for stats....

[Scott Campbell]

I personally don't expect him to make it through the season.

[Chevelle2]

I personally don't expect him to make it through the season.

I could very well see that.

[CaptainKickass]

I agree with most everything Chevelle2 wrote. My expectations are low for "What's his name?"

That being said -

I predict...and I'm just really pulling this out of my ass...

...that Jeremy Thompson, yes Jeremy Thompson, comes off the edge on a zone blitz to "What's his name's?" blind side, pummeling the "Old Man" to the turf (yes, this will happen in the Humpty Dump) landing on his aformentioned surgically repaired shoulder, destroying the shoulder, and thus ending HIS season, the Vikings hopes for the season, and consequently ending the "Vengeful One's" career.

Then "What's his Name?" signs a retirement contract with GB in 2012, and his number is finally retired.


But what do I know?


.

[pasquale]

I'll just be sad to see Chilly lose his job after this season. It'd be nice to have him stick around!

[Freak Out]

If the Viking RBs stay healthy and the coaching staff is able to use the run game to protect him he could have a very effective year. If he has to carry the team with his arm due to RB injury or game plan philosophy the odds for him to put up good numbers go waaaaaaaaay down.

WTH.......

64%/2868 yards/22 TDs/14 Ints

[gex]

Re: Favre Prediction Thread

. But I don't think Chilly will be able to reign Favre in like McCarthy did, because Chilly is spineless

Is this common knowledge? What is the basis for this statement? Did he back down from a player/challenge?

Anyways, if he stays healthy and plays the whole season, looking at the schedule, I'll have to say 3100 yds(its little lower with AP and CT racking up yards due to only 6-7 in the box), 28 tds, 16 ints(1 per game).

[sharpe1027]

Re: Favre Prediction Thread

My prediction? Pain!!

[Chevelle2]

FYI -

-Favre averages 18 picks a season

-13 picks would be a career low

-He has only gotten under 15 four times.

[CaptainKickass]

FYI -

-Favre averages 18 picks a season

-13 picks would be a career low

-He has only gotten under 15 four times.

So my creative math tells me GB gets 13 of Favres 18 picks this year. Here's how it breaks down:

GB secondary gets 9

The linebackers get 3

And in a wierd multiple bobblings of the ball - pinball type of botched play - Ryan Pickett comes down with the ball and takes it to the house!!!!!


(Is it gawd damn football season yet?)


.

[hoosier]

Re: Favre Prediction Thread

Anyways, if he stays healthy and plays the whole season, looking at the schedule, I'll have to say 3100 yds(its little lower with AP and CT racking up yards due to only 6-7 in the box), 28 tds, 16 ints(1 per game).

Are you joking? Think back to how teams were playing GB in 2003-04 when the Packers had a strong running game with a very good OL. Defenses were putting 8 in the box regularly and making Favre beat them. He did some of the time but not all of the time. Nobody who plays the Vikings will be more concerned about Favre than Peterson.

It would be interesting to do a comparison of the 2009 Vikings with Favre to the 2003 Packers. The Packers had their best OL in recent memory, and were probably more balanced than what the Vikings currently have. Ahman Green had his monster year, but probably would fall just a hair short of Peterson's combination of speed and power. The only area where the Vikings would have a definite advantage over the 2003 GBP is the DL.

Favre in 2009: 18 tds, 18 ints, 3200 yards. 10-6 regular season record.

[pbmax]

Re: Favre Prediction Thread

. But I don't think Chilly will be able to reign Favre in like McCarthy did, because Chilly is spineless

Is this common knowledge? What is the basis for this statement? Did he back down from a player/challenge?

Anyways, if he stays healthy and plays the whole season, looking at the schedule, I'll have to say 3100 yds(its little lower with AP and CT racking up yards due to only 6-7 in the box), 28 tds, 16 ints(1 per game).

I think you might be a tad optimistic about the numbers in the box. They only time there are six (or less) in the box is 3rd and long or Hail Mary's.

Chilly has a reputation (Bedard has blogged some of what he has heard of being two faced and untrustworthy to media types-I am not sure his reputation with players except that TO didn't like him) but I don't remember spineless.

And while it seems easy to armchair coordinate the Viking O with Favre, Chilly has in the past pulled a Reid and seem to keep the ball away from Peterson and attempt to throw it despite game situations. Remember how long it took to get Peterson in there full-time in his rookie season? Favre may throw more then you would think in a Chilldress offense.

[Fritz]

I don't know enough to predict numbers, but I do think that certain of Favre's patterns will continue:

- He will play well sporadically. He'll have some monster games, probably in the first half of the season.

- He'll play well early on, but fade as the year goes on.

-IF Minnesota does not do what most people think they should - run AP a lot, and use Favre when needed - then Favre will have only a couple more td's than interceptions - like last year with the Jets. If they do run AP a lot, and if Childress can keep Favre reigned in, his numbers might look pretty good. Not MVP stuff, but pretty good.

[SMACKTALKIE]

Re: Favre Prediction Thread

Yes I know, another Favre topic, but Im serious here, lets try not to get into a pissing match, myself included. My predicted stats for this season are as follows:

62%/3750 yards/24 touchdowns/20 interceptions

I believe this for the following reasons:

-As with any injury, I think Favre will feel some lingering/re-aggravating effects to his bicep, effecting his accuracy and velocity

-He has had 1.5 good seasons, in the past 4. A good sample size, showing his production has fallen.

-He has led the NFL in 1 category since 2004. Interceptions. Twice. I expect that trend to continue.

-I believe the Jets receivers are better and more experienced than the Vikings receivers.

-Some people point to 2007 as a sign that Favre is still capable of playing within himself and leading a team far, and no doubt he did that. But I don't think Chilly will be able to reign Favre in like McCarthy did, because Chilly is spineless, and will be eager to use his new toy.

-In 2007, Favre participated in all if not most of the offseason workouts. This got him conditioned and familiar with his receivers, early. This season he is just coming in during training camp. This extra work he is not putting in is going to come back to haunt him

-The pressure will be enormous. Its Super Bowl or bust up there.

-40 year old QBs don't fair well. Look it up.

-Along with age, comes wear and tear. We are well aware of his post thanksgiving woes, and I have no reason to believe that will not continue

-Some argue that a dome will help him play better. It very well may, but I point to 08 games such as @oakland, @san fransisco (although it may have been raining then) and 07 games such as @dallas, @stl, in which Favre flat out played average or well below average.

-Back to 07 for a moment, some say Favre wasn't effected by the snow vs SEA, and I would agree. However, one must also take note, that the SEA game was coming off THREE weeks rest, recall that he only played 1 quarter in Week 17. So between December 30, and January 12, he threw 11 in-game passes.


-And perhaps the most telling: A whopping 50% of Favre's touchdowns in 08 came in 3 games. And 27% of his touchdowns came in 1 game. His stats were madly inflated.

Those are my reasons for stats....

I find it humorous that you base part of your arguement on the "fact" that Childress is spineless.

That would be like saying Rodgers could do better in a system not coached by McCarthy because McCarthy is a fat doo doo head.

[Fritz]

Re: Favre Prediction Thread

Yes I know, another Favre topic, but Im serious here, lets try not to get into a pissing match, myself included. My predicted stats for this season are as follows:

62%/3750 yards/24 touchdowns/20 interceptions

I believe this for the following reasons:

-As with any injury, I think Favre will feel some lingering/re-aggravating effects to his bicep, effecting his accuracy and velocity

-He has had 1.5 good seasons, in the past 4. A good sample size, showing his production has fallen.

-He has led the NFL in 1 category since 2004. Interceptions. Twice. I expect that trend to continue.

-I believe the Jets receivers are better and more experienced than the Vikings receivers.

-Some people point to 2007 as a sign that Favre is still capable of playing within himself and leading a team far, and no doubt he did that. But I don't think Chilly will be able to reign Favre in like McCarthy did, because Chilly is spineless, and will be eager to use his new toy.

-In 2007, Favre participated in all if not most of the offseason workouts. This got him conditioned and familiar with his receivers, early. This season he is just coming in during training camp. This extra work he is not putting in is going to come back to haunt him

-The pressure will be enormous. Its Super Bowl or bust up there.

-40 year old QBs don't fair well. Look it up.

-Along with age, comes wear and tear. We are well aware of his post thanksgiving woes, and I have no reason to believe that will not continue

-Some argue that a dome will help him play better. It very well may, but I point to 08 games such as @oakland, @san fransisco (although it may have been raining then) and 07 games such as @dallas, @stl, in which Favre flat out played average or well below average.

-Back to 07 for a moment, some say Favre wasn't effected by the snow vs SEA, and I would agree. However, one must also take note, that the SEA game was coming off THREE weeks rest, recall that he only played 1 quarter in Week 17. So between December 30, and January 12, he threw 11 in-game passes.


-And perhaps the most telling: A whopping 50% of Favre's touchdowns in 08 came in 3 games. And 27% of his touchdowns came in 1 game. His stats were madly inflated.

Those are my reasons for stats....

I find it humorous that you base part of your arguement on the "fact" that Childress is spineless.

That would be like saying Rodgers could do better in a system not coached by McCarthy because McCarthy is a fat doo doo head.

It's true, Smackie. Didn't you know that the Voldemort character in the Harry Potter novels has a pet snake (Nangini, I think) who is based upon Brad Childress? He is dangerous, though, so maybe that'll make you feel better.