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  • #16
    Originally posted by Waldo
    ^^Grant was a famous general, and Ryan was looking for a nickname a week ago?^^

    Anyway, I think that he's going to lose some carries vs. last year, but will see his effectiveness increase a fairly good deal, for a number of factors, including health, the line, emphasis, and coaching.

    Last year he has 312 carries, 71.4% of the team's 437 carries (14th in the league). This year I think that he'll run about 60% of the time, and the team will see an increased workload on the ground as MM focuses on it more, garnering 450 team carries or 270 for Grant. I do think though that Grant will see his effectiveness climb and be in the 4.5 ypc area. On 270 carries that makes him a 1215 yd back.
    I agree with your general take and I think MM shows an increased focus on the ground game, but I would hope that leads to more than 13 additional carries over the PY.
    Go PACK

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    • #17
      Originally posted by Bossman641
      Originally posted by Waldo
      ^^Grant was a famous general, and Ryan was looking for a nickname a week ago?^^

      Anyway, I think that he's going to lose some carries vs. last year, but will see his effectiveness increase a fairly good deal, for a number of factors, including health, the line, emphasis, and coaching.

      Last year he has 312 carries, 71.4% of the team's 437 carries (14th in the league). This year I think that he'll run about 60% of the time, and the team will see an increased workload on the ground as MM focuses on it more, garnering 450 team carries or 270 for Grant. I do think though that Grant will see his effectiveness climb and be in the 4.5 ypc area. On 270 carries that makes him a 1215 yd back.
      I agree with your general take and I think MM shows an increased focus on the ground game, but I would hope that leads to more than 13 additional carries over the PY.
      Last year we ranked #14 in number of carries.

      Ahead of us were teams that were "running teams", teams with injured QB's, teams with rookie QB's, and teams with terrible QB's. We ran more than any other "passing team". "Passing teams" typically run less than 400 times, "Running teams" typically run more than 500 times.

      McCarthy is already flirting with historical highs in the % of runs called in his playcalling career.

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      • #18
        Originally posted by MOBB DEEP
        Originally posted by CaptainKickass
        Why is he "General" Grant in the topic title?

        Isn't the typical "Field General" the team's QB?

        Is it because he's "Generally" ok at running the ball?

        Is this a specific generalization of the the use of the word general? or just an exercise in the General's generalities?

        he he he i was just trying to make a crafty title
        Ya didn't hafta change the title - i was just being generally facetious.

        "Everyone's born anarchist and atheist until people start lying to them" ~ wise philosopher

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        • #19
          Originally posted by Zool
          Originally posted by Deputy Nutz
          I think he gets over 1200 but I don't think he gets 1500. Hopefully for all you Packer fans out there he regains that extra gear to break the long runs like he did in 2008.
          '07
          Are you not a Packer fan now?
          I am done labeling myself, thats all.

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          • #20
            Originally posted by Deputy Nutz
            Originally posted by Zool
            Originally posted by Deputy Nutz
            I think he gets over 1200 but I don't think he gets 1500. Hopefully for all you Packer fans out there he regains that extra gear to break the long runs like he did in 2008.
            '07
            Are you not a Packer fan now?
            I am done labeling myself, thats all.
            i think i get u and understand your sentiments nutz

            it may change, tho, once the season begins
            They said God has a Tim Tebow complex!

            Brew Crew in 2011!!!

            Comment


            • #21
              Originally posted by Waldo
              ^^Grant was a famous general, and Ryan was looking for a nickname a week ago?^^

              Anyway, I think that he's going to lose some carries vs. last year, but will see his effectiveness increase a fairly good deal, for a number of factors, including health, the line, emphasis, and coaching.

              Last year he has 312 carries, 71.4% of the team's 437 carries (14th in the league). This year I think that he'll run about 60% of the time, and the team will see an increased workload on the ground as MM focuses on it more, garnering 450 team carries or 270 for Grant. I do think though that Grant will see his effectiveness climb and be in the 4.5 ypc area. On 270 carries that makes him a 1215 yd back.

              I do think that Jackson though is going to get 130-150 carries at 5.5+ a pop though.
              The average per carry sounds awfully high for Jackson, especially if Grant is "only" four and a half. The last time the Packers had a RB regularly in the mix with that kind of average was 2003, when Green, Davenport and Fisher were all over 5. And, at least with Green's subs, that was more a reflection of their stellar OL than of the talent running the ball. If Jackson has that kind of productivity, I would be very surprised to see Grant doing much less when he (IMO) brings a little bit more.

              But who am I to quibble with someone else's speculations...we're all kind of trying to pin the tail on the donkey with this stuff.

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              • #22
                wow, 10 posters think he will garner at least 1200?

                thats a good sign b/c if he does we will win div imho

                certainly pack and minny will make post season
                They said God has a Tim Tebow complex!

                Brew Crew in 2011!!!

                Comment


                • #23
                  Originally posted by MOBB DEEP
                  wow, 10 posters think he will garner at least 1200?

                  thats a good sign b/c if he does we will win div imho

                  certainly pack and minny will make post season
                  It didn't have that meaning last year. 1200 isn't an especially big number if your #1 back doesn't share the load with others.

                  Comment


                  • #24
                    Originally posted by hoosier
                    Originally posted by Waldo
                    ^^Grant was a famous general, and Ryan was looking for a nickname a week ago?^^

                    Anyway, I think that he's going to lose some carries vs. last year, but will see his effectiveness increase a fairly good deal, for a number of factors, including health, the line, emphasis, and coaching.

                    Last year he has 312 carries, 71.4% of the team's 437 carries (14th in the league). This year I think that he'll run about 60% of the time, and the team will see an increased workload on the ground as MM focuses on it more, garnering 450 team carries or 270 for Grant. I do think though that Grant will see his effectiveness climb and be in the 4.5 ypc area. On 270 carries that makes him a 1215 yd back.

                    I do think that Jackson though is going to get 130-150 carries at 5.5+ a pop though.
                    The average per carry sounds awfully high for Jackson, especially if Grant is "only" four and a half. The last time the Packers had a RB regularly in the mix with that kind of average was 2003, when Green, Davenport and Fisher were all over 5. And, at least with Green's subs, that was more a reflection of their stellar OL than of the talent running the ball. If Jackson has that kind of productivity, I would be very surprised to see Grant doing much less when he (IMO) brings a little bit more.

                    But who am I to quibble with someone else's speculations...we're all kind of trying to pin the tail on the donkey with this stuff.
                    Jackson averaged 5.5 last year.

                    It is pretty normal for 3rd down/changeup backs to average 5+. 5.5 isn't all that impressive, and sub 5.0 is replacement level IMO.

                    Comment


                    • #25
                      Originally posted by Waldo
                      Originally posted by hoosier
                      Originally posted by Waldo
                      ^^Grant was a famous general, and Ryan was looking for a nickname a week ago?^^

                      Anyway, I think that he's going to lose some carries vs. last year, but will see his effectiveness increase a fairly good deal, for a number of factors, including health, the line, emphasis, and coaching.

                      Last year he has 312 carries, 71.4% of the team's 437 carries (14th in the league). This year I think that he'll run about 60% of the time, and the team will see an increased workload on the ground as MM focuses on it more, garnering 450 team carries or 270 for Grant. I do think though that Grant will see his effectiveness climb and be in the 4.5 ypc area. On 270 carries that makes him a 1215 yd back.

                      I do think that Jackson though is going to get 130-150 carries at 5.5+ a pop though.
                      The average per carry sounds awfully high for Jackson, especially if Grant is "only" four and a half. The last time the Packers had a RB regularly in the mix with that kind of average was 2003, when Green, Davenport and Fisher were all over 5. And, at least with Green's subs, that was more a reflection of their stellar OL than of the talent running the ball. If Jackson has that kind of productivity, I would be very surprised to see Grant doing much less when he (IMO) brings a little bit more.

                      But who am I to quibble with someone else's speculations...we're all kind of trying to pin the tail on the donkey with this stuff.
                      Jackson averaged 5.5 last year.

                      It is pretty normal for 3rd down/changeup backs to average 5+. 5.5 isn't all that impressive, and sub 5.0 is replacement level IMO.
                      I hadn't realized Jackson's ypc was that high last year. But he only had 45 carries. If he gets the 130-150 you predict for him this year, that's an entirely different matter. Last year only two backs had that kind of productivity with over 80 carries--Derrick Ward and Deangelo Williams. Of all the RBs who carried the ball bewteen 100-150 times (in other words, regular contributors but not fulltime #1 backs), only one averaged more than 4.4 per carry (4.8). If Jackson becomes a regular part of the rotation I see his per carry productivity coming back down to earth.

                      Comment


                      • #26
                        Originally posted by hoosier
                        Originally posted by MOBB DEEP
                        wow, 10 posters think he will garner at least 1200?

                        thats a good sign b/c if he does we will win div imho

                        certainly pack and minny will make post season
                        It didn't have that meaning last year. 1200 isn't an especially big number if your #1 back doesn't share the load with others.
                        well, b/c im lazy i didnt type how i think capers D and renewed focus of pack sans favre drama coupled with a strong running game will lead to 10-6

                        sorry
                        They said God has a Tim Tebow complex!

                        Brew Crew in 2011!!!

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                        • #27
                          error

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                          • #28


                            This one KY?
                            Originally posted by 3irty1
                            This is museum quality stupidity.

                            Comment


                            • #29
                              hmmmmm....
                              They said God has a Tim Tebow complex!

                              Brew Crew in 2011!!!

                              Comment


                              • #30
                                Originally posted by Zool


                                This one KY?
                                Yeah, Zool, that's General Rodgers!.

                                I asked another "graphics expert" on here, but Skin couldn't help me find my own ass in a dark closet.

                                I knew I shuuda asked you!

                                How'd you find that mf er?

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