Originally posted by Bretsky
View Post
1. Production (coaches vote all SEC or all Big 10 or all whatever conference if I'm looking at lineman)
2. Athletic ability (Carpenter ran slightly slower 3 cone and shuttle compared to Bulaga, indicating Bulaga has slightly better feet, but Carpenter had better vertical and broad jump, indicating Carpenter is a little more explosive. Carpenter looks like a pure RT where Bulaga can flip. I think Carpenter could be the more dominant player, but it has to be on the right)
3. Character - Good character guy
4. Injury - No concerns
Last year I had a similar way of looking at prospects. I found Tyson Alualu and Ryan Matthews. Alualu was projected between pick 40 and 60 depending on the outlet and Matthews was between 20 and 30. Alualu went 10th, Matthews 12th. Alualu went 4x higher than projected and Matthews 2x. Production/athletic ability/character/injury. I'll always miss one year wonders like Clay Matthews, who fail my production meter, but there are some proven guys who fly under the radar every year. The kind of guys everyone calls overachievers, but then they go to the combine and they're not overachieving at all. They're top notch. I think Carpenter is that guy this year. I think he's going to get drafted high and then play well.

Comment