THE draft thread (2013 version)

[denverYooper]

Shit.............was hoping he'd slip to GB......Ozzie is putting a dam nice draft together

He's got to. They've got some rebuilding to do.

[RashanGary]

What are you guys bitching about?

We have 7 of the first 100 picks on day 3 of the NFL draft

[woodbuck27]

'

Here is the thread someone should start: What expensive veterans will have direct competition for their jobs with 12 picks coming in?

From the once popular game show 'What's My Line':

Hi... I'm a Green Bay Packer seventh round pick.

Hi.....I'm..... a Green Bay Packer..... seventh round....pick.

Hello.....I am...a... Green Bay ....Packer...seventh Round pick.

[RashanGary]

On average, from here until the draft is finished, we get to pick one in every 15 picks

10 is better than 5. Common sense, dummies

[Bretsky]

What are you guys bitching about?

We have 7 of the first 100 picks on day 3 of the NFL draft

Man the cup really dried up the last picks after GB traded that buzzer away. There will still be some good players.....but we could have really got a DL talent with that three pick and it's pretty likley the Alabama DL will get scooped up be4 GB picks.

I am really happy we got Jones round one because there were not many pass rushing DE's around by the time we were picking

[denverYooper]

When the hell did this place turn into Gamma Phi Beta?

[rbaloha1]

Package picks to get jesse williams.

[RashanGary]

It's almost like Ted is trying to prove something here. . . .

Yeah, we lost our two top personnel guys in the last year and three in the last 2 years. But guess what, we're going to trade back and not only are we going to trade back, but we're going to get fleeced. Then we're going to rely on our rookie scouts to pick 10 players in the back end of this draft and show all of you how smart we are.

Seriously, if ever there was a time I thought maybe Ted would be less cowboy in a draft, this was the time. Weird. I guess we'll find out.

[rbaloha1]

It's almost like Ted is trying to prove something here. . . .

Yeah, we lost our two top personnel guys in the last year and three in the last 2 years. But guess what, we're going to trade back and not only are we going to trade back, but we're going to get fleeced. Then we're going to rely on our rookie scouts to pick 10 players in the back end of this draft and show all of you how smart we are.

Seriously, if ever there was a time I thought maybe Ted would be less cowboy in a draft, this was the time. Weird. I guess we'll find out.

My guess for trading down is the guys they wanted got picked.

Hopefully TT is targeting some big d-linemen.

[RashanGary]

Maybe he's recognizing that we just signed two of the biggest contracts in NFL history and we're not going to be able to keep the band together so he's planning ahead. Who the hell knows what was going through his mind. Just seems weird to draft 10 players on day 3.

[rbaloha1]

Maybe he's recognizing that we just signed two of the biggest contracts in NFL history and we're not going to be able to keep the band together so he's planning ahead. Who the hell knows what was going through his mind. Just seems weird to draft 10 players on day 3.

Doubt he keeps them all -- it is just ammo to move up for certain players.

Needs to maintain some cap room for guys like Sam Shields, Morgan Burnett, etc.

[Brandon494]

For the record, in case nobody noticed, the RB I liked in this draft was Giovanni Bernard, and he was the first taken. Guy is very similar to Montee Ball, but a good deal faster.

I remember you liking Alex Green too.

[RashanGary]

I remember you liking Alex Green too.

Fuck you!!

Bastard.

[gbgary]

I really can't fathom what you guys are looking at - this is a fundamentally flawed team. The Jones pick helps a little, but surely not enough... my God, SF simply ass-raped us twice in the last 7 months, and they've improved themselves - I can't begin to imagine how severe a beating they're going to lay on us opening day. It's gonna be embarrassing, just like the stomping 3 months ago was embarrassing.

I guess Ted watched that game and concluded he had lyin' eyes.

I'm a glass is half full type (until the dibble glass I'm holding soaks my shirt) but I pretty much agree. quality over quantity.

[wist43]

Let's take a look at all of TT's round 4-7 picks and see what we get


4's

Daniels, DT
McMillian, S
House, CB
Lang, G
Jeremy Thompson, DE
Josh Sitton, G
Allen Barbre, OL
Corey Rodgers, WR
Will Blackmon, DB
Marviel Underwood, DB
Poppinga, LB

5's

Terrell Manning, LB
DJ Williams, TE
Quarless, TE
Newhouse, OT
Quinn Johnson, FB
Jermon Meradith, OL
Giacomini, OT
David Clowney, WR
Ingle Martin, QB
Tony Moll, OL
Junius Coston, OL
Michael Hawkins, DB

6's

Caleb Schlauderaff, OL
DJ Smith, LB
Ricky Elmore, LB
Starks, RB
Wynn, DE
Brandon Underwood, DB
Korey Hall, FB
Bishop, LB
Crosby, K
Jolly, DL
Mike Montegomery, DL
Craig Bragg, WR

7's

Andrew Datko, OT
BJ Coleman, QB
Ryan Taylor, TE/LB
Lawrence Guy, DL
CJ Wilson, DE
Brad Jones, LB
Matt Flynn, QB
Brett Swain, WR
Deshawn Wynn, RB
Clark Harris, TE
Dave Tollefson, DE
Kurt Campbell, DB
Will Whitticker, OL

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So we throw those 48 spitballs at the wall - and how much sticks??

Josh Sitton - Best player of the 48

TJ Lang - Servicable, average starter

Desmond Bishop - Serviceable, average starter

CJ Wilson - Very low end starter. Needs to be replaced

Marshall Newhouse - Very low end starter. Needs to be replaced

Brad Jones - Situational guy who is very limited. Needs to be replaced

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That's all you can count for the past 8 years. The young guys from the past couple of drafts I give a pass to, b/c we really don't know what we have with them yet. There's some potential there, but that's all it is.

As for what we can put on the field now - there's 6 guys. 3 decent players (Sitton, Lang, Bishop), and 3 that need to be replaced.

So, of the 48 players TT has drafted in the 4th round and lower, we will subtract 3 players (Daniels, McMillian, and House), b/c they have shown some potential, but haven't done anything yet - so, knock the number down to 45.

So, out of 45 players TT has drafted in the 4th round and lower - 3 of those players are legitimate NFL players. 1 good-to-very good (Sitton); and 2 average starters (Bishop and Lang).

That's a batting average of 1 for 15 - or, a 6.67% hit rate.

With 10 picks tomorrow the statistics say that TT has a 4.49% chance of hitting on 1 player could eventally be a starter in the league - of whatever value.

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If anyone here is an actuary and would like to refine my crude numerical sense of things - please, be my guest.