Exactly What You Need To Understand the 2014 Draft

[Brandon494]

n/m

[superfan]

Great stuff PBMax, I love stats and graphs.

Clowney's is pretty funny. 100% chance he will be there at pick 1 (of course), 25% chance he will be there at pick 2, and a zero % chance he will be there at pick 3.

[woodbuck27]

Let's stop back....what the odds that we correctly pick how this goes down and what TT does ?

Probably far less likely than Mosely dropping to twenty one .......lol


On a sidenote....I almost picked a Center in my mock draft but I just didn't have the stones
I think the dude's name is Weston Richards...he'd be a great fit at C for us

In Green Bay OL Centers are like furniture in a Gemini's home. It gets switched often.

If I was a Center prospects agent:

Ted Thompson would have to ask one question:

" If I draft you will you remain in Green Bay for the life of your Rookie Contract PLUS allow a one year extended option? "

[woodbuck27]

Let's stop back....what the odds that we correctly pick how this goes down and what TT does ?

Probably far less likely than Mosely dropping to twenty one .......lol


On a sidenote....I almost picked a Center in my mock draft but I just didn't have the stones
I think the dude's name is Weston Richards...he'd be a great fit at C for us

In Green Bay OL Centers are like furniture in a Gemini's home. They get switched often.

If I was a Center prospects agent:

Ted Thompson would have to ask one question:

" If I draft you will you remain in Green Bay for the life of your Rookie Contract PLUS allow a one year extended option? "

[woodbuck27]

Fritz, the same thing often happens for me.
TT probably drafts Kyle Fuller, I hate it, and he goes on to be a lockdown replacement for Tramon.

What is the probability that TT has that chance to pick CB Kyle Fuller at Pick NO. 21?:

In 2014 we have the "Bayesian Draft Analysis Tool" and that tool tells us:

Ted Thompson has a 0.73 probability "of possibly" picking CB Kyle Fuller and that the tool has identified the Green Bay Packer needs are DL; S and WR.

As I see it:

Our needs are at FS ; TE: OL (OG and C); Rush DL and ...... somewhere else down the road WR and CB. That's all irrelevant if "in fact" TT picks BPA. How do you know that TT is picking BPA? That question is moot because TT uses TT's Draft Board.....that quite possibly no one but TT ever see's and is used in his Voodoo Dance ceremony post draft.....as a substitute for charcoal to toast his marsh mellows.

TT may and he may not go CB at Pick #21; but IMO. TT will be trying desperately to trade down from the #21 spot. Why? Ted Thompson needs more time to think. He'll also be thinking how good or bad those marsh mellows will be.

I do predict a run on CB's somewhere just after Pick NO. 21.

[woodbuck27]

Fritz, the same thing often happens for me.
TT probably drafts Kyle Fuller, I hate it, and he goes on to be a lockdown replacement for Tramon.

What is the probability that TT has that chance to pick CB Kyle Fuller at Pick NO. 21?:

In 2014 we have the "Bayesian Draft Analysis Tool" and that tool tells us:

Ted Thompson has a 0.73 probability "of possibly" picking CB Kyle Fuller and that the tool has identified the Green Bay Packer needs are DL; S and WR.

As I see it:

Our needs are at FS ; TE: OL (OG and C); Rush DL and ...... somewhere else down the road WR and CB. That's all irrelevant if "in fact" TT picks BPA. How do you know that TT is picking BPA? That question is moot because TT uses TT's Draft Board.....that quite possibly no one but TT ever see's and is used in his Voodoo Dance ceremony post draft.....as a substitute for charcoal to toast his marsh mellows.

TT may and he may not go CB at Pick #21; but IMO. TT will be trying desperately to trade down from the #21 spot. Why? Ted Thompson needs more time to think. He'll also be thinking how good or bad those marsh mellows will be.

I do predict a run on CB's somewhere just after Pick NO. 21.