Official Packers vs. Seahawks Discussion and Prediction Thread, 2014 Playoffs Edition

[Maxie the Taxi]

I believe this is the pay that wist likes to claim proves Capers is unsound. Its a triple option, Matthews at OLB has Lynch, Shields has wide contain and therefore Wilson and HHCD has Lockette. HHCD blows the tackle despite getting into good if not great position. Packers are in the 4-3 Quad look I believe.

Worst part? Lynch was open for a shovel pass as well because Matthews followed the ball and not his play assignment.

http://bleacherreport.com/articles/2330139-matt-bowens-nfl-conference-championships-film-study

If we play man coverage, Shields has Lockette all the way. Correct?

[Joemailman]

Football Outsiders: http://www.footballoutsiders.com/gam...onship-preview

Blitz Rodgers? Quite possibly yes:

The Seahawks' percentages for sending four, five, or six pass rushers are roughly equal to the NFL average, with the standard four pass rushers about two-thirds of the time. But the difference in yards per play as they sent more and more pass rushers was extreme. Seattle this year allowed 7.5 yards per pass with three pass rushers, 5.8 with the standard four, 4.7 with five, and 3.7 with six.* (Not six or more, as ESPN Stats & Information never recorded a 7-man pressure from the Seahawks.) And although opponents didn't often blitz against Aaron Rodgers this year -- only four starting quarterbacks faced more than four pass rushers less often -- he got successively worse with more pass rushers, with 8.2 yards per pass against four but 6.7 against five and 6.4 against six or more. Rodgers had no problem against DB blitzes (8.7 yards per pass) but that's a strategy Seattle rarely uses (5.5 percent of passes, 30th in the NFL).*

The Seahawks increased effectiveness with more pass rushers was probably helped by the quality of QB's they faced late in the season. I wonder if they blitzed guys like Romo and Rivers as much and as effectively as they did against the likes of Mark Sanchez, Shaun Hill and Ryan Lindley.

[pbmax]

If we play man coverage, Shields has Lockette all the way. Correct?

I don't think so. Capers said Shields job here is to force as he has wide contain. If he sees a rollout, he needs to come up an Shields needs to rotate.

Its hard to parse the responsibility for the Dive here. Matthews and Hawk are both unblocked. Hawk, if he steps up rather than react to motion could take the dive. But he would be very late. If you count outside in, it would seem to be Matthews job, but he seems locked on Wilson right from the get go. Also complicating the issue is that Lynchnot only meshes for a Dive fake, but also curls over to be a shovel pass option underneath Matthews.

Its a fantastic call against single high.


EDIT: Shields comes up and HaHa rotates over.

[pbmax]

The Seahawks increased effectiveness with more pass rushers was probably helped by the quality of QB's they faced late in the season. I wonder if they blitzed guys like Romo and Rivers as much and as effectively as they did against the likes of Mark Sanchez, Shaun Hill and Ryan Lindley.

Yeah, but Rodgers numbers were down this year. He is usually deadly versus the blitz and has been down this year.

[Maxie the Taxi]

I don't think so. Capers said Shields job here is to force as he has wide contain. If he sees a rollout, he needs to come up an Shields needs to rotate.

Its hard to parse the responsibility for the Dive here. Matthews and Hawk are both unblocked. Hawk, if he steps up rather than react to motion could take the dive. But he would be very late. If you count outside in, it would seem to be Matthews job, but he seems locked on Wilson right from the get go. Also complicating the issue is that Lynchnot only meshes for a Dive fake, but also curls over to be a shovel pass option underneath Matthews.

Its a fantastic call against single high.

I don't think it works the second time around. First, Hawk is pretty much useless. Barrington is faster and would stay with Lynch. If Shields plays man on Lockette next time, Mathews concentrates on spying Wilson. Plus, HaHa wouldn't get so easily juked out of his jock this time around, especially with Shields on Lockette man to man.

At least that's the way I prefer to see it now.

[pbmax]

I don't think it works the second time around. First, Hawk is pretty much useless. Barrington is faster and would stay with Lynch. If Shields plays man on Lockette next time, Mathews concentrates on spying Wilson. Plus, HaHa wouldn't get so easily juked out of his jock this time around, especially with Shields on Lockette man to man.

At least that's the way I prefer to see it now.

Agree. Georgia or Auburn sprung this on Alabama in the big SEC game in 2013. I think the solution is to split the safeties even further and bring Dix down closer since no one can attack the deep middle easily and Wilson is rolling out. Then the OLBs have to jam and run with the TEs. Safeties each read the WR release after seeing play action/option.

[pbmax]

I think Olivia Munn might be Black Widow.

[oldbutnotdeadyet]

http://nflpickwatch.com/

Mike Ditka picking packers, that is awesome...

[Harlan Huckleby]

First, Hawk is pretty much useless. Barrington is faster and would stay with Lynch.

Is Barrington faster than Hawk? I think Hawk was injured earlier in season when he was seen lumbering after TE. I see Barrington as more of a thumper.

I do agree that Barrington has got Lynch for this game, Matthews has gotta spy Russell Wilson.

[Maxie the Taxi]

Is Barrington faster than Hawk?

According to my internal stop watch, he is. Plus, he's quicker. The only advantage Hawk has is experience and recognition.

[vince]

Beast Mode's gonna be stylin' with a new pair of $1,100 24k gold-flake painted shoes tomorrow.

We're told Beast Mode had originally planned to rock the kicks on Super Sunday (confidence), but when he saw the finished product, he had to have them for the big game this Sunday.

Marshawn had no comment on the story ... 'cause ... well, you know.

http://www.tmz.com/2015/01/16/marsha...tomp-all-over/
That's just bad karma. What a fuckin' tool. I hope Daniels knocks him into next week, then they trade him to the Jets so he can rebel against the establishment that made him what he is with his Crip buddy Percy.

[woodbuck27]

Mike Ditka picking packers, that is awesome...

Unfortunately you shouldn't place much weight on which team Ditka ever picks. He often goes against the flow. He's one of the least efficient analysts in terms of being correct in his picks.

We have at least a half dozen members of Packerrats that are more accurate in their ability to make a pick.

[pbmax]

then they trade him to the Jets so he can rebel against the establishment that made him what he is with his Crip buddy Percy.

Details?

[wist43]

Is Barrington faster than Hawk? I think Hawk was injured earlier in season when he was seen lumbering after TE. I see Barrington as more of a thumper.

I do agree that Barrington has got Lynch for this game, Matthews has gotta spy Russell Wilson.

I'm faster than Hawk, and I have an artificial hip, a still fucked up surgically repaired ankle, and my other hip is severely arthritic!!!

[vince]

Details?

Gold-feet is a widely reputed Crip, along with DeSean. Here he is representing the East Side.

Goldfeet's nigga dumped by the Seahawks.

It's all about the attitude.

I don't hang in South Seattle much, nor does the media - at least for long so details are sketchy.