What if.......?

[smuggler]

It was my understanding that there would be no math...??

http://img.sparknotes.com/figures/7/7d10501b90ceb17e62c4ad8bac6fe39b/properties_operations_ids.gif

[ThunderDan]

To answer the original question...If I remember correctly the Packers were moving against the wind in the 4th, and it was substantial enough so that Crosby's kickoffs were not even making it to the goal line (whereas with the wind they were carrying out the back of the EZ). A 53 yarder into the wind on that field is precarious at best, and if he misses than Dallas has a short field and almost 2:00. I don't know what MM would do but I think I would punt and challenge my defense to make the stop.

There was no wind at Lambeau during the game.

[sharpe1027]

A long FG attempt would have been the worst risk.

Punt the ball.

Go for it. You can only gain a few yards at best by punting. By going for it you have a chance to win. Play the odds and show some balls.

[mraynrand]

m = (y-b)/x

nerd!

[hoosier]

There was no wind at Lambeau during the game.

I wonder why such a huge discrepancy between kickoffs then. In the 3rd quarter Crosby was kicking them through the end zone, but when they reversed directions for the fourth quarter his KO barely made it to the 10.

[ThunderDan]

I wonder why such a huge discrepancy between kickoffs then. In the 3rd quarter Crosby was kicking them through the end zone, but when they reversed directions for the fourth quarter his KO barely made it to the 10.

But Crosby was directional, short kicking in the 1st Q also. I think after Dallas returned the short kick to the ~35 Slocum told him to kick it as hard as he could.

[QBME]

But Crosby was directional, short kicking in the 1st Q also. I think after Dallas returned the short kick to the ~35 Slocum told him to kick it as hard as he could.

I wish he would kick Slocum as hard as he could. (It is Wednesday after all.)

[Patler]

Go for it. You can only gain a few yards at best by punting. By going for it you have a chance to win. Play the odds and show some balls.

A FG puts you up by a TD + two-point conversion. You effectively eliminate the chance of losing in regulation.

A punt from the 35 at worst should gain 15 yards, and really should gain 20-25 yards. With less than two minutes remaining and Dallas out of time outs, lengthening the field even by 15 yards is significant.

If I was at all concerned about Crosby's ability to reach the distance required, I would have punted on fourth down to force Dallas to go as far as possible.

[George Cumby]

McCarthy is prone to ballsy play calling. I think he goes for it. I have no rational basis upon which to base this.

[hoosier]

If it's 4th and 11 the statistical chances of converting are really, really small. Maybe McCarthy damns the stats and goes with his gut (which is surely more substantial than any statistic). But if it were me, I would have been tempted to go for it if Rodgers had completed the third down pass to Nelson on the crossing pattern for five or six, making it fourth and manageable. Fourth and 11 is a long shot, especially with ARod's limited mobility. Punt.