Official Bear Week II Discussion Thread

[Joemailman]

Time to even things up. Bears lead all-time series 93-92-6.

Packers are 15-7 vs. Bears under McCarthy

Packers have won 6 straight vs. Bears in Chicago. Last loss was in 2010.

[Joemailman]

[Pugger]

I understand it is going to be a tad nippy in Chicago on Sunday. My biggest fear is our guys playing on the crappy turf in Soldier Field. I pray nobody gets hurt because of it.

[pbmax]

Aaron Schatz �� �� @FO_ASchatz 11m11 minutes ago
Weighted DVOA Top 12 preview: NE DAL ATL KC PIT GB OAK WAS BAL PHI SEA NYG More later at http://www.footballoutsiders.com .

That is sixth, in case you were gearing up for counting.

[pbmax]

Brian Burke @bburkeESPN 2h2 hours ago
Team EPA post-week 14. Pro tip: perpendicular distance to the Fisher Line indicates overall team strength.

[Fritz]

Aaron Schatz 🏈 📎 @FO_ASchatz 11m11 minutes ago
Weighted DVOA Top 12 preview: NE DAL ATL KC PIT GB OAK WAS BAL PHI SEA NYG More later at http://www.footballoutsiders.com .

That is sixth, in case you were gearing up for counting.

What the heck does "DVOA" even mean?

Chicago played Detroit really well. One slip-up here, and we'll all be back into the "Fire Somebody Now" threads.

[pbmax]

What the heck does "DVOA" even mean?

Chicago played Detroit really well. One slip-up here, and we'll all be back into the "Fire Somebody Now" threads.

You'll note that neither Detroit nor Chicago appear in the Top 12.

DVOA stand for Defense-adjusted Value Over Average. They take each play, compare it to the rest of the league (the average), weight it (frequency and success-did you actually get a first down on 3rd and 9 or did you just get 8 yards and punt) and score them, and adjust the result for the strength of defense you have played against.

In this case, Weighted means the most recent results count more, going back 8 or 10 weeks.

[hoosier]

Brian Burke @bburkeESPN 2h2 hours ago

I would have thought the Chiefs would be weighted a little better than this chart suggests....


Especially when you include their head coach.

[pbmax]

DVOA likes them better lately (4th), Pro Football Reference has them 6th. Not sure why EPA is not as excited.

[superfan]

Gotta love Bear Week, just another excuse to rewatch this video.

[pbmax]

Special game. Hawk caused a fumble.

[Fritz]

I'm getting that feeling that either this week in Chicago or next week at home, the Pack is going to stumble and we're all going to be back to wanting to fire someone.

So I'd like to say "I told ya so" and be there first: Fire someone! Not now, but as soon as they lose!

[Joemailman]

I'm getting that feeling that either this week in Chicago or next week at home, the Pack is going to stumble and we're all going to be back to wanting to fire someone.

So I'd like to say "I told ya so" and be there first: Fire someone! Not now, but as soon as they lose!

Keep it up Fritz. Your whammy last week worked wonders. Bretsky giving you any pointers?

[pbmax]

I wonder if Bretsky has offered to buy Mad a Fresno State sweatshirt yet by way of apology.

[Joemailman]

I'll be surprised if the Packers don't take care of business against a Bears team led by a 3rd string QB. Bears chief strength defensively is their pass rush, but the Packers should be able to nullify that. Protect Rodgers, and this should be a win. It'll be cold there, maybe in single digits. They'll be getting snow, but right now they're saying snow should be over by kickoff.