Vikings Week

[ThunderDan]

The stock market still opens even when Elon Musk's status is in doubt, bud.

The sportsbooks in Vegas make money. They want the line as close as possible to 50/50 for the money on both teams. They commonly hold off on taking bets until they know if superstars are going to play.

[bobblehead]

i like the in-the-pocket, move-the-chains, Rodgers. as last night's second half proved again, a less mobile Rodgers gets the ball out faster and is more surgical. no time to hold the ball and look for the home run ball unless it presents itself. the o-linemen also know where Rodgers is at all times and can move their man in the appropriate direction. it's going to be another squeaker.

I've always said Rodgers has only one weakness as a QB and that is he looks for the big play every play instead of taking what the D gives him. He should probably check down to running plays about 25% of the time. Perhaps this will shore up his weakness and he will now be 100% perfect.

[mraynrand]

The sportsbooks in Vegas make money. They want the line as close as possible to 50/50 for the money on both teams. They commonly hold off on taking bets until they know if superstars are going to play.

Packer fans are typically the most crazy, so they often skew the betting line, so that Vegas has to compensate to get enough people betting against them. Thus the 2.5 at home with Rodger's status 'uncertain'*

I'm not sure about your claim about holding off on betting until Superstar status is determined. It seems to me stars are injured all the time in the NFL, their status is 'unknown' all week, and yet betting continues. That's just my impression - I don't follow it close enough to know for certain.



*I'm 'betting' Vegas has well-compensated moles in the various organizations giving them inside info

[bobblehead]

The sportsbooks in Vegas make money. They want the line as close as possible to 50/50 for the money on both teams. They commonly hold off on taking bets until they know if superstars are going to play.

The sportsbooks use calculated knowledge. They also post lines that take positions i.e. the "trap" game. They know damn well that Rodgers wouldn't have played the 2nd half if he couldn't play next week. The knee is structurally sound and ARod will play. If we are lucky he will still be structurally sound after the game next week.

[pbmax]

I think Dan is right. Vegas will take games off the board if there is doubt and private info that might swing the money hard before Vegas and the public find out. A Rodgers injury is just that kind of thing. James Jones might make a killing off a -2.5 line for himself if Rodgers is out 2 weeks. Later in the season its not strange to see one game not listed until the injury reports are out officially.

Therefore I think Bobble is also right that its a better than even bet he plays. I wish I was that confident.

This aggregation site has a few books that are not offering odds yet. But its not just the Packers game: http://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/odds/las-vegas/

Mostly it seems that the Vikings have become the favorites by a 1 point.

[pbmax]

https://www.bovada.lv/sports/football/nfl

Currently there are eight games without lines, waiting for information.

[mraynrand]

https://www.bovada.lv/sports/football/nfl

Currently there are eight games without lines, waiting for information.

OK. That makes sense, I guess. Like I said, I don't follow it closely at all. I do know the Packers tend to draw a lot of betting, so maybe they know enough and want to take that money...

[mraynrand]

The stock market still opens even when Elon Musk's status is in doubt, bud.

BTW, just in case it wasn't obvious, the 'bud' was in reference to Musk's refer smoking that tanked his stock for a day...

[pbmax]

BTW, just in case it wasn't obvious, the 'bud' was in reference to Musk's refer smoking that tanked his stock for a day...

Good 'ol Elon has been all over the news, combating the plague of short sellers.

[pbmax]

Michael Cohen @Michael_Cohen13

#Packers defenders with the greatest percentage of missed tackles, according to @Sportradar:

50% — OLB Clay Matthews
50% — CB Kevin King
33% — OLB Reggie Gilbert
25% — CB Josh Jackson
25% — ILB Antonio Morrison
18.2% — S Kentrell Brice

[pbmax]

For no reason, here is the 1992 Bills-Oilers Playoff Game featuring that comeback. Remember some players: Frank Reich, Webster Slaughter, Nate Odom, Mark Kelso, Darryl Talley (and a sign for him that read Talley's Whackers!), Curtis Duncan, Jack Pardee, Kevin Gilbride, Lorenzo White, Kenneth Davis, Ernest Givens, Pete Metzelaars Don Beebe and James Lofton!

I was skiing with friends and came back to the lodge and saw the game. Was told the score and thought it was over. Had no intention of staying to watch a blowout but the comeback kept us (well me and one other guy) in out seats.

[gbgary]

Michael Cohen @Michael_Cohen13

#Packers defenders with the greatest percentage of missed tackles, according to @Sportradar:

50% — OLB Clay Matthews
50% — CB Kevin King
33% — OLB Reggie Gilbert
25% — CB Josh Jackson
25% — ILB Antonio Morrison
18.2% — S Kentrell Brice

% is kinda misleading. what's worse...1 of 2 or 5 of 10? see what i mean?

[Carolina_Packer]

I have good sources.

Let me guess, your eyes?

[Joemailman]

https://packerswire.usatoday.com/201...r-davis-on-ir/

The Green Bay Packers made four different roster moves on Tuesday.

The team claimed cornerback Deante Burton off waivers from the Atlanta Falcons, placed receiver Trevor Davis on injured reserve, signed cornerback Will Redmond to the practice squad and released safety Marwin Evans from the practice squad.

[Teamcheez1]

I was surprised it took so long with Trevor Davis. He has basically been injured all preseason and going on two weeks of the regular season. I expect an injury settlement will be forthcoming unless they feel strongly enough about his future special teams work.