Official Degenerate Gamblers Thread

[RashanGary]

I'm on the fence. I'll put $50 on the 'Pokes. If I'm right that'd be the third straight "Told Ya So" when it comes to betting, Brandon. But, you're probably closer to the voice of reason on this one, amazingly.

This is the kind of bet I win quite often. I would probably bet on the cowboys with the handicap. However, this one doesn’t seem obviously enough of a rigged game for me to want to make any bet on it. I’ve gotten a little more selective once I fully realized it’s rigged this year. I like to bet when the entire herd is going in one direction now and I don’t know if the herd is big enough here to make it a clearly rigged game. As such, it’s a huge gamble cuz you never know what will happen.

I always say when the refs are with you, no one can be against you. No guarantees in this one.

[RashanGary]

Wait until the end. If every piece of media and prediction is the ravens in a route, take the cowboys with the points. I wouldn’t do moneyline here. It’s too tempting and I just feel like the nfl would be as likely to fuck the greedy moneyline people as they are the people who like the safer bet of the ravens covering. Fuck everyone and keep it tight. That’s what I’d do if I was rigging it and that’s usually what happens

[GB-Brandon]

Wait until the end. If every piece of media and prediction is the ravens in a route, take the cowboys with the points. I wouldn’t do moneyline here. It’s too tempting and I just feel like the nfl would be as likely to fuck the greedy moneyline people as they are the people who like the safer bet of the ravens covering. Fuck everyone and keep it tight. That’s what I’d do if I was rigging it and that’s usually what happens

Your overly obsessed with rigging. It’s what rookie gamblers or bettors do. You have to learn to bake that shit in. Now that doesn’t mean your gonna win every time but you simply can’t bet just on line movements and kill it. I suppose if that strategy is working for you then continue.

As far as this game the line has been everywhere. Currently I think it’s back up to -9. I’ve seen it as high as -9.5 and as low 7 and it’s bounced “both ways” so you have action going “both ways” on specific runs. There has been no clear one way run with the question of Jackson playing or not playing over the last week. Also, there has been Action to cover with comfort of NFC east teams making big ML upsets with the Skins and the Giants and some large prime time covers as well. TIME TO SHAKE THE HAND OUT!

I locked in on Ravens -7 last night and bought a half point to -6.5 at -130. MASSIVE VALUE!!!

As I’ve posted Dallas is going to get their face kicked in on Defense. Dalton won’t be able to keep up!!!

[bobblehead]

How does everyone feel about taking the Cowpokes +8.5 tomorrow in Baltimore? I'm thinking about it. They suck, but the Ravens have played kinda flat lately on offense. I'm thinking it may actually be a low-scoring affair.

I don't like this game, but given how Baltimore has been playing I think the value is in taking the points. Plus, even though I hate MM, he does tend to show a little pride when things go bad. I expect him to coach like his job is on the line.

[bobblehead]

Josh Allen is a Fucken Boss!! All these Fucken idiots took Mulliens over Allen and pushed the line 5 points !!! Lmao!!!!!

Talk about a Fucken Christmas Present!!! This is what I meant about a GAME I LOVE!!!!

That’s what makes this shit soooooooo easy!!!

The vegas line only moved 2 points. But you made the right call. Allen really showed up. I thought the 49er defense was better than that.

[bobblehead]

So basically that’s pretty much what happens when I say “I LOVE A GAME.” I don’t normally even share this shit. It just so happened Bobble put this thread up today and I saw it. This was a game that you were able to get at +113 at kickoff and it was a blow out winner!! 1st half winner, 2nd half winner etc etc!!! “Rack City”. Total Fuck Job!!! Had nothing to do with rigging like RG suggested. Had everything to do with people making stupid bets pushing the line and mistakes being made making line. It happens. If any bookie or service gave anyone this play to pick the Niners you should fire their ass immediately!!!!!!

Also, Bills at 22 to 1 Super Bowl Odds are Very Nice. They really can do it all and that is AMAZING VALUE. I will be pounding that when I go to Vegas Friday!!!!

Wait, you coming to Vegas? I'm going to Green Bay. lol, we shoulda house swapped and saved some money!!

[bobblehead]

Your overly obsessed with rigging. It’s what rookie gamblers or bettors do. You have to learn to bake that shit in. Now that doesn’t mean your gonna win every time but you simply can’t bet just on line movements and kill it. I suppose if that strategy is working for you then continue.

As far as this game the line has been everywhere. Currently I think it’s back up to -9. I’ve seen it as high as -9.5 and as low 7 and it’s bounced “both ways” so you have action going “both ways” on specific runs. There has been no clear one way run with the question of Jackson playing or not playing over the last week. Also, there has been Action to cover with comfort of NFC east teams making big ML upsets with the Skins and the Giants and some large prime time covers as well. TIME TO SHAKE THE HAND OUT!

I locked in on Ravens -7 last night and bought a half point to -6.5 at -130. MASSIVE VALUE!!!

As I’ve posted Dallas is going to get their face kicked in on Defense. Dalton won’t be able to keep up!!!

I want to bet with your bookie. Vegas never had this game go under 8.5 after the initial line was bet up on Baltimore. If you got -7 last night your bookie is a fool who is WIDE open to getting middled. You could have played -7/+8.5

[GB-Brandon]

The vegas line only moved 2 points. But you made the right call. Allen really showed up. I thought the 49er defense was better than that.

Buffalo opened at a 2.5 point fav and the game kicked off with you being able to get them +2 at some books. So it was 4.5 to be exact. That’s massive line movement over the course of the week. Everyone and their brother bet the Niners.

Except me of course!!

[bobblehead]

I'm going back to the teaser. Its what I do when I want action and don't like much. I got Baltimore -2.5 and under 52. Wish I had Brandons bookie, could get -1 on the teaser, but that doesn't exist in Vegas and hasn't. Game opened at -8 and never even hit 7.5 much less 7. Sadly I have to book my bets in the real world.

[bobblehead]

Buffalo opened at a 2.5 point fav and the game kicked off with you being able to get them +2 at some books. So it was 4.5 to be exact. That’s massive line movement over the course of the week. Everyone and there brother bet the Niners.

Except me of course!!

Opened as 1 point favorite all over Vegas. Seriously, who do you bet with? How does he make any money? The line flipped to SF -1 at kick off. It never came close to the swing you describe. You either have a bookie who is truly a maverick, or ... well, I don't know what the or is.

[GB-Brandon]

I want to bet with your bookie. Vegas never had this game go under 8.5 after the initial line was bet up on Baltimore. If you got -7 last night your bookie is a fool who is WIDE open to getting middled. You could have played -7/+8.5

I get “Juice Plays”. Saw it at -7 and took it at -6.5 -130. Looked at it again at about 11AM today and it was at -9 and wouldn’t of been able to get it any lower then -7.5 if even tried at -155. Don’t hate the player hate the game.

I’m sitting FLUSH!!!!!

[GB-Brandon]

I'm going back to the teaser. Its what I do when I want action and don't like much. I got Baltimore -2.5 and under 52. Wish I had Brandons bookie, could get -1 on the teaser, but that doesn't exist in Vegas and hasn't. Game opened at -8 and never even hit 7.5 much less 7. Sadly I have to book my bets in the real world.

Last time I checked I’m here in the real world and I’m certainly making mid to high level bets! I’ll actually be in Vegas on Friday to finish up some of my Future in plays to get ready for playoffs.

[GB-Brandon]

I gave you a Smashy ML ticket with Bills and you could of hit the 1st and 2nd Half as I posted in game too.

Ravens are covering the 6.5 but their covering the Fucken 9 tonight too!!!!

[GB-Brandon]

Opened as 1 point favorite all over Vegas. Seriously, who do you bet with? How does he make any money? The line flipped to SF -1 at kick off. It never came close to the swing you describe. You either have a bookie who is truly a maverick, or ... well, I don't know what the or is.

There are places you can go where you can buy points and pick whatever line you want. Fuck Vegas!

[GB-Brandon]

Anyone care for a halftime update or guidance?

As predicted Dallas’s face is getting kicked in on defense. Someone will have to remove the tread marks from their faces in the locker room. Dallas has had just about everything go their way and they are down 7. They got the turnover and the big special teams play etc.

Time to maximize value and profits!!!!!

Baltimore -3 @ -110. 2nd Half. Now I’m rolling with everyone in the “Real World” too!!!! LOL!!!