Official Degenerate Gamblers Thread

[GB-Brandon]

Another “Blow Out Winner”. 1st half winner -6, 2nd half winner -3, Game Winner at “Whatever You had it at”

That’s how you go 3-0 in one game and 6-0 in two games!!!!!

Easy Cover in “Bird Land”

[GB-Brandon]

Opened as 1 point favorite all over Vegas. Seriously, who do you bet with? How does he make any money? The line flipped to SF -1 at kick off. It never came close to the swing you describe. You either have a bookie who is truly a maverick, or ... well, I don't know what the or is.

Here is your “Opening Line” on December 3rd.

https://billswire.usatoday.com/2020/12/03/nfl-week-13-odds-betting-lines-buffalo-bills-san-francisco-49ers/

[smuggler]

My Cowboys bet was... not successful. To be fair, this is the first time the Ravens have looked like the 2019 iteration here in 2020. Ah well, I'm still well up on the season.

[RashanGary]

My Cowboys bet was... not successful. To be fair, this is the first time the Ravens have looked like the 2019 iteration here in 2020. Ah well, I'm still well up on the season.

I win some and lose some too. Still up as well. If the giants win the east, I got in at +1700 and I’ll be in good shape. If Rodgers win the MVP I’ll have tripled my money this year assuming I don’t do any reckless shit down the stretch here

[GB-Brandon]

“SmokeShow” @ #Rigged!!!!

[Upnorth]

I win some and lose some too. Still up as well. If the giants win the east, I got in at +1700 and I’ll be in good shape. If Rodgers win the MVP I’ll have tripled my money this year assuming I don’t do any reckless shit down the stretch here

You have a good chance for the Giants imo. They look like the best team in that division. I don't see Dallas orphilly putting up mich of a fight. Washington is interesting as I have always thought Smith is a great system qb. If they can match the system to him they might make some noise.

[RashanGary]

It's cool that we have a few break even to winning sports bettors here. It's not as easy as people think to win. Some of my very best bets go hard against the grain. I mean, I don't do it all of the time but when media and momentum are swinging super hard, my conspiracy radar goes up and I bet on the game being rigged and win quite often that way.

I'm clearly not as good as some of you guys at hunting value, but I have intuition for conspiracies so I lean into that sometimes and it keeps me in the black even though I slack in other areas.

[RashanGary]

My best bet last year was chiefs winning AFC at +650 right at the end of the mahommes injury. I also had ravens at +1000 or 900 last year early in week 2. I was blown away by Lamar. I also had SF last year after week 2 to win NFC at +1000.

This year it was giants to win the east and I got in at the end of their losing streak. I'm a giants fan. Danny dimes is real IMHO, so is the rare 320 DT, the LT and that corner. They have a bunch of good young pieces and new coaches. I knew it would take time, but looking at the division, at +1700 I loved that bet.

I made one other crazy one, I got in on the Vikings to win the SB. I knew they'd come on as those young defenders got their shit together. I thought hunter and yannick would eventually be healthy together. Hunter made it a bad bet with his season ender, but I like the reasoning and the huge odds on the bet.



I typically have about a break even season with the week to week stuff. I hit on enough conspiracy bets to pay for my long odds bets. And then I hit enough long odds ones to feel good about my last couple seasons.

My Gf questions my gambling but I tell her I can't stop when I'm doubling and tripling my money. My roll is growing and I still chase the dream that it will be big enough one day to supplement my income.

I learn every year from you guys and just trying to keep an open mind to things like rigging and conspiracies.

[GB-Brandon]

My best bet last year was chiefs winning AFC at +650 right at the end of the mahommes injury. I also had ravens at +1000 or 900 last year early in week 2. I was blown away by Lamar. I also had SF last year after week 2 to win NFC at +1000.

This year it was giants to win the east and I got in at the end of their losing streak. I'm a giants fan. Danny dimes is real IMHO, so is the rare 320 DT, the LT and that corner. They have a bunch of good young pieces and new coaches. I knew it would take time, but looking at the division, at +1700 I loved that bet.

I made one other crazy one, I got in on the Vikings to win the SB. I knew they'd come on as those young defenders got their shit together. I thought hunter and yannick would eventually be healthy together. Hunter made it a bad bet with his season ender, but I like the reasoning and the huge odds on the bet.



I typically have about a break even season with the week to week stuff. I hit on enough conspiracy bets to pay for my long odds bets. And then I hit enough long odds ones to feel good about my last couple seasons.

My Gf questions my gambling but I tell her I can't stop when I'm doubling and tripling my money. My roll is growing and I still chase the dream that it will be big enough one day to supplement my income.

I learn every year from you guys and just trying to keep an open mind to things like rigging and conspiracies.

Yeah, they question it until you start showing them wins and wins and the $ and the vacations and extra things etc etc and then they start to expect it. LOL!!

It absolutely can be a second source of income. Its no more rigged then the stock market or anything else. It takes time. Gotta earn it just like anything else. There are many strategies and formulas but the best way is to master one and stay in your lane.

Along with “Chasing Value” as I say money management is equally important. If you can break even while your learning your doing amazing. I would say the two things most people struggle with the most is mentally handling the losses and managing the money according to their bets.

There is obviously a long list of other things to avoid that you learn and discipline yourself over time.

[RashanGary]

I never bet more than 20% of my roll in a given week. My long odds bets are usually like 2-5% and my larger, safer bets are in the 20% range.

I always do better when I slow down and bet a little less. As soon as I lose a couple, I slow down and wait for the great bets. I usually climb out and end up higher than ever before but I'm bound to get cocky and slip.


My bank roll discipline gives me a chance but I still fight against impulse and overconfidence like you and bobble clearly do too. If there ever was a band of know it all's, it's us three. But, to our credit and yours too even lately, you don't dig in like a dip shit. You're fine to move on even if you're not perfectly right on everything you say.

[GB-Brandon]

I never bet more than 20% of my roll in a given week. My long odds bets are usually like 2-5% and my larger, safer bets are in the 20% range.

I always do better when I slow down and bet a little less. As soon as I lose a couple, I slow down and wait for the great bets. I usually climb out and end up higher than ever before but I'm bound to get cocky and slip.


My bank roll discipline gives me a chance but I still fight against impulse and overconfidence like you and bobble clearly do too. If there ever was a band of know it all's, it's us three. But, to our credit and yours too even lately, you don't dig in like a dip shit. You're fine to move on even if you're not perfectly right on everything you say.

Well that’s just it. I’ve lived in Vegas and such and I’ve seen guys that can pick games and winners but they were always broke and couldn’t manage the $ and they just keep going and going with the compulsive side which always leads to the destructive side. They basically box themselves in where they can’t win mid to long term and it’s just a disaster waiting to happen. The compulsive demon has to be managed and checked at all times. With time it just becomes a trained behavior. In fact betting more games isn’t a great idea in general when your getting started especially. I’m more cautious during the weekday games as there isn’t as much action to choose from. I’ll go lighter but the two I went on about this week i just really really liked. They had all the components I look for to take a bigger swing.

With college basketball now it opens things up quite a bit though. I’m still going through my grading process with that as the season has just started.

[RashanGary]

I don't have multiple book options like some of you guys, but I got the eagles +7 at even money this week. I like how their DL matches up against taysom Hill at QB. Would love a straight loss by NO because they still have the chiefs! I can't make that bet even tho the ml is nice at +300

[smuggler]

+300 ML isn't that hot for the Iggles game, the way they're currently playing. The Saints defense is damn good.

[RashanGary]

Taysom hill at QB vs the best DL is a horrible matchup for NO. And a QB like Hurts is a great equalizer for a top defense. He can luck into 20 yard first down runs on the regular. It's a sneaky had game for the Saints.

[RashanGary]

As a downside to week 14, Alex Kemp, known mafia ref and game rigger (known by me) is refereeing the Packers Lions. Anything could happen because when the refs are with you, no one can be against you.