Receivers; First, Second and Third rounds

[RashanGary]

2010

1st Round
Great Pick - Demaryius Thomas - 9,763 career yards
Great Pick - Dez Bryant - 7,506 career yards

2nd round
Bust - Dexter McCluster - 1,042 career yards
Bust - Arrelious Benn - 990 career yards
Great Pick - Golden Tate - 8,278 career yards

3rd round
Bust - Damian Williams - 1,327 career yards
Good pick - Brandon Lafell - 5,398 career yards
Great pick - Emmanuel Sanders - 9,245 career yards
Bust - Jordan Shipley - 858 career yards
Good Pick - Eric Decker - 5,816 career yards
Good Pick - Andre Roberts - 3,079 career yards
Bust - Armanti Edwards - kick and punt returner
Bust - Taylor Price - 80 career yards

2011

1st round
Great pick - AJ Green - 10,278 career yards
HOF pick - Julio Jones - 13,330 career yards
Bust - Jonathan Baldwin - 607 career yards

2nd round
Bust - Titus Young - 990 career yards
Good pick - Torrey Smith - 5141 career yards
Bad pick - Greg Little - 1,890 career yards
Great pick - Randall Cobb - 7,168 career yards

3rd round
Bust - Austin Pettis - 1,034 career yards
Bust - Leonard Hankerson - 1,408 career yards
Bust - Vincent Brown - 941 career yards
Bust - Jerrel Jernigan - 391 career yards


I'm going to add the other years in below posts

[RashanGary]

2012

1st round
Bust - Justin Blackmon - 1,280 career yards
OK pick - Michael Floyd - 3,959 career yards
OK pick - Kendall Wright - 3,858 career yards
Bust - AJ Jenkins - 223 career yards

2nd round
Bust - Brian Quick - 1,593 career yards
Bust - Stephen Hill - 594 career yards
Good pick - Alshon Jeffrey - 6,786 career yards
Bust - Ryan Broyles - 420 career yards
Bad pick - Rueben Randle - 2,644 career yards

3rd round
Bust - DeVier Posey - 272 career yards
Good pick - Mohamed Sanu - 4,871 career yards
Great pick - TY Hilton - 9,671 career yards


2013

1st round
Bad pick - Tavon Austin - 2,239 career yards
Great pick - Deandre Hopkins - 10,581 career yards
Good pick - Cordarrelle Patterson - 2,635 career yards with kick return and rushing

2nd round
Bust - Justin Hunter - 1,349 career yards
Great pick - Robert Woods - 7,077 career yards
Bust - Aaron Dobson - 698 career yards

3rd round
OK pick - Terrance Williams - 3,377 career yards
Great pick - Keenan Allen - 8,535 career yards
Bad pick - Marquise Goodwin - 2,636 career yards
Bust - Markus Wheaton - 1,559 career yards
Bust - Sedman Bailey - 843 career yards

[RashanGary]

2014

1st round
Good pick - Sammy Watkins - 5,059 career yards
Great pick - Mike Evans - 9,301 career yards
Great pick - Odell Beckham Jr - 7,367 career yards
Great pick - Brandin Cooks - 7,917 career yards
Bad pick - Kelvin Benjamin - 3,021 career yards

2nd round
Bad pick - Marqise Lee - 2,184 career yards
OK pick - Jordan Matthews - 3,288 career yards
Bad pick - Paul Richardson - 1,809 career yards
Great pick - Davante Adams - 8,121 career yards
Bust - Cody Latimer - 935 career yards
Great pick - Allen Robinson - 6,409 career yards
Great pick - Jarvis Landry - 7,598 career yards

3rd round
Bust - Josh Huff - 523 career yards
Bad pick - Donte Moncrief - 2,578 career yards
Good pick - John Brown - 4,748 career yards
Bust - Dri Archer - 23 career yards


2015

1st round
Great pick - Amari Cooper - 7,076 career yards
Bust - Kevin White - 323 career yards
Good pick - Devante Parker - 4,727 career yards
Good pick - Nelson Agholor - 3,884 career yards
Bad pick - Breshad Perriman - 2,233 career yards
Bad pick - PHillip Dorsett - 1,744 career yards

2nd round
Bust - Devin Smith - 248 career yards
Bust - Dorial Green-Beckham - 941 career yards

3rd round
Great pick - Tyler Lockett - 6,067 career yards
Bust - Jaelen Strong - 330 career yards
Bad pick - Chris Conley - 2,807 career yards
Bust - Sammie Coates - 528 career yards
Bad pick - Ty Montgomery - 1,104 career yards

[RashanGary]

2016

1st round
Bust - Corey Coleman - 789 career yards
OK pick - Will Fuller - 3,136 career yards
Bust - Josh Doctson - 1,100 career yards
Bust - Laquon Treadwell - 1,184 career yards

2nd round
Good pick - Sterling Shepard - 3,884 career yards
Great pick - Michael Thomas - 5,950 career yards
Good pick - Tyler Boyd - 4,571 career yards

3rd round
Bust - Braxton Miller - 261 career yards
Bust - Leonte Carroo - 192 career yards


2017

1st round
OK Pick - Corey Davis - 3,343 career yards
OK Pick - Mike Williams - 3,662 career yards
Bust - John Ross - 957 career yards


2nd round
Bad pick - Zay Jones - 1,884 career yards
OK pick - Curtis Samuel - 2,114 career yards
Good pick - Juju Smith-Schuster - 3,855 career yards

3rd round
Great pick - Cooper Kupp - 5,517 career yards
Bust - Taywan Taylor - 697 career yards
Bust - ArDarious Stewart - 82 career yards
Bust Carlos Henderson - 0 career yards
Great pick - Chris Godwin - 4,643 career yards
Good pick - Kenny Golloday - 3,589 career yards
Bust - Chad Williams - 202 career yards
Bust - Amara Darboh - 71 career yards

[RashanGary]

2018

1st round
Great pick - DJ Moore - 4,313 career yards
Good pick - Calvin Ridley - 3,342 career yards

2nd round
Good pick - Courtland Sutton - 2,658 career yards
Bust - Dante Pettis - 739 career yards
Good pick - Christian Kirk -2,902 career yards
Bad pick - Anthony Miller - 1,589 career yards
Bad pick - James Washington - 1,629 career yards
Good pick - DJ Chark - 2,042 career yards

3rd round
Good pick - Michael Gallup - 2,902 career yards
Bad pick - Trequan Smith - 1,486 career yards


2019

1st round
Good pick - Marquise Brown - 2,361 career yards
Bust - Nkeal Harry - 598 career yards

2nd round
Great pick - Deebo Samuel - 2,598 career yards
Great pick - AJ Brown - 2,995 career yards
Good pick - Mecole Hardman - 1,791 career yards
Bust - JJ Arcega-Whiteside - 290 career yards
Bust - Paris Cambell - 360 career yards
Bust - Andy Isabella - 426 career yards
Great pick - DK Metclalf - 3,170 career yards

3rd round
Great pick - Dionte Johnson - 2,764 career yards
Bust - Jalen Hurt - 0 career yards
Great pick - Terry McClaurin - 3090 career yards
Bust - Miles Boykin - 470 career yards

[RashanGary]

34 picks in the first round

1 - HOF pick - 3%
9 - Great Picks - 26%
6 - Good picks - 18%
5 - OK picks - 15%
4 - Bad picks - 12%
9 - Busts - 26%


43 picks in the 2nd round

10 - Great picks - 23%
9 - Good picks - 21%
2 - OK picks - 5%
7 - Bad picks - 16%
15 - Busts - 35%


44 picks in the 3rd round

7 - Great picks - 16%
7 - Good picks - 16%
1 - OK pick - 2%
5 - Bad picks - 11%
24 - Busts - 53%

[RashanGary]

1st round 29% great or better
2nd round 23% great
3rd round 16% great

1st round 47% good or better
2nd round 44% good or better
3rd round 32% good or better

1st round 26% busts
2nd round 35% busts
3rd round 53% busts

[RashanGary]

You have almost as good of a chance to find a good or better player in the second round as in the first round for receivers. The idea of taking a 1st round receiver because we have to find our guy seems flawed. We're just as likely to get our guy in the 2nd.

[RashanGary]

My thought on the draft is to sit tight in the first round and take BPA. If its a receiver, great. Otherwise move up in the second to get the guy we really want from the 2nd round.

[Jaire]

Great Job. Agreed. I didn't know it was so close.

Of course, classes differ from one another: each is unique. This seems a deeper class and one I would wait til the second round (and I happen to like second round receivers better than many in round one.)

[RashanGary]

I also put this together

[RashanGary]

Top 21 receiving yards leaders from 2021. I added a few players who were injured in 2021 after the top 10.

Cooper Kupp
Round 3 Pick 5
6'2" 204
4.62 40
31 vert
6.75 3 cone
4.08 shuttle

Justin Jefferson
Round 1 Pick 22
6'1" 202
4.43 40
37.5 vert

Davante Adams
Round 2 Pick 21
6'1" 212
4.56 40
39.5 vert
6.82 3 cone
4.3 shuttle

Ja'Marr Chase (pro day)
Round 1 Pick 5
6'0" 200
4.38 40
41" vert
7.0 3 cone
3.98 shuttle

Deebo Samuel
Round 2 Pick 4
5'11" 214
4.48 40
39" vert
7.03 3 cone
4.14 shuttle

Tyreek Hill (pro day)
Round 5 Pick 26
5'10" 185
4.29 40
40.5" vert
6.53 3 cone
4.06 shuttle

Stefon Diggs
Round 5 Pick 10
6'0"195
4.46 40
35" vert
7.03 3 cone
4.32 shuttle

Tyler Lockett
Round 3 Pick 5
5'10"182
4.40 40
35.5 vert
6.89 3 cone
4.07 shuttle

Diontae Johnson
Round 3 Pick 2
5'10" 183
4.53 40
33.5 vert
7.09 3-cone
4.45 shuttle


DJ Moore
Round 1 Pick 24
6'0" 210
4.42 40
39.5" vert
6.95 3 cone
4.07 shuttle

Kenny Golladay
Round 3 pick 32
6-4 218
4.50 40
35.5 vert
7.0 3 cone
4.15 shuttle

AJ Brown
Round 2 Pick 19
6'0" 226
4.49 40
36.5 vert

Allen Robinson
Round 2 Pick 29
6'2" 220
4.60 40
39" vert
7.00 3 cone
4.00 shuttle

DeAndre Hopkins
Round 1 Pick 27
6'1" 214
4.57 40
36" vert
4.5 shuttle

Calvin Ridley
Round 1 Pick 26
6'1" 189
4.43 40
31" vert
6.88 3 cone
4.41 shuttle

Mike Williams (pro day)
Round 1 Pick 7
6'4" 218
4.54 40
32.5" vert

Keenan Allen
Round 3 Pick 12
6'2" 206

Chris Godwin
Round 3 Pick 20
6'1" 209
4.42 40
36" vert
7.01 3 cone
4.00 shuttle

CeeDee Lamb
Round 1 Pick 17
6'2" 198
4.50 40
34.5" vert

Tee Higgins (pro day)
Round 2 Pick 1
6'4" 216
4.59 40
31" vert
4.53 shuttle

Michael Pittman
Round 2 Pick 2
6'4" 223
4.52 40
36.5" vert
6.96 3 cone
4.14 shuttle

So 10 of the top 21 were taken before pick 6 in the 2nd round.
9 of 21 were taking between pick 6 in the 2nd round through the end of the third round
2 were taken in the 5th round

[RashanGary]

So 10 of the top 21 were taken before pick 6 in the 2nd round.
9 of 21 were taking between pick 6 in the 2nd round through the end of the third round
2 were taken in the 5th round

This shows that first through early second rounds are the premium spots. The rest of the 2nd and 3rd is still good.

[RashanGary]

George Pickens, Jahan Dotson, Christian Watson (I dont like because of poor ball skills), Skyy Moore, John Metchie, Jalen Tolbert and Alec Pierce (Im suspicious of because of so/so production) all have something to offer in the 2nd and 3rd rounds.

[Jaire]

Simms noted that Pierce's production was because of the system. They could have gone to him much more.

Pierce is my top pick for the Packers. It's a no brainer. I agree on Watkins, but he is perfect for MLF's system and also can return.