Jordan Love Era Predictions

[RashanGary]

Justin! You’re back!

APB was worried about you. He . . . wait for it . . . put out an APB on you.

Thanks! I just took pr off my front page of my browser and I’ve been busy as hell. So with it not being in my view, I slipped into never checking. Great to hear from you guys though! Pr is back up on the top page of my browser. I cant go through a football season with just my view unchecked. I come up with some crazy shit and need a little sensibility.

[RashanGary]

Saw a QB power ranking. Love was 15, just ahead of Fields. Nice. But top 5 is where we feel real good about the pick and decision.

[Fritz]

Saw a QB power ranking. Love was 15, just ahead of Fields. Nice. But top 5 is where we feel real good about the pick and decision.

First year as a starter, man. You've got to wait until, say, midway through next season to really get much as far as value from that kind of info. He's still a wet-behind-the-ears kid, though I do think the Packers being able to sit him for three years, like they did with Rodgers, is a great help to a young QB.

[MadScientist]

Saw a QB power ranking. Love was 15, just ahead of Fields. Nice. But top 5 is where we feel real good about the pick and decision.

He needs more tape and a bit more accuracy.

[texaspackerbacker]

True, it's still too early to crown him the next big thing. He's off to a damn good start, though, and out of 32 teams, I very much doubt 14 of them have QBs better than Love.

[RashanGary]

True, it's still too early to crown him the next big thing. He's off to a damn good start, though, and out of 32 teams, I very much doubt 14 of them have QBs better than Love.

You might be right on this one. I liked seeing the Twitter cut ups and commentary from the former QBs. There were several where he was looking guys off and moving the defense around with his eyes. A lot of guys struggle to do the basics, so seeing him adding in extra complexity and making it work for him…. That’s a good sign. We never questioned his physical talent. That was already upper tier. So seeing him do the mental side at a very high level….. he might be the next one. The odds of three in a row is ridiculously slim. But my hopes are up for the first time.

[RashanGary]

As of 2010 l, since 1967, 86 quarterbacks were drafted in the first round and 6 had made the HOF. I’m sure more made it since and will still make it like Rodgers and maybe Eli and rivers and Ben. Let’s just call it 10 HOFers or 12 to be extra safe.

12/86 = 14%

I’m sure the odds are more slim after the top 20 picks. Let’s say 10% chance


10% chance of hitting 1. We did it three times in a row. That’s like 1 in a 1000 odds. And we might have done it!

[RashanGary]

I think hitting on a quarterback between picks 20 and 32 is probably a little more likely when the team who drafts them has a 36 year old HOF qb already on the roster and aren’t having to draft a QB. And then they get to learn for 3 years behind the HOFer too.

Just like number of teams that miss when they’re desperate and have to take one are probably a lot worse.


1 in 1000 is still close to the odds of being able to hit three in a row after pick 20.

[RashanGary]

If it somehow happens, I imagine it would be quite a long time before anyone ever repeated the feat.