WHAT IS MORE LIKELY ???

[Sparkey]

Packers with a 34.48% chance to miss the playoffs
Packers with a 3.2% chance to make the superbowl.

[RashanGary]

Packers with a 34.48% chance to miss the playoffs
Packers with a 3.2% chance to make the superbowl.

Exactly. Missing the playoffs is a very common occurrence in the NFL. 50%+ miss the playoffs. The Packers have a pretty good ascending situation and should be less likely than average.

But to take something as uncommon and 2 in 32 chance and think they’re more likely to achieve that than something closer to a coin flip….thats just fans being fans but not being very realistic.

[MadtownPacker]

Wait aren’t you the guy that bets preseason for the Pack to win it all? Or is that APB?

[smuggler]

Well bets pay based on how unlikely a thing is to happen. The poll isn't asking about bets.

[MadtownPacker]

The GA guy shows up .

It’s not about betting but is based on the same thing. How confident are you in the Packers. I am surprised so many say no playoffs versus just getting to, not winning, the SB. Would think more are believe another SB window has open. Too bad that puto Bretsky effed up and let people hide on the poll.

[texaspackerbacker]

Shocking that it's up to TEN people now basically thinking it's unlikely the Packers make the playoffs. Sheeeeeesh

I can see negativists whining that we won't win or make it to the Super Bowl, but with the talent and coaching on this team, it seems like virtually a sure thing the Packers make the playoffs.

Probably anonymity has something to do with it - they can get with that kind of stupidity without having their name attached to it.

[Joemailman]

Shocking that it's up to TEN people now basically thinking it's unlikely the Packers make the playoffs. Sheeeeeesh

I can see negativists whining that we won't win or make it to the Super Bowl, but with the talent and coaching on this team, it seems like virtually a sure thing the Packers make the playoffs.

Probably anonymity has something to do with it - they can get with that kind of stupidity without having their name attached to it.

I don't think those people are saying it's likely the Packers will miss the playoffs. They are saying that missing the playoffs is more likely than making it to the Super Bowl. I would guess most of them think the Packers will make the playoffs.

[MadScientist]

True, if you think the Packers have an above average 10% chance at making the superbowl and a much below average 12% chance of missing the playoffs, it still means that you think missing out is more likely. But this is not the time of year for such an pessimistic attitude. This is the time to look at the NFC and say none of the other teams are clearly better than the Packers and a lot are clearly worse, so the Superbowl is more likely than missing out.

[Bretsky]

this poll is F'ckin awesome

I voted more likely they make the SB by the way.

[bobblehead]

I will say this. If Halfwit has them playing downhill to their strengths we have a really good shot at the owl.

[King Friday]

Odds in Vegas to reach SB ~ +800
Odds in Vegas to not make the playoffs ~ +160

Clearly better odds to not make the postseason, which is why the bet wouldn’t pay out as much. Anyone who thinks the better chance is to make the Super Bowl doesn’t understand math. Admitting the obvious is not the same as stating the Packers can’t make the SB.

[sharpe1027]

Odds in Vegas to reach SB ~ +800
Odds in Vegas to not make the playoffs ~ +160

Clearly better odds to not make the postseason, which is why the bet wouldn’t pay out as much. Anyone who thinks the better chance is to make the Super Bowl doesn’t understand math. Admitting the obvious is not the same as stating the Packers can’t make the SB.

Just because you're right, and I've known that from the start, doesn't mean I'm going to change my vote.

[texaspackerbacker]

I don't think those people are saying it's likely the Packers will miss the playoffs. They are saying that missing the playoffs is more likely than making it to the Super Bowl. I would guess most of them think the Packers will make the playoffs.

As I stated, if it's 90-95% likely we make the playoffs/5-10% we don't - as certainly seems realistic, then if there's even a 10% or so chance of going to the SB - also very realistic, then that choice is more.

That 34.8% to make the playoffs is just idiotic with the quality of this team.

[King Friday]

That 34.8% to make the playoffs is just idiotic with the quality of this team.

Injuries will always be a part of the game. Jets fans had your confidence last year Tex. After one series, their season was over. That is why no team is 90% to make the playoffs.

[texaspackerbacker]

Yeah, grasp at that straw hahahahahahahahahahaha.

The Jets last season weren't even close quality-wise to this year's Packers. As for the prospect of Love getting hurt, first of all, Clifford is pretty damn good so we might make the playoffs anyway, and if we didn't, I said 90-95% we make the playoffs. Love getting hurt or a huge amount of injuries in general is pretty much what makes the 5-10% we don't. I suppose the usual suspects might see that otherwise, but then they're probably dumbasses in a lot of other ways too. If the shoe fits .......