Load Management coming to you!!!

[bobblehead]

After seeing the chart that basically showed me that injury "luck" played the biggest factor in the NFLs final four and even final 2 I have to think that coaches will soon start "load managing" like the NBA does. Basically play the entire roster vs. division foes, but start resting guys who can benefit vs. AFC opponents, especially if you have a weak AFC foe and are at home. That would be a time to rest a couple guys and still hopefully squeak out a win.


Coaches do it all the time in the final week when games don't matter. How long will it be before they begin to realize that the seeding isn't as important as being healthy. What if we had decided winning in Denver wasn't that important (or likely?) and rested a bunch of guys. Could that type decision have altered the end of the season and allowed a much healthier rested team to beat Chicago?

I can't say for sure, but I think the question will start being asked now that the NFL has gone to 17 games. If I were a coach I would find a reason to rest and keep home certain key guys if I were forced to play in London or Brazil for instance. Wink, wink, Zack Tom just isn't ready for game action this week and will not be making the trip.

[pbmax]

I mean, it would make more sense to dump a preseason game and return to a sixteen game season, but if these are the available choices, then so be it.

[Teamcheez1]

Football doesn’t have enough games to truly consider load management.
At the end of the season when playoff seedlings are starting to get locked in is the closest thing to load management in the NFL.

[MadScientist]

There isn't enough margin between teams in the NFL. Just look at the Cleveland game last year. Resting players = losing games.

[texaspackerbacker]

The best response to bobblehead's post is DUH. Load management i.e. rotation ....... teams already do that big time. It may or may not help with injuries. I'd argue that the "luck factor" is very real, and will continue to be the main determinant in injuries or not.

[Anti-Polar Bear]

The best response to bobblehead's post is DUH. Load management i.e. rotation ....... teams already do that big time. It may or may not help with injuries. I'd argue that the "luck factor" is very real, and will continue to be the main determinant in injuries or not.

What is luck? Nothing more than a mathematical probability. The calculus of the injuries pertaining to the Packers has a lot to do with mathematical probabilities. Damn, I am smart.

Alas, I ain’t gotta worried about “load management.” As a burger flipper making $15/hr, I am so unattractive to chicks, ain’t one gonna give me a chance to practice load management.

[bobblehead]

I mean, it would make more sense to dump a preseason game and return to a sixteen game season, but if these are the available choices, then so be it.

The most important players barely play in pre season anyway. Also I do think ramping up contact before week 1 is still very important. And I'm thinking more about giving guys rest 8 weeks in....similar to the bye week, but for select guys who are banged up.

[bobblehead]

There isn't enough margin between teams in the NFL. Just look at the Cleveland game last year. Resting players = losing games.

We lost a bunch of games like Cleveland that happened because the team lost focus late. And I acknowledge it could cost you a game, but if you pick and choose the whens and whys the benefit could out weigh the costs.

[texaspackerbacker]

What is luck? Nothing more than a mathematical probability. The calculus of the injuries pertaining to the Packers has a lot to do with mathematical probabilities. Damn, I am smart.

Alas, I ain’t gotta worried about “load management.” As a burger flipper making $15/hr, I am so unattractive to chicks, ain’t one gonna give me a chance to practice load management.

No, luck is actually when true circumstances defy mathematics. Sure, mathematically speaking, there are always going to be injuries. But when you have more than math would predict and/or more among your most important or effective players, that's a matter of bad luck. I suppose you could say when you are on the good side of the math, that's good luck. As a trained accountant, you should know that. You must be starting to think more like a burger flipper after all these years hahahaha. As for not getting chicks, you're like a GM that can't draft good players because he has a lousy force of scouts. If you expanded pool of talent (looked for a Philippine girl for example), you might find something like a first round pick. It worked for me - twice.

[Anti-Polar Bear]

No, luck is actually when true circumstances defy mathematics. Sure, mathematically speaking, there are always going to be injuries. But when you have more than math would predict and/or more among your most important or effective players, that's a matter of bad luck. I suppose you could say when you are on the good side of the math, that's good luck. As a trained accountant, you should know that. You must be starting to think more like a burger flipper after all these years hahahaha. As for not getting chicks, you're like a GM that can't draft good players because he has a lousy force of scouts. If you expanded pool of talent (looked for a Philippine girl for example), you might find something like a first round pick. It worked for me - twice.

Sorry, Tex, we don’t live in a paranormal sphere. What you refer to as superstition - true circumstances defying mathematics - is simply a mathematical probability .

Say, you’re dealt A-A at Texas Hold’em, and you’re all-in preflop against a fish holding 2-3 of diamonds in a $3000 pot. Before the flop, you are at least an 82% favorite to win the pot.

The flop is A of hearts, A of diamonds, and 4 of diamonds. You’ve flopped “quads,” and are now at least 95% favored to win. The turn is an inconsequential K of clubs. Your odds of winning is now at least 97%.

Lo and behold, the river card is the 5 of diamonds. The fish has hit an improbable straight flush and wins!

That bad luck is not some poker deity fucking with you. That’s math.

Peerless Parsons attacks Nix at X velocity and at X angle. Nix escapes by changing direction at X velocity and X angle. Parsons commences the attack by changing direction at X velocity and X angle, while planting his left foot with X force. Nix escapes and Parsons tears his left ACL.

It ain’t superstition. It’s math.

[texaspackerbacker]

Are you saying that it's in line with mathematical probability to have two of our three most important players, probably three of our top five or six, go down with season ending injuries in the same season?

That's like you having 4 of a kind and getting beat by a royal flush. Your own example is a case of an outcome contrary to what is mathematically most probable - you even said that.

Luck i.e. exceptional cases is NOT superstition. It is merely random chance going against the most probable outcome.

[Fritz]

I had some problems with load management in the bathroom this morning, but everything came out alright in the end.

So I kinda agree with Bobble. You still have to win enough to get in, and having the #1 seed does seem to help, but all in all, if you lessen the possibility of your superstars getting hurt, you increase your chances if you get to the playoffs. But does that mean you’re resting Jordan Love when Malik Willis is no longer the backup? And if you’re resting one or two of your top linemen, wouldn’t you be advised to rest your star QB too so he doesn’t get killed?