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Bob McGinn: Decision to cut Carroll was definitely premature

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  • Bob McGinn: Decision to cut Carroll was definitely premature

    Decision to cut Carroll was definitely premature

    Posted: Oct. 7, 2006


    Bob McGinn

    Green Bay - From Hudson on the Minnesota border, where a restaurant owner put up a billboard reading "Ahmad Carroll Unemployment Benefit Tonight," to the contemptuous comments on talk radio and in chat rooms, thousands of Packers fans bid a not-so-fond farewell last week to the defrocked cornerback in their own special way.

    The world is well. Carroll is gone. Another unworthy first-round draft choice bites the dust.

    Fun while it lasted, wasn't it? But starting this afternoon, you get to watch somebody named Patrick Dendy and maybe somebody else named Jarrett Bush fill Carroll's old job as the No. 3 cornerback. General manager Ted Thompson will be watching right along with you today and for the final 11 games.

    When you throw someone under the bus, which Thompson did when he cut Carroll on Tuesday, you better have somebody in mind that can do the job as well if not better. Otherwise, you're not acting in the best interests of the organization, as decision-makers in the National Football League like to put it.

    Personally, I'd take my chances with Carroll over what Thompson has scrounged up to take his place.

    I know, I know. Carroll played just about the worst second half a cornerback could play Monday night in Philadelphia. He allowed three plays of 20 yards or more and was penalized twice. The key to the Eagles' comeback came when Andy Reid targeted Carroll.

    Then the ax fell about 12 hours later.

    "Well, we just felt it was time for a change," Thompson said Friday. "I think he busted his tail. I like the kid. I wanted to make a player out of him. I felt like maybe give these other guys a shot and see if they can do it."

    Football is no different than life. Final impressions leave an indelible mark. But to suggest that the second half in Philly was an accurate measure of Carroll is ridiculous.

    Carroll played 35 games in Green Bay, counting playoffs, and started 28. This was the only game in which he allowed three 20-plus plays. In three other games, he gave up two. In the other 31 games, he yielded one or fewer.

    He played better than any of the defensive backs the week before in Detroit. He did some very good things against New Orleans with the glaring exception of biting on a double-move for a touchdown. And one coach for a recent Packers' opponent had him ranked as an above-average core player on special teams.

    Moreover, if you take the time to break it down, he played better in 2005 than he did this season.

    So, no, it wasn't time to give up on a player who just turned 23 in August. A three-year veteran, Carroll still was younger than 43 players on the current roster that constitutes the youngest team in the National Football League.

    No matter what they say, it wasn't hard for Thompson and coach Mike McCarthy to dump Carroll. He wasn't their guy. He had a horrible game. The defense has been awful. The club probably isn't going anywhere.

    Plus, they knew the transaction would be well-received by most fans and reporters. Carroll always had been a lightning rod for criticism, much of which he brought upon himself by his shameless on-field strutting.

    But pandering to the public doesn't carry long-term gains. It was unfair to Carroll to be cast as responsible when he was doing his job better than perhaps half of his teammates.

    Carroll didn't make himself available for interviews last week. He didn't pop off. He never ripped his coaches. He didn't blame teammates.

    After a rocky first year when he had no clue about what it took to be a professional, Carroll started to see the light. He didn't talk quite as much and began practicing harder.

    He stopped attempting those feeble block-down tackles and began to wrap up. He wasn't a good kickoff returner but he ran it up inside harder than many others. He was not afraid.

    His level of enthusiasm was rare. During the dog days of August, he'd be the only player sprinting from drill to drill. Sure, he tended to be a little over the top, but coaches had nothing but good things to say about his work habits in the last 1 1/2 years.

    Unfortunately for Carroll, he never should have been a first-round pick. When Mike Sherman used the 25th choice in 2004 to select Carroll, he was banking that 4.35-second speed in the 40-yard dash, a 41-inch vertical jump and very good upper-body strength could be turned into a far better player than he had for three years at Arkansas.

    "He was horrific in college," one personnel director said at mid-week. "He had so many interference calls. You wanted to say he was overaggressive. Because he came out early, you said in time you'd be able to hone that down a little bit. Refine his technique. He was very, very, very raw."

    Besides standing just 5 feet 9 5/8 inches tall, Carroll also wasn't an instinctive player at Arkansas. But because Carroll had skipped spring football to run track, the Packers were among the teams that hoped his special gifts might blossom given special coaching.

    Much of Carroll's time in his rookie year was spent with assistant secondary coach Lionel Washington, who played cornerback for 15 years in the NFL. His players have praised Washington for his ability to teach technique and to serve as a liaison between them and the head coach, the defensive coordinator and the secondary coach. And Carroll learned a lot from Washington.

    Still, it isn't Washington's nature to get up in a player's face and demand that it be done right. Dick Jauron did that, at least behind closed doors. Ray Rhodes did that. Bob Valesente did that. Fritz Shurmur did that. Tough coaching never is out of style, perhaps surprisingly in the NFL.

    Sherman's choice of Kurt Schottenheimer to serve as secondary coach during Carroll's rookie year was a mistake. A staunch advocate for choosing Carroll, Schottenheimer didn't have the level of expertise or the force of personality to blend well with Washington.

    Carroll improved under hard-charging defensive coordinator Jim Bates, secondary coach Joe Baker and Washington last season. When McCarthy replaced Sherman, and subsequently selected the mild-mannered Bob Sanders as coordinator, his first thought for the secondary job should have been landing a hard-nosed taskmaster to make sure Carroll's improvement continued.

    In an inexplicable decision, McCarthy decided to bring back Schottenheimer and Washington, the precise pairing that had done the coaching when Carroll flopped so badly as a rookie.

    It was a classic illustration of a player being set up for failure.

    If Carroll finds better coaching with his next team, could he become a solid starter?

    No. He will never play to the ceiling as indicated by his speed and athleticism because his instincts are almost nil. He can't track the deep ball. He has inherent problems against big wide receivers. He's highly susceptible to double-moves. He can't keep his hands off receivers. He struggles to flip his hips and adjust to routes. He comes across as cocky but his play suggests lack of confidence. He neither trusts his speed nor plays to it.

    But as Carroll ages, he likely will come to grips with his shortcomings and find ways to survive. He has a good enough floor. He isn't a bust.

    Carroll and Terrell Buckley are much alike in that both thought they were better than they were.

    Buckley wasn't nearly as tough as Carroll but did have far better ball skills, which enabled him to intercept 40 passes for five different teams from 1995-2005 after being dumped by the Packers after three seasons. But Buckley didn't have great instincts, either. He was just a guesser.

    Carroll really does want to succeed, and my guess is he will play for many more years. Maybe, like Buckley, he'll never be more than a part-time starter and nickel back. But he can be competent in that role, just as the numbers suggest he was in Green Bay.

    In 2 1/4 seasons, Carroll allowed 20 1/2 plays of 20-plus yards, 11 1/2 touchdown passes, had 20 defensive penalties against him accepted and missed 17 tackles. In that same period, Al Harris allowed 26 plays of 20-plus yards, 10 1/2 TD passes, had 19 accepted defensive penalties and missed 18 tackles. Harris made six turnover-producing plays compared to Carroll's five.

    From 2004-'05, Harris played more snaps (1,998) than Carroll (1,701); snap totals weren't available for '06. But their playing time is close enough that it's mildly meaningful to see Harris with a higher total (73 1/2) in the above four negative categories than Carroll (69).

    In Carroll's one full season as a starter, he allowed three TD passes. In their full seasons as starters, Craig Newsome averaged 6.2, Harris has averaged 4.5, Mike McKenzie averaged 3.6 and Tyrone Williams averaged 3.1.

    Also in 2005, Carroll allowed nine 20-plus plays. In their full seasons as starters, Harris has averaged 12, Newsome averaged 10, Williams averaged 8.8 and McKenzie averaged 6.2.

    This isn't to suggest that Carroll is anywhere near as good as Harris or those other cornerbacks of recent Packers' vintage. But it is to suggest that the last place he should be is on the street.

    Carroll failed in Green Bay, just as the Packers failed him. His best, modest though it might be, is yet to come. It just should have taken place for the Packers.

  • #2
    Thanks for posting. McGinn is probably correct in his analysis. Except Green Bay probably isn't the best place for Carroll because of the fans' hard feelings.

    Comment


    • #3
      Thanks, threat.

      I was breaking my fingers trying to sneak that thing off of PI, using HH's trick that don't work no mo!

      I agree with this article basically 100%

      Yeah, the guy had a nightmare game. You can't have a worse game than the debacle in Philly.

      But we need nickle and dime guys. Dendy and Bush probably will never play in the league aft this year. We should'v beaten on Carroll with a crow bar until we pounded cover into his thick head.

      Now with any injuries, we'll be back on the scrap heap looking for another nickle back. This thing is starting to look like a turnstyle.

      Comment


      • #4
        Personally, I don't agree with the article.
        "There's a lot of interest in the draft. It's great. But quite frankly, most of the people that are commenting on it don't know anything about what they are talking about."--Ted Thompson

        Comment


        • #5
          My comments on the article: McGinn's logic is very inconsistent and I disagree with his conclusion wholeheartedly.

          He admits that Carroll has been bad and does not possess the ability to be more than passable in the future, and then concludes we should have kept him. WTF? Sounds like the Michael Hawthorne mentality to me.

          McGinn seems to dog on the replacement guys, but could they possibly play any worse? Not much ... and perhaps they do have the higher ceilings that Carroll lacks. We'll never know so long as they remain buried on the bench behind a severe underacheiver. We need to develop some guys who have higher ceilings than 3rd-down back and better-than-average special teamer, because Harris seems to be slipping.

          Comment


          • #6
            How many first round draft choices have long, productive careers as backups or spot players on the team that drafted them in the first round? None that I can think of. They do not meet the expectations of the organization that drafted them in the first round, so they leave, go to where less is expected of them, where their play justifies their pay, which is usually much lower.

            McGinn gives a whole laundry list of reasons why Carroll will never play up to what was expected of him when he was drafted, why he is nothing more than a spot player, but then concludes it was premature to cut him. I don't follow the logic.

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            • #7
              Thanks for posting; obviously, I agree.

              Comment


              • #8
                Originally posted by the_idle_threat
                McGinn seems to dog on the replacement guys, but could they possibly play any worse?
                Ummm, yes. Not worse than Carroll's nightmare game, perhaps, but Carroll looked better than those guys in practice, and he's played well much of the time as a starter.

                I'm on both sides of this argument. I agree with everything McGinn said - except my gut tells me it was time for the divorce.

                Comment


                • #9
                  Carrol is BAD REAL BAD. Who cares he sucked we are rebuilding cut him and then kick him in the head!
                  Swede: My expertise in this area is extensive. The essential difference between a "battleship" and an "aircraft carrier" is that an aircraft carrier requires five direct hits to sink, but it takes only four direct hits to sink a battleship.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    THE PENALTY ASPECT IS FLAWED. Al Harris usually gets called for defensive holding which is a first down but only 5 yards, Carroll got called for pass interference mostly which can be a whole lot more damaging if it is a 69 yard penalty. It probably was a mistake to let him go in a league so poor in corners but it can't get much worse so how bad can it really get?

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Most of the NFL is made up of somewhat interchangeable parts that have different strengths and weaknesses, but mostly can be exchanged one for the other. The key is to find the right mix among the strengths and weaknesses of those otherwise interchangeable parts.

                      Who ever replaces Carroll may not be as good in run support as he was, but may be better all-around in pass coverage performance. That may be more what the Packers need at this time.

                      Unless the primary backup is a young guy destined to become a starter in the furture, I can't get too excited over dumping one and replacing him with another. Carroll falls into the "I really don't care category".

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Originally posted by Harlan Huckleby
                        Carroll looked better than those guys in practice, and he's played well much of the time as a starter.
                        I can't agree with you on either of these points, Harlan.

                        I haven't seen any of these guys in practice, and I'd bet every dollar in Patler's wallet that you haven't either. But M3 and TT have. They saw how Carroll and his potential replacements practiced, and their decision to release Carroll indicates that they believe the replacements have looked good enough in practice, as compared to Carroll, to make Carroll expendable.

                        Carroll started last year. But I wouldn't say he played well ... he just didn't play as poorly as he had before. His reputation benefitted from deservedly-low expectations. Carroll still gave up big completions or pass-interference penalties, but not at the alarming rate of his rookie season. But keep in mind, opposing teams started guys at QB like Kyle Orton (twice), Joey Harrington (twice), Aaron Brooks, Charlie Batch, Mike McMahon, and Kyle Boller (who torched Carroll anyway). That group could make me look like a passable cornerback.

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          I usually agree with McGinn, but not on this one...

                          Carroll had proven that he had no instincts or ball skills, and was simply going to continue to be targetted by opposing OC's. It was time for him to go... Another busted 1st round pick.

                          And you guys wonder why I'm hypercritical of the Packers scouting dept???
                          wist

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                          • #14
                            Originally posted by the_idle_threat
                            I haven't seen any of these guys in practice, and I'd bet every dollar in Patler's wallet that you haven't either.
                            You're being awful free with MY money. Are you by chance one of my kids???

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Originally posted by Patler
                              Originally posted by the_idle_threat
                              I haven't seen any of these guys in practice, and I'd bet every dollar in Patler's wallet that you haven't either.
                              You're being awful free with MY money. Are you by chance one of my kids???


                              Bear with me ... If I win the bet, there's a cut in it for you.

                              Comment

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