How Many Wins To Earn Bye Week?

[Scott Campbell]

If they go 4-3 down the stretch, I think they have a pretty good chance to earn the bye with a record of 12-4. The Giants and Lions are both 6-3, and would have to finish 6-1 down the stretch just to catch them and get into a tie-breaker.

[HarveyWallbangers]

Re: How Many Wins To Earn Bye Week?

If they go 4-3 down the stretch, I think they have a pretty good chance to earn the bye with a record of 12-4. The Giants and Lions are both 6-3, and would have to finish 6-1 down the stretch just to catch them and get into a tie-breaker.

Actually, we won't even have to worry about the Giants. They'd be a wild card behind Dallas. Basically, all we have to do is win the division--since the NFC West and NFC South winners will likely have horrible records. It's possible we could go 3-4 and still earn a bye--with Detroit's tough schedule looming. I guess it depends on if we can at least get a split with Detroit.

[Scott Campbell]

I did not know that. The teams earning byes have to be a division winner?

We'd win the tie-breaker with the Giants anyway. So they'd have to go 7-0 to end up with a better record than us if we finished 4-3.

[HarveyWallbangers]

I did not know that. The teams earning byes have to be a division winner?

Yes. The two division winners with the best records get a bye. The third plays the worst of the two wild-card teams at home. The fourth plays the best wild-card team at home. If you want to get to the Super Bowl as a wild card, you'll likely have to win three road games to do it.

[Scott Campbell]

So we go 4-3, split with Detroit, win a home game after a bye, win a roadie against Dallas, and presto - were in the Superbowl.


I can't even believe this.

[MJZiggy]

Ah, but if we keep winning and beat Dallas on the 29th (not to add any more pressure to that game) we don't go to Dallas, they come to us.

[Freak Out]

I'll have to go back and look at the record I predicted...I think it was 11-5. I never even thought about a week off heading into the playoffs! In some ways it is hard to believe.

[BallHawk]

Ah, but if we keep winning and beat Dallas on the 29th (not to add any more pressure to that game) we don't go to Dallas, they come to us.

That would be huge. Playing at home against Dallas would boost our chances of winning by a good 15%, IMO.

[Merlin]

Ah, but if we keep winning and beat Dallas on the 29th (not to add any more pressure to that game) we don't go to Dallas, they come to us.

I like this scenario better. In fact, we have a good chance to run the tables. Detroit is one of the worst teams at converting on 3rd downs in the NFL and the Packers defense is the best at stopping teams on 3rd down (or at least it was prior to the Vikings game). Funny thing is that the Patriots aren't even in the top of the league in converting 3rd downs. Although I guess you would have o get to 3rd down to actually have to convert one!

[3irty1]

Nobody beats the Packers at Lambeau during the playoffs.

[OS PA]

Nobody beats the Packers at Lambeau during the playoffs.

Ask our favorite dog keeper about that one.

[Partial]

Nobody beats the Packers at Lambeau during the playoffs.

Ask our favorite dog keeper about that one.

Beat me to it.

[KYPack]

So we go 4-3, split with Detroit, win a home game after a bye, win a roadie against Dallas, and presto - were in the Superbowl.


I can't even believe this.

Goddamn, Scotty, I think you've got it.

I'm glad somebody started this thread. I was starting to look at the playoff/bye scenarios, but I'm too superstitiious to do it!

[Tarlam!]

I'm glad somebody started this thread. I was starting to look at the playoff/bye scenarios, but I'm too superstitiious to do it!

Funny, I started one just 2 days ago...

http://www.packerrats.com/ratchat/viewtopic.php?t=9470

[The Leaper]

The NFC should come down to GB/DAL. No one else is even in the discussion. Detroit is a nice story, but they don't have nearly enough on defense and aren't consistent enough on offense. The Giants defense is very shaky in the secondary...and both Dallas and Green Bay can exploit that (and have) at will. Washington? Philly? Tampa? Nah.

We have a great shot at one of the playoff byes...and a tremendous shot at making the NFC title game. However, we need to take care of games we should win the rest of the way.