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  • #46
    If the number of people voting in the primaries is a precursor of what will happen in the general election, then the Democrats will win in a landslide. They've had more people showing up everywhere. In some states it's been as much as 3-1. I still think it will be a very close election though.
    I can't run no more
    With that lawless crowd
    While the killers in high places
    Say their prayers out loud
    But they've summoned, they've summoned up
    A thundercloud
    They're going to hear from me - Leonard Cohen

    Comment


    • #47
      Originally posted by Harlan Huckleby
      BUT IF THE SUPER DELEGATES CAN ONLY LEGITIMATELY FOLLOW THE WISHES OF THE ELECTED DELEGATES, THAN WHY WERE THEY CREATED!!?
      They were created to actually keep unity within the party. The idea was that if a candidate had the highest amount of pledged delegates among all of the other candidates but not enough pledged delegates to obtain the nomination (in this case 2,025) Super Delegates were supposed to wait until after all the votes were cast and then throw their support behind the leading candidate, thus avoiding a brokered convention.

      It makes sense on the surface, I guess, but somewhere along the line it went horribly wrong.
      "I've got one word for you- Dallas, Texas, Super Bowl"- Jermichael Finley

      Comment


      • #48
        Originally posted by Harlan Huckleby
        Originally posted by Joemailman
        Bush won Florida pretty handedly in 2004. I think that stays Republican anyway. The danger zone for the Republicans are states like Iowa and Ohio
        Florida looks in play this year. The Democrats had more people turn out for their primary, and that was for an election that didn't count! The Republican primary was hotly contested.
        The lady folk says she has met very few if any democrats down there. She is pretty convinced the republicans have it on lock down.

        Comment


        • #49
          Originally posted by Partial
          Originally posted by Harlan Huckleby
          Originally posted by Joemailman
          Bush won Florida pretty handedly in 2004. I think that stays Republican anyway. The danger zone for the Republicans are states like Iowa and Ohio
          Florida looks in play this year. The Democrats had more people turn out for their primary, and that was for an election that didn't count! The Republican primary was hotly contested.
          The lady folk says she has met very few if any democrats down there. She is pretty convinced the republicans have it on lock down.
          Well, if that isn't a convincing statistic than I don't know what is.
          "I've got one word for you- Dallas, Texas, Super Bowl"- Jermichael Finley

          Comment


          • #50
            You can say its not but I would bet you 1,000 USD that the republican candidate takes the state. Pony up.

            Comment


            • #51
              Originally posted by Partial
              You can say its not but I would bet you 1,000 USD that the republican candidate takes the state.
              You also said that Obama had no chance of being elected because he was black.

              So you've already been wrong on one and if Obama gets the nomination you very well could be wrong again.
              "I've got one word for you- Dallas, Texas, Super Bowl"- Jermichael Finley

              Comment


              • #52
                Obama hasn't been elected yet. And I still don't think he has a chance in hell. Don't go countin' your chickens just yet. Hillary is still winning after all.

                Comment


                • #53
                  Originally posted by Partial
                  Obama hasn't been elected yet. And I still don't think he has a chance in hell. Don't go countin' your chickens just yet. Hillary is still winning after all.
                  He's neck-and-neck with Hillary. If that doesn't qualify as a chance then what does? You didn't say he wouldn't get elected, you said he didn't stand a chance at being elected. He's proven he's got a chance.

                  He will win the Potomac Primaries on Tuesday and that will bring him, super delegates and all, right there with Hillary. Then he will win Wisconsin and the other states and he will take the lead. Then it will all come down to states like OH, PA, and TX.
                  "I've got one word for you- Dallas, Texas, Super Bowl"- Jermichael Finley

                  Comment


                  • #54
                    I am voting for Huckabee. I have liked him more than any of the other candidates. That being said, there don't appear to be any JFK's or Reagan's in this bunch.

                    I know Huck's chances are virtually nonexistent for the nomination, but I am casting my choice as if the score was 0-0.

                    If Obama sweeps the Potomac primaries (Md, VA and DC) plus gets OH or TX, he's going to win the nomination.

                    WI's Republican contest is winner take all for delegates. Democratic delegates are rationed out on a percentage basis of the vote.

                    I do not want Hillary in the White House. This country has to get beyond the Bush-Clinton dynastical period we've been in.

                    If Obama wins in Nov., I may not be thrilled with it, but I could rally behind him more than I could another Pres. Clinton.
                    -digital dean

                    No "TROLLS" allowed!

                    Comment


                    • #55
                      Originally posted by BallHawk
                      Originally posted by Partial
                      Obama hasn't been elected yet. And I still don't think he has a chance in hell. Don't go countin' your chickens just yet. Hillary is still winning after all.
                      He's neck-and-neck with Hillary. If that doesn't qualify as a chance then what does? You didn't say he wouldn't get elected, you said he didn't stand a chance at being elected. He's proven he's got a chance.

                      He will win the Potomac Primaries on Tuesday and that will bring him, super delegates and all, right there with Hillary. Then he will win Wisconsin and the other states and he will take the lead. Then it will all come down to states like OH, PA, and TX.
                      The election is 9 months away. You have no idea if he has any chance to win anything yet. Not only is he in 2nd place for the nomination now, but there is ZERO evidence that even the front runner will beat the republicans. McCain is a powerhouse of a candidate because he'll still get the republican votes yet steal some of the democrats.

                      Comment


                      • #56
                        Originally posted by Partial
                        McCain is a powerhouse of a candidate because he'll still get the republican votes yet steal some of the democrats.
                        Really, Partial?

                        Well, he's going to have to steal a helluva lot of Democrats to make up for the number of conservatives that are going to be sitting at home on election day.
                        "I've got one word for you- Dallas, Texas, Super Bowl"- Jermichael Finley

                        Comment


                        • #57
                          Originally posted by Partial
                          Obama hasn't been elected yet. And I still don't think he has a chance in hell. Don't go countin' your chickens just yet. Hillary is still winning after all.
                          Obama leads in delegates from primaries and caucuses 981-910. Any lead Hillary has, and it is very small, is due to verbal commitments from super delegates. If Obama continues to win most of the primaries and caucuses, they will be under a lot of pressure to support the choice of the voters.
                          I can't run no more
                          With that lawless crowd
                          While the killers in high places
                          Say their prayers out loud
                          But they've summoned, they've summoned up
                          A thundercloud
                          They're going to hear from me - Leonard Cohen

                          Comment


                          • #58
                            Originally posted by Joemailman
                            Originally posted by Partial
                            Obama hasn't been elected yet. And I still don't think he has a chance in hell. Don't go countin' your chickens just yet. Hillary is still winning after all.
                            Obama leads in delegates from primaries and caucuses 981-910. Any lead Hillary has, and it is very small, is due to verbal commitments from super delegates. If Obama continues to win most of the primaries and caucuses, they will be under a lot of pressure to support the choice of the voters.
                            If the candidate that won the pledged delegates did not win the nomination the party would fall and the Republicans would take the WH in '08. If you snub Obama you turn away Blacks, blue-collar males, and the young vote. If you snub Hillary you turn away the older vote and the female vote.

                            The Dems cannot win in '08 with any one of these core demographics sitting out. While I think Howard Dean is foolish for thinking Obama and Hillary will come to an "agreement" to have the election come down to the "smoke-filled rooms" as they were called, would be pure chaos.
                            "I've got one word for you- Dallas, Texas, Super Bowl"- Jermichael Finley

                            Comment


                            • #59
                              Most of the super delegates have not committed to either candidate. What Dean needs to do is get these uncommitted delegates not to commit to anyone now. Then once the primaries are over, these delegates should back the candidate that won the most delegates in the primaries and caucuses.

                              Something tells me they will be changing this system once the election is over.
                              I can't run no more
                              With that lawless crowd
                              While the killers in high places
                              Say their prayers out loud
                              But they've summoned, they've summoned up
                              A thundercloud
                              They're going to hear from me - Leonard Cohen

                              Comment


                              • #60
                                Originally posted by Joemailman
                                What Dean needs to do is get these uncommitted delegates not to commit to anyone now. Then once the primaries are over, these delegates should back the candidate that won the most delegates in the primaries and caucuses.
                                Huh? Why? The Super Delegates were created to act independently, not to rubber stamp the pledge delegates. They can decide whenever they want and for whoever they want. The idea is that they are extra wise people and can look out better for the party, act as a counterweight to popular passions.

                                If you are worried about democracy, throw out the caucus results and hold primaries to find out what the voters think.

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