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GB Packers - Beating the odds

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  • GB Packers - Beating the odds

    Saw this on a Packers show:

    The Packers' 6 game losing streak is their longest in 35 years.
    In 4 of the games, they had leads of two or more scores in the second halves.
    With the size of leads and game times, their odds of winning were:
    99% vs Cleveland
    99% vs Chicago in the regular season game
    96% vs Chicago in the playoff game
    90% vs Minnesota this past Sunday.
    The chance of losing all four games? One in 2.5 million. It is more likely to flip a coin to heads 21 consecutive times than that the Packers would lose all four of those games.



  • #2
    We've lived this. It's unbelievable.

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    • #3
      Originally posted by beveaux1 View Post
      We've lived this. It's unbelievable.
      The 2014 NFC Championship Game on January 18, 2015, ended in a devastating 28–22 overtime loss for the Green Bay Packers against the Seattle Seahawks, featuring one of the largest late-game collapses in NFL playoff history.​

      It is not like this is just a LeFleur thing.

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      • #4
        Originally posted by Sparkey View Post

        The 2014 NFC Championship Game on January 18, 2015, ended in a devastating 28–22 overtime loss for the Green Bay Packers against the Seattle Seahawks, featuring one of the largest late-game collapses in NFL playoff history.​

        It is not like this is just a LeFleur thing.
        We've collapsed at the end of games before...many times, usually in the playoffs. This has been the worst stretch of collapse that I've seen since the beginning of the Favre era.

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        • #5
          Individual big collapses aren't necessarily rare. But four in six games ......

          The most concerning aspect to me is that LaFleur clearly identified finishing games as the biggest issue to correct from last season, yet nothing changed. This raises the question of LaFleur's ability to diagnose, adapt and change.

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          • #6
            Very damning testimony if your name is Pepe LePew. How could he blow so many games? I have began to believe that his attitude is “little bitch” and that’s what happens when the team collapses. They shrink to the moment instead of rising and that’s 100% on the HC. All he’s doing right now is solidifying rodgers 1st ballot HOF status.

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            • #7
              Originally posted by Patler View Post
              Individual big collapses aren't necessarily rare. But four in six games ......

              The most concerning aspect to me is that LaFleur clearly identified finishing games as the biggest issue to correct from last season, yet nothing changed. This raises the question of LaFleur's ability to diagnose, adapt and change.
              In general, the saying goes ... " If you can't identify the problem, then the problem is most likely you."

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              • #8
                Originally posted by Patler View Post

                The chance of losing all four games? One in 2.5 million.

                This is evidence that Win Probability starts to break down at the end of games. No way this is a 1 in 2.5 million event.

                It's not good, but the numbers become meaningless.
                Bud Adams told me the franchise he admired the most was the Kansas City Chiefs. Then he asked for more hookers and blow.

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                • #9
                  I was willing to give MLF the benefit of the doubt at the end of last season with the injuries and the vocal support from Parsons and Love.

                  The continuation of the choke jobs into a new season after all the talk of getting back to what they are good at it has eroded good will.

                  MLF is the problem. The choke jobs are his problem, his responsibility. He, and maybe the entire team, need a sports psychologist.

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