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Is Ryan Grant Really the Answer at Running Back?

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  • Is Ryan Grant Really the Answer at Running Back?

    Is Ryan Grant really the answer at RB?

    Yeah, Snake, and most liked his big runs in 2007. He got paid after holding out in 2008 preseason....and looks like he has SOME burst early on in 2009. But, there's a reason he didn't get drafted out of Notre Dame. Dude doesn't affect an NFL game....His "burst" is so-so healthy.

    I feel he only got those 2007 yards based on the prolific, explosive Packer pass-attack under Brett in those last 8 games in 2007.

    Dude (Grant) has not shown the ability to EVER elude a tackle. He's a tough dude, but his speed is pedestrian for a 1st string starter at RB in the NFL. I never cared much for his running style (smash mouth, but he rarely runs anyone over).

    Here's a brand new article on Grant and the O-line:

    The Green Bay Packers running game has taken a lot of hits lately, both on and off the field. Sportswriters, bloggers and fans have all been lamenting the paltry number of rushing yards being gained...


    The Green Bay Packers running game has taken a lot of hits lately, both on and off the field. Sportswriters, bloggers and fans have all been lamenting the paltry number of rushing yards being gained. I dare to dissent and say it's been "good enough."

    Everyone has been criticizing the Packers play calling for running 17 times on first down in the win against the St. Louis Rams. I dare to say that the Packers did a good job with the playcalling and were actually very aggressive on first downs. Huh? Don't worry, more on that later.

    How can I come to these conclusions, you ask? Well first, you have to spend a few hours with the game tape. Last night I played back the Packers game, with heavy use of the rewind and slo-mo buttons. Because it seems to be the favorite post game topic of the Rams game, I specifically focused on the Packers running plays.

    Albeit a bit bleary-eyed, I can distill the Packer's running game's struggles down to two major factors: Offensive linemen that aren't holding their blocks long enough and a running back that just takes too long to get to the line of scrimmage.

    Now, there are certainly plenty of other contributing factors. Grant's lack of lateral movement, how easily he goes down when tackled very low and the lack of creativity in the running plays (seriously, 80 percent of the running plays look like the same play). But I just felt it was important to identify the top two.

    Analyze the running plays closely, and you will see how many times Grant is tackled from behind or the side (often around the ankles) because an offensive lineman could not keep the backside sealed off or hold their block. Using freeze-frame, you can see that many times there are holes early on, but the Packers running plays are not designed as quick hits (with the exception of the fullback dive).

    By the time Grant gets there, the hole is often gone. He then lacks the lateral movement and quickness to make a last minute change of direction. In my opinion, the Packers had two backs better suited to running in this scheme. But Tyrell Sutton is in Carolina and Kregg Lumpkin is languishing on the practice squad.

    Having said all of that, after watching for hours, I'm actually not as upset with the running game as most people seem to be. If the Packers can average 3.8 YPC on 25 attempts per game, that's just about good enough. The Packers will never have the game breaking threat from the current running game, but it's OK. That's what Rodgers and the wide receivers are for.

    As we all know, running the ball is necessary to keep the safeties honest and setup the deep play-action passes down the field. Although the running game didn't exactly burn it up, the plan still worked for the Packers. Every big pass play in the game was off of play action. The Rams linebackers and safeties bought the run fakes because the Packers had shown the run so much. Here are some examples:

    2nd and six, Driver, 46 yard pass reception—I formation, play fake right, single coverage on Driver.
    3rd and seven, Jennings, 50 yard pass reception—Shotgun with single back. Fake draw play, single coverage on Jennings.
    1st and 10, Driver, 21 yard TD reception—I formation, play fake right, rollout left, single coverage on Driver.
    1st and 10, Jennings, 53 yard pass reception—I formation, play fake right, single coverage on Jennings.
    There were at least three other long passes attempted, two on first down. Jordy Nelson dropped one right in his hands and two were overthrown.

    17 RUNS ON FIRST DOWN!!!
    Now, for all of you screaming about the Packers running 17 times on first down versus 11 passes, look a little closer. Seven of those runs came in the fourth quarter, when they were protecting a lead—that's what your SUPPOSED to do! So through three quarters, the Packers were actually 10/11, run/pass on first down. And one of those runs was a reverse, which warms the cockles of my heart. In light of those facts, there is NOTHING wrong with a 17/11 pass/run ratio on first down, especially if four of those passes were long shots down the field and a fifth was a TD.

    I have often accused Mike McCarthy of being too conservative, but this was not one of those times. And for the first time this season, the Packers won the time of possession battle over their opponent. Yes it was only the Rams, and yes they could stand to gain more yards on their first down runs, but it's a good start towards developing a serviceable running game.

    My main criticism after watching this game is one that I have had before: the lack of originality in the running play design. The Packers' second play from scrimmage was a creatively designed play. Rodgers in the shotgun, Grant to his right. Nelson slot left, Lee tight end on the right side. Nelson goes in motion to the right. Ball is snapped, Lee blocks down on the DE, Barbre pulls around him to the outside, pitch out to Grant with Barbre and Nelson lead blocking. It worked beautifully and picked up 10 yards. They never ran it again. Every other running play to Grant was a straight hand off. But I digress—play design is a pet peeve of mine and a whole separate article.

    The litmus test for McCarthy will come in situations like the Packers trailing by 10 points in the third quarter. Will he revert to his old ways and throw the running game out the window, or will he stay committed?

    With the Favre-led 3-0 Minnesota Vikings next on the schedule, that test could very well come this week. The Packers' offensive line will have their hands full with the Vikings front four. That matchup will probably be the deciding factor in this game. Sorry Brett, but it's not ALL about you.

    ----------------

    You decide as Rats. I'd love for the Pack to get an OT next year in the first, but if we get a stud RB. Sobeit. Grant is pedestrian at best. Not a starter on a winning team.

    BTW. I was gonna vote Grant is deece, but we gotta look at an upgrade in the draft/FA in 2010 (BTW this doesn't take into account our OL in this topic, just his running skills). We need to upgrade here at RB, but on OL as, well. But a stud like AP would still get 1800 yards with our OL. Snake could do what Grant does if I was 2 years younger and a bunch faster...just saying....

    Grant is not the answer short or long-term at RB.
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    Grant is only getting better. He'll be ALL-PRO soon. AP who?
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    Grant is Pro Bowl material. Just you wait (he's 27)...but so what. He's a beast at RB.
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    Grant's 1200 yards last year were awesome. Never won us a game, nor a short line-option. But almost Pro-Bowl.
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    Grant is a pretty good ass starting NFL RB. Why worry? He's the man.
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    Grant is a deece RB, but we as Packers, should upgrade it if we can.
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    Grant is a below average RB starting in the NFL. He won't get better. Yay, 2010 NFL Draft/FA.
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    Grant sucks. The only reason he starts is cuz everyone else sucks (Wynn) or is injured (Brandon Jackson).
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    Snake's Twitter comments would be LEGENDARY.........if I was ugly or gave a shit about Twitter.

  • #2
    I voted the top....but TEX was channeling.....

    Comment


    • #3
      Originally posted by Rastak
      I voted the top....but TEX was channeling.....
      LOL and WTF? AP who? Ras...you are the man, you are the man....... but way to rip it up on a poll, yo? Grant is Adrian Peterson? Wow. Just wow.

      I love you, Patler, but I expected you (Patler) to be the first to vote at the top. Grant sucks. Damn. Homers.....
      Snake's Twitter comments would be LEGENDARY.........if I was ugly or gave a shit about Twitter.

      Comment


      • #4
        Good topic Snakey. I think Grant is not the guy and the lack of depth at RB could bite the Pack in the ass. He seem to take punishment much more then he dishes out. He is good for breaking off long runs when there is a big hole but come 3rd and 1 I have my doubts. Need to take a hard look at upgrading next year.

        Comment


        • #5
          Originally posted by MadtownPacker
          Good topic Snakey. I think Grant is not the guy and the lack of depth at RB could bite the Pack in the ass. He seem to take punishment much more then he dishes out. He is good for breaking off long runs when there is a big hole but come 3rd and 1 I have my doubts. Need to take a hard look at upgrading next year.


          Wow, thanks Mad. Not to get into a long ass post, but thanks. I really do (and really mean it) think that there are very few of us Rats that can lay it out how it is (opinions) and not give a shit how it goes. Peace bud, I do like you Mad (always did...didn't mean we didn't always see eye to eye, but overall, yes, you are much like Snake and vice-versa).

          Anyway, as far as Grant, the depth at RB is a farce (we NEVER should have kept Wynn....dude is a worthless turd). Grant is a dime-a-dozen type that capitalized with a deal (Favre letting him go wild late in 2007). Grant likes to (says the media) run with a mission/aka try to make contact....but that dude NEVER does shit with it. He can't/won't shed tackles, yet his running style is such that attracts tacklers.

          Grant does not/will not have enough speed to separate nor have enough power to do ANYTHING when he makes first contact.

          Grant (despite carries/yards) is one of the WORST NFL starting RB's in the NFL. Snake don't shy down from saying how it is. That is it.....Replace him soon, and move on.
          Snake's Twitter comments would be LEGENDARY.........if I was ugly or gave a shit about Twitter.

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          • #6
            Cant disagree with anything you said there. His upright running style is gonna get his ass took out one of these days.

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            • #7
              He runs well with no holes opening up for him...
              Swede: My expertise in this area is extensive. The essential difference between a "battleship" and an "aircraft carrier" is that an aircraft carrier requires five direct hits to sink, but it takes only four direct hits to sink a battleship.

              Comment


              • #8
                Originally posted by MadtownPacker
                Cant disagree with anything you said there. His upright running style is gonna get his ass took out one of these days.
                He ain't no AP or Eric Dickerson. He runs upright and doesn't do shit (Grant) at the POA (point of attack) to shed/run over like an AP. His running style will run him out the league in 2 years. I agree. It's not like Grant just destroys ANYONE (even a DB) when he makes contact. Don't wanna call Grant a pussy, cuz he seems tough enough (going full-on into a tackle) but the prob. is he doesn't do shit with it. NEVER shakes a guy/runs OVER....so what is the point with Grant's running style? He is not fast enough/quick enough/strong enough? His running style regardless of the OL is garbage. Grant is DAMN lucky to be getting some millions....his running style is moot.

                Grant WILL NOT be resigned....and prob. out the league in a few years. We really need to UPGRADE the RB position. All of our RB's are turds.
                Snake's Twitter comments would be LEGENDARY.........if I was ugly or gave a shit about Twitter.

                Comment


                • #9
                  Let me put it this way. If another Adrian Peterson or Eric Dickerson became available to be had, of course I'd look to make a change. But I dont' think Grant is that horrible that I'd throw darts to see who's gonna take his place next year. Grant isn't elite, but unless an elite back could be had then I don't think making a switch is necessarily a good thing. Swapping average for average accomplishes nothing.
                  Chuck Norris doesn't cut his grass, he just stares at it and dares it to grow

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Originally posted by Gunakor
                    Let me put it this way. If another Adrian Peterson or Eric Dickerson became available to be had, of course I'd look to make a change. But I dont' think Grant is that horrible that I'd throw darts to see who's gonna take his place next year. Grant isn't elite, but unless an elite back could be had then I don't think making a switch is necessarily a good thing. Swapping average for average accomplishes nothing.
                    I hear ya, Gun, as Snake loves your opinion (and one of the rare late night guys like Snake, Lurker, etc.) But Grant is a dime a dozen. I'd take one of those average ass RB's as a rookie in 2010 (comparable to Grant now in his prime at 27). Those guys have upside. Grant has none.
                    Snake's Twitter comments would be LEGENDARY.........if I was ugly or gave a shit about Twitter.

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Originally posted by Gunakor
                      Let me put it this way. If another Adrian Peterson or Eric Dickerson became available to be had, of course I'd look to make a change. But I dont' think Grant is that horrible that I'd throw darts to see who's gonna take his place next year. Grant isn't elite, but unless an elite back could be had then I don't think making a switch is necessarily a good thing. Swapping average for average accomplishes nothing.
                      Wow, I came in to post the exact same sentiment. I would only be looking for a guy that's elite, or has the potential to be as such. I'm not that interested in any running back that wouldn't be deemed a 1st, maybe 2nd rounder. I'm hoping that TT's board and our first pick in next year's draft align to get us a good'n.

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Originally posted by PlantPage55
                        Originally posted by Gunakor
                        Let me put it this way. If another Adrian Peterson or Eric Dickerson became available to be had, of course I'd look to make a change. But I dont' think Grant is that horrible that I'd throw darts to see who's gonna take his place next year. Grant isn't elite, but unless an elite back could be had then I don't think making a switch is necessarily a good thing. Swapping average for average accomplishes nothing.
                        Wow, I came in to post the exact same sentiment. I would only be looking for a guy that's elite, or has the potential to be as such. I'm not that interested in any running back that wouldn't be deemed a 1st, maybe 2nd rounder. I'm hoping that TT's board and our first pick in next year's draft align to get us a good'n.
                        Plant, I'm not sure what you are saying? Yeah, we want an elite at RB? NO? That's not the question....is Grant the answer.....NOPE...now that is the question? I'd take any 2010 1st rounder over that undrafted turd Grant. No shit we want an RB upgrade., no? Swapping average for average is absurd when you think that a 21/22 year old 1st rounder RB can prob. do things that a 28 year old average starting RB Grant CAN do. Absurd. Grant is/was garbage.

                        Who said the RB must be elite? Just better than Grant, no?

                        Plant? What are you saying?
                        Snake's Twitter comments would be LEGENDARY.........if I was ugly or gave a shit about Twitter.

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Excellent thread!

                          I voted for drafting a 1st round RB in 2010; you actually need 2 good backs and that guy might be better than Grant. I think Grant is OK and nice to have...but let's get a Felix Jones type of back without the injuries though.

                          Lots of NFL teams that emphasis the run draft high for RBs even with one guy already in the stable...now about that OL too....
                          PackerRats Thompson D. Yahoo Fantasy Football Champ 2019,
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                          • #14
                            Originally posted by SnakeLH2006
                            Originally posted by PlantPage55
                            Originally posted by Gunakor
                            Let me put it this way. If another Adrian Peterson or Eric Dickerson became available to be had, of course I'd look to make a change. But I dont' think Grant is that horrible that I'd throw darts to see who's gonna take his place next year. Grant isn't elite, but unless an elite back could be had then I don't think making a switch is necessarily a good thing. Swapping average for average accomplishes nothing.
                            Wow, I came in to post the exact same sentiment. I would only be looking for a guy that's elite, or has the potential to be as such. I'm not that interested in any running back that wouldn't be deemed a 1st, maybe 2nd rounder. I'm hoping that TT's board and our first pick in next year's draft align to get us a good'n.
                            Plant, I'm not sure what you are saying? Yeah, we want an elite at RB? NO? That's not the question....is Grant the answer.....NOPE...now that is the question? I'd take any 2010 1st rounder over that undrafted turd Grant. No shit we want an RB upgrade., no? Swapping average for average is absurd when you think that a 21/22 year old 1st rounder RB can prob. do things that a 28 year old average starting RB Grant CAN do. Absurd. Grant is/was garbage.

                            Who said the RB must be elite? Just better than Grant, no?

                            Plant? What are you saying?
                            Grant isn't garbage. He's average, same as most green as grass rookies will be coming out of the draft.

                            Besides, this team has bigger problems than at RB. I'd be seriously disappointed if they used their first round pick on one. A tackle, either right or left, would be a better investment with that pick. A CB or SS would likewise be better investments.

                            Grant can get the job done with adequate blocking. Therefore to upgrade at the position would require an elite back - one that can get the job done without adequate blocking. An average back can't do that. So if that's all your rookie is - average - then we don't get any better and a position of greater need suffers as a result of the wasted pick.
                            Chuck Norris doesn't cut his grass, he just stares at it and dares it to grow

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Originally posted by mmmdk
                              Excellent thread!

                              I voted for drafting a 1st round RB in 2010; you actually need 2 good backs and that guy might be better than Grant. I think Grant is OK and nice to have...but let's get a Felix Jones type of back without the injuries though.

                              Lots of NFL teams that emphasis the run draft high for RBs even with one guy already in the stable...now about that OL too....
                              But we already have two. Brandon Jackson is injured, but he showed flashes last season when healthy. He'll be back. Our RB stable is not so bare as some would make it seem.
                              Chuck Norris doesn't cut his grass, he just stares at it and dares it to grow

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