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  • Originally posted by HarveyWallbangers View Post
    Targets & Receptions

    Jennings
    115 targets
    72 receptions
    62.6%

    Jones
    86 targets
    49 receptions
    56.9%

    Driver
    77 targets
    46 receptions
    59.7%

    Nelson
    62 targets
    43 receptions
    69.4%
    I read an article earlier this season saying that even when the ball is thrown away that they have to credit a wr as the target. I don't take a lot away from this particular stat.
    Draft Brandin Cooks WR OSU!

    Comment


    • Originally posted by PaCkFan_n_MD View Post
      I read an article earlier this season saying that even when the ball is thrown away that they have to credit a wr as the target. I don't take a lot away from this particular stat.
      Where did you read that? I doubt that's the case. Even so, unless you think one WR is the target of more throwaway balls, then it probably evens out. Also, how often is a ball really thrown away? I actually think this is a great indicator, but you have to combine it with other stats (yards/completion, YAC, % of balls converted for first downs) and common sense (Jennings will get more attention from other teams than the other WRs, so he's going to get covered by the other team's best corner or doubled more often).
      "There's a lot of interest in the draft. It's great. But quite frankly, most of the people that are commenting on it don't know anything about what they are talking about."--Ted Thompson

      Comment


      • Originally posted by HarveyWallbangers View Post
        Where did you read that? I doubt that's the case. Even so, unless you think one WR is the target of more throwaway balls, then it probably evens out. Also, how often is a ball really thrown away? I actually think this is a great indicator, but you have to combine it with other stats (yards/completion, YAC, % of balls converted for first downs) and common sense (Jennings will get more attention from other teams than the other WRs, so he's going to get covered by the other team's best corner or doubled more often).
        I think I saw the NFC North ESPN blogger Kevin Seifert mention that in one of his stat rundowns.
        No longer the member of any fan clubs. I'm tired of jinxing players out of the league and into obscurity.

        Comment


        • Originally posted by Smidgeon View Post
          I think I saw the NFC North ESPN blogger Kevin Seifert mention that in one of his stat rundowns.
          Yes, I think that is correct. If I remember, unless its intentional grounding, closest eligible receiver gets the target label even if it was heaved out of the end zone.
          Bud Adams told me the franchise he admired the most was the Kansas City Chiefs. Then he asked for more hookers and blow.

          Comment


          • I also remember Jennings saying something similar earlier in the year. They asked him why his catches were down so much even though he had been targeted just as much as Finley and Driver (I think they all were target 33 or 34 times each at that time). He responded by saying that even though he has been "targeted" doesn't mean he had a chance to catch the ball. He even mentioned that a hail mary and a ball throw out of bounds counts as a target, but if the ball is not catchable is it really a target. The article was on packersnews months ago.
            Draft Brandin Cooks WR OSU!

            Comment


            • Don't buy it. Just don't see balls being thrown away often enough to make the stat irrelevant. I also can't see one guy having an abnormal amount of throwaways being charged as targets over others. They'd even out over the course of a season.
              "There's a lot of interest in the draft. It's great. But quite frankly, most of the people that are commenting on it don't know anything about what they are talking about."--Ted Thompson

              Comment


              • Originally posted by HarveyWallbangers View Post
                Don't buy it. Just don't see balls being thrown away often enough to make the stat irrelevant. I also can't see one guy having an abnormal amount of throwaways being charged as targets over others. They'd even out over the course of a season.
                I don't necessarily believe the throw aways do even out. Driver or Nelson who work the middle more often will be less often the "target" of a throwaway than Jennings who works deep, or Jones who seems to show up along the sideline more often.

                Comment


                • Still don't buy it. Do you have a link? It doesn't make sense that they'd give a target to a receiver on every pass (throwaways and spikes included). Now, I realize that some may be judgement calls on whether it's a throwaway or target, but I just can't see it. For what it's worth, target % excludes passes thrown away, not intended for a particular receiver, and spikes. Not sure why targets would be an different.

                  The following is a list of definitions of many of the concepts and statistics found throughout Advanced Football Analytics. Air Yards (AY)...


                  Target Percentage (Tgt%) – A receiver’s proportion of his team’s pass attempts targeted to him. Tgt% excludes passes thrown away, passes not intended for any particular receiver, and spikes.

                  Catch Rate (CR) – The proportion of passes targeted to a receiver that are caught.

                  Targets (Tgts) – The number of pass attempts directed at a particular receiver.
                  I also think these numbers match up with what I've seen on the season. There may be reasons for the percentages (e.g. Jennings is doubled, Driver was nicked up, etc.), but it seems like Jones was targeted a lot this season. He made big plays, but he had some negative plays too. He had drops. He had plays where he gave up on passes. He had plays where he wasn't on the same page as Rodgers. Of course, he made a lot of plays too, and overall had a solid year for a #3 receiver. He still drives me nuts with his inconsistency, and at this point I think he is what he is (decent #2, good #3 receiver).
                  "There's a lot of interest in the draft. It's great. But quite frankly, most of the people that are commenting on it don't know anything about what they are talking about."--Ted Thompson

                  Comment


                  • Originally posted by HarveyWallbangers View Post
                    Still don't buy it. Do you have a link? It doesn't make sense that they'd give a target to a receiver on every pass (throwaways and spikes included). Now, I realize that some may be judgement calls on whether it's a throwaway or target, but I just can't see it. For what it's worth, target % excludes passes thrown away, not intended for a particular receiver, and spikes. Not sure why targets would be an different.
                    Earlier this year in an article about Jennings, when his #s were way down, including his percentages caught, they reviewed all of his targeted pass incompletions and identified a bunch as throw-aways. It was in either the GBPG or the MJS after about the 4th or 5th game, or so.

                    Comment


                    • Turns out James Jones is still a fucking retard.
                      "You're all very smart, and I'm very dumb." - Partial

                      Comment


                      • How does one become "unretarded" anyway? Dimmy Dones needs some help.
                        "The Devine era is actually worse than you remember if you go back and look at it."

                        KYPack

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                        • He played bad today. No excuse for that drop.......but we need him esp. with Driver getting banged up at the end.
                          Draft Brandin Cooks WR OSU!

                          Comment


                          • Originally posted by PaCkFan_n_MD View Post
                            He played bad today. No excuse for that drop.......but we need him esp. with Driver getting banged up at the end.
                            DD got banged up? missed this. what happened?

                            Comment


                            • Originally posted by gbgary View Post
                              DD got banged up? missed this. what happened?
                              He was on the bench in pain after his last catch. Don't know what the matter was.
                              "Greatness is not an act... but a habit.Greatness is not an act... but a habit." -Greg Jennings

                              Comment


                              • Originally posted by HarveyWallbangers View Post
                                Still don't buy it. Do you have a link? It doesn't make sense that they'd give a target to a receiver on every pass (throwaways and spikes included). Now, I realize that some may be judgement calls on whether it's a throwaway or target, but I just can't see it. For what it's worth, target % excludes passes thrown away, not intended for a particular receiver, and spikes. Not sure why targets would be an different.

                                The following is a list of definitions of many of the concepts and statistics found throughout Advanced Football Analytics. Air Yards (AY)...




                                I also think these numbers match up with what I've seen on the season. There may be reasons for the percentages (e.g. Jennings is doubled, Driver was nicked up, etc.), but it seems like Jones was targeted a lot this season. He made big plays, but he had some negative plays too. He had drops. He had plays where he gave up on passes. He had plays where he wasn't on the same page as Rodgers. Of course, he made a lot of plays too, and overall had a solid year for a #3 receiver. He still drives me nuts with his inconsistency, and at this point I think he is what he is (decent #2, good #3 receiver).
                                There are multiple sources of numbers. The NFL's official numbers are from STATS Inc., but they are far from alone and they don't make it all public. So when GBPG or JSO/McGinn give you a number, its hard to know the source unless you have seen those numbers elsewhere. So STATs might give targets to every pass, other sites might not. NFLGSIS is the official record for the media.
                                Bud Adams told me the franchise he admired the most was the Kansas City Chiefs. Then he asked for more hookers and blow.

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