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Footballoutsiders is a stats site that pulls data and uses it as a way of ranking teams players etc.
Currently Packers have a 12.4% chance at the superbowl,
Interesting they list 49ers chances at only 1.1%. They give them the 2nd best odds of being a wildcard in the NFC. I guess they probably factor in that they would probably have to win at Seattle in the playoffs at some point to make it to the Super Bowl.
I can't run no more
With that lawless crowd
While the killers in high places
Say their prayers out loud
But they've summoned, they've summoned up
A thundercloud
They're going to hear from me - Leonard Cohen
Interesting they list 49ers chances at only 1.1%. They give them the 2nd best odds of being a wildcard in the NFC. I guess they probably factor in that they would probably have to win at Seattle in the playoffs at some point to make it to the Super Bowl.
Well this is clearly wrong. San Fran probably goes undefeated at home as well, and are likely to do better than Sea on the road. Apparently their formula is unable to balance a small sample size early in the season with some other metric, like one that accounts for team's performance over a longer span. San Fran played a crappy game at Seattle. Big deal. Give me those odds (90% chance of Seattle winning the West vs. 7% of SF winning division) and I could pay my three kids way through college in one bet.
Footballoutsiders is a stats site that pulls data and uses it as a way of ranking teams players etc.
Currently Packers have a 12.4% chance at the superbowl,
They listed the Super Bowl chances of 31 teams. Jacksonville now knows how Rodney Dangerfield felt.
By the way, the Vikings are listed as the 2nd most Likely team to have the #1 pick in the 2014 draft. Behind Jacksonville, of course.
I can't run no more
With that lawless crowd
While the killers in high places
Say their prayers out loud
But they've summoned, they've summoned up
A thundercloud
They're going to hear from me - Leonard Cohen
Looks a little different today. They still have the Pack at 68% but I'm betting it will look a little different after this week's in the books. The Packers will be on the outside looking in pretty quickly if they don't handle the Lions next weekend. They're going to have some stiff competition for a playoff spot.
If they can't overtake the Bears for the NFC North lead, I'm not even sure they make it in. The NFC West will probably put out a WC team and the NFC South is looking tough this year, with NO, Atlanta, and Carolina probably in the mix.
Funny thing is, I think the team is better than last year's. More well-rounded, with a better defense and an actual running game. But that doesn't guarantee anything.
When the going gets weird, the weird turn pro ~Hunter S.
I thought I heard last night on the game broadcast that no team that has started the season 1-3 has made the playoffs. Can that be right?
One time Lombardi was disgusted with the team in practice and told them they were going to have to start with the basics. He held up a ball and said: "This is a football." McGee immediately called out, "Stop, coach, you're going too fast," and that gave everyone a laugh. John Maxymuk, Packers By The Numbers
I guess you could safely say then that if we lose to the Lions we definitely have an uphill struggle.
One time Lombardi was disgusted with the team in practice and told them they were going to have to start with the basics. He held up a ball and said: "This is a football." McGee immediately called out, "Stop, coach, you're going too fast," and that gave everyone a laugh. John Maxymuk, Packers By The Numbers
I also feel the Lions are better than the Bears, even though the records don't reflect it yet. They might be the ones to contend with for the division if they don't self destruct. Their defense is better than Chicago's or Minnesota's and they have talent on offense.
The Bears O is probably better than late, but their D is very suspect. Lots of "experience" and they've faded late the last couple of years. Now Melton is done and Peanut is banged up.
Next Sunday is a huge game for the Pack - Lions @ Lambeau. I suspect that's why they backed Clay off last weekend -- they'll need all hands on deck.
When the going gets weird, the weird turn pro ~Hunter S.
It's happened plenty of times (1-3 making the playoffs). The Packers alone have done it twice in the last 10 years (in 2003 and 2004). In 2004 they started 1-4 and still made the playoffs.
"There's a lot of interest in the draft. It's great. But quite frankly, most of the people that are commenting on it don't know anything about what they are talking about."--Ted Thompson
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