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  • A little early but...

    Footballoutsiders is a stats site that pulls data and uses it as a way of ranking teams players etc.
    Currently Packers have a 12.4% chance at the superbowl,

    All tyrannies rule through fraud and force, but once the fraud is exposed they must rely exclusively on force.

    George Orwell

  • #2
    Interesting they list 49ers chances at only 1.1%. They give them the 2nd best odds of being a wildcard in the NFC. I guess they probably factor in that they would probably have to win at Seattle in the playoffs at some point to make it to the Super Bowl.
    I can't run no more
    With that lawless crowd
    While the killers in high places
    Say their prayers out loud
    But they've summoned, they've summoned up
    A thundercloud
    They're going to hear from me - Leonard Cohen

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    • #3
      Originally posted by Joemailman View Post
      Interesting they list 49ers chances at only 1.1%. They give them the 2nd best odds of being a wildcard in the NFC. I guess they probably factor in that they would probably have to win at Seattle in the playoffs at some point to make it to the Super Bowl.
      Well this is clearly wrong. San Fran probably goes undefeated at home as well, and are likely to do better than Sea on the road. Apparently their formula is unable to balance a small sample size early in the season with some other metric, like one that accounts for team's performance over a longer span. San Fran played a crappy game at Seattle. Big deal. Give me those odds (90% chance of Seattle winning the West vs. 7% of SF winning division) and I could pay my three kids way through college in one bet.

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      • #4
        Originally posted by Upnorth View Post
        Footballoutsiders is a stats site that pulls data and uses it as a way of ranking teams players etc.
        Currently Packers have a 12.4% chance at the superbowl,

        http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/playoffodds
        I had them at 12.647%, with five significant figures.
        "Never, never ever support a punk like mraynrand. Rather be as I am and feel real sympathy for his sickness." - Woodbuck

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        • #5
          They listed the Super Bowl chances of 31 teams. Jacksonville now knows how Rodney Dangerfield felt.

          By the way, the Vikings are listed as the 2nd most Likely team to have the #1 pick in the 2014 draft. Behind Jacksonville, of course.
          I can't run no more
          With that lawless crowd
          While the killers in high places
          Say their prayers out loud
          But they've summoned, they've summoned up
          A thundercloud
          They're going to hear from me - Leonard Cohen

          Comment


          • #6
            Originally posted by Joemailman View Post
            They listed the Super Bowl chances of 31 teams. Jacksonville now knows how Rodney Dangerfield felt.

            By the way, the Vikings are listed as the 2nd most Likely team to have the #1 pick in the 2014 draft. Behind Jacksonville, of course.
            Lets hop not. I have no desire to see Clowney go to the Vikings. Besides I can't see them finishing below Washington the way they are playing.
            2025 Ratpickers champion.

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            • #7
              Clowney should just sign with Jacksonville now.
              70% of the Earth is covered by water. The rest is covered by Al Harris.

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              • #8
                There were some reports of Jacksonville taking a QB instead. Don't really want the Vikings getting a good one of those either.
                2025 Ratpickers champion.

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                • #9
                  Looks a little different today. They still have the Pack at 68% but I'm betting it will look a little different after this week's in the books. The Packers will be on the outside looking in pretty quickly if they don't handle the Lions next weekend. They're going to have some stiff competition for a playoff spot.

                  If they can't overtake the Bears for the NFC North lead, I'm not even sure they make it in. The NFC West will probably put out a WC team and the NFC South is looking tough this year, with NO, Atlanta, and Carolina probably in the mix.

                  Funny thing is, I think the team is better than last year's. More well-rounded, with a better defense and an actual running game. But that doesn't guarantee anything.
                  When the going gets weird, the weird turn pro ~Hunter S.

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                  • #10
                    I thought I heard last night on the game broadcast that no team that has started the season 1-3 has made the playoffs. Can that be right?
                    One time Lombardi was disgusted with the team in practice and told them they were going to have to start with the basics. He held up a ball and said: "This is a football." McGee immediately called out, "Stop, coach, you're going too fast," and that gave everyone a laugh.
                    John Maxymuk, Packers By The Numbers

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                    • #11
                      Originally posted by Maxie the Taxi View Post
                      I thought I heard last night on the game broadcast that no team that has started the season 1-3 has made the playoffs. Can that be right?
                      1992 Chargers started 0-4 and made the playoffs.
                      When the going gets weird, the weird turn pro ~Hunter S.

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                      • #12
                        Originally posted by denverYooper View Post
                        1992 Chargers started 0-4 and made the playoffs.
                        I guess you could safely say then that if we lose to the Lions we definitely have an uphill struggle.
                        One time Lombardi was disgusted with the team in practice and told them they were going to have to start with the basics. He held up a ball and said: "This is a football." McGee immediately called out, "Stop, coach, you're going too fast," and that gave everyone a laugh.
                        John Maxymuk, Packers By The Numbers

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                        • #13
                          so you're telling me there's a chance? YEAAAAHHHHH

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                          • #14
                            I also feel the Lions are better than the Bears, even though the records don't reflect it yet. They might be the ones to contend with for the division if they don't self destruct. Their defense is better than Chicago's or Minnesota's and they have talent on offense.

                            The Bears O is probably better than late, but their D is very suspect. Lots of "experience" and they've faded late the last couple of years. Now Melton is done and Peanut is banged up.

                            Next Sunday is a huge game for the Pack - Lions @ Lambeau. I suspect that's why they backed Clay off last weekend -- they'll need all hands on deck.
                            When the going gets weird, the weird turn pro ~Hunter S.

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                            • #15
                              Originally posted by denverYooper View Post
                              1992 Chargers started 0-4 and made the playoffs.
                              It's happened plenty of times (1-3 making the playoffs). The Packers alone have done it twice in the last 10 years (in 2003 and 2004). In 2004 they started 1-4 and still made the playoffs.
                              "There's a lot of interest in the draft. It's great. But quite frankly, most of the people that are commenting on it don't know anything about what they are talking about."--Ted Thompson

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