2016 Draft

[woodbuck27]

The NFL All Pro team is the measuring stick.

Yup......and I'd add playoff experience.

How often does a player contribute to his teams overall success.

[pbmax]

Mockup of all the mocks, with percentages. Updated through today, with mocks from March 21 to April 17. So some of this data is a month old.

http://www.sbnation.com/nfl-mock-draft/2016/2/15/10899032/mock-nfl-draft-database-2016-tendencies-experts

1. Rams - Wentz, Lynch, Treadwell, Goff (in descending order of percentage, 10% threshold after first 3)

2. Browns - Goff, Wentz, Ramsey

3. Chargers - Ramsey, Tunsil, Buckner

4. Cowboys - Bosa, Ramsey, Jack

5. Jags - Jack, Ramsey, Bosa

6. Ravens - Buckner, Bosa, Stanley, Tunsil/Jack

7. 49ers - Goff, Buckner, Wentz, Lynch

8. Eagles - Elliot, Hargreaves, Stanley

9. Tampa - Hargreaves, Lawson, Buckner, Bosa

10. Giants - Stanley, Elliot, Hargreaves/Conklin

11. Bears - Floyd, Stanley, Lawson (literally everyone is listed for the Bears)

12. Saints - Rankins, Robinson, Lawson

13. Dolphins - Elliot, Jackson, Hargreaves, Lee/Apple, Alexander

14. Raiders - Apple, Ragland, Conklin

15. Tennessee - Tunsil, Conklin, Decker

16. Lions - Decker/Treadwell, Conklin (Other leads with over 20%)

[pbmax]

http://www.sbnation.com/nfl-mock-draft/2016/2/15/10899032/mock-nfl-draft-database-2016-tendencies-experts

17. Falcons - Lee, Lawson, Ragland, Floyd

18. Colts - Decker, Spence, Kelly, Conklin

19. Bills - Nkemdiche, Spence/Reed

20. Jets - Floyd, Lynch, Spence/Lee

21. Washington - Reed, Ragland/Billings, Robinson

22. Texans - Coleman, Doctson, Fuller, Treadwell

23. Vikings - Doctson, Treadwell, Fuller, Coleman

24. Bengals - Coleman, Doctson, Fuller

25. Steelers - Jackson, Alexander, Apple

26. Seahawks - Others (37%), Spriggs, Decker, Ifedi

27. Packers - Others (25%), Reed, Ragland, Billings

28. Chiefs - Others (37%), Jackson, Alexander, Apple

29. Cardinals - Others (38%), Kelly, Spence/Nkemdiche

30. Panthers - Others (25%), Ogbah, Spriggs, Dodd

31. Broncos - Others (27%), Lynch, Cook, Nkemdiche

Huh. No Patriots pick. Wonder what happened?

[pbmax]

Kiper at ESPN for the Packers: http://espn.go.com/blog/green-bay-pa...ft-for-packers

Here are his picks for the Packers:

First round (No. 27 overall): Kamalei Correa, OLB, Boise State

Second round (No. 57): Jerell Adams, TE, South Carolina

Third round (No. 88): Maurice Canady, CB, Virginia

[pbmax]

McShay: http://espn.go.com/blog/green-bay-pa...-packers-draft

Round 1 (No. 27 overall): Vernon Butler, DT, Louisiana Tech

Round 2 (No. 57): Nick Vannett, TE, Ohio State

Round 3 (No. 88): B.J. Goodson, ILB, Clemson


He has the TE even though this mock is post FA signing Cook.

[Carolina_Packer]

http://www.sbnation.com/nfl-mock-dra...encies-experts

Huh. No Patriots pick. Wonder what happened?

O2 Brute!

[Maxie the Taxi]

McShay: http://espn.go.com/blog/green-bay-pa...-packers-draft

Round 1 (No. 27 overall): Vernon Butler, DT, Louisiana Tech

Round 2 (No. 57): Nick Vannett, TE, Ohio State

Round 3 (No. 88): B.J. Goodson, ILB, Clemson


He has the TE even though this mock is post FA signing Cook.

McShay's picks are crazy, with the exception of Butler. Kiper's picks are shocking. Not even close IMO (even given the TT bizarro factor.)

[pbmax]

Does this represent the best path forward, or does it just demonstrate the desperate desire to improve a team short term?




Scott Kacsmar @FO_ScottKacsmar 14h14 hours ago
Give me the group on the left every time. @Cianaf

[pbmax]

Ian Rapoport @RapSheet 3m3 minutes ago
#Panthers GM Dave Gettleman: "I don't subscribe to the window theory. I don't subscribe to the one-player-away theory."

On releasing Josh Norman.

[pbmax]

Brian Burke @bburkeESPN 8m8 minutes ago
I'm often asked what is the NFL's equivalent of undervalued assets, a la high-OBA batters in Moneyball. Answer is *future* draft picks.

[pbmax]

“According to our most recent statistics that we drew on the first round, it’s less than 60 percent of those players that are starting,” Dimitroff said. “I think it may have come in at 56 percent. So point being it’s not an exact science, we know that. There are so many other things that are involved in it. The first step is finding out whether that player has the adept skills on the field, of course. Many other areas that we’re looking into to make sure they’re fits in the organization. [Do] they have the mental capacity, they have the character capacity, and the team element that a team is looking for? Again, you’d better have a plan for the guys who are a little bit wayward in their approach. That’s alway been a big discussion point as well.”

http://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2016/04/22/the-first-round-of-the-draft-remains-a-total-crapshoot/

[mraynrand]

Does this represent the best path forward, or does it just demonstrate the desperate desire to improve a team short term?




Scott Kacsmar @FO_ScottKacsmar 14h14 hours ago
Give me the group on the left every time. @Cianaf

Where is the 7-16 group? Isn't Ryan Leaf on the left side too?

I assume the point is to ask whether it's better to have a QB start right away or 'learn the ropes as a backup' and the answer is of course, it depends on the QB's abilities and the team's needs. There is no blanket 'right' answer.

[Guiness]

Where is the 7-16 group? Isn't Ryan Leaf on the left side too?

I assume the point is to ask whether it's better to have a QB start right away or 'learn the ropes as a backup' and the answer is of course, it depends on the QB's abilities and the team's needs. There is no blanket 'right' answer.

Ryan Leaf and Jamarcus Russel and Tim Couch and Akili Smith. That's some motherfucking cherry picking going on to create that list, it's worse than useless.

[Guiness]

Mockup of all the mocks, with percentages. Updated through today, with mocks from March 21 to April 17. So some of this data is a month old.

http://www.sbnation.com/nfl-mock-draft/2016/2/15/10899032/mock-nfl-draft-database-2016-tendencies-experts

1. Rams - Wentz, Lynch, Treadwell, Goff (in descending order of percentage, 10% threshold after first 3)

2. Browns - Goff, Wentz, Ramsey

3. Chargers - Ramsey, Tunsil, Buckner

4. Cowboys - Bosa, Ramsey, Jack

5. Jags - Jack, Ramsey, Bosa

6. Ravens - Buckner, Bosa, Stanley, Tunsil/Jack

7. 49ers - Goff, Buckner, Wentz, Lynch

I bet Lynch goes to the 49ers at 7. The Cowboys would be smart to take him, but they'd have work to do calming down Romo if they did that.

[Patler]

Where is the 7-16 group? Isn't Ryan Leaf on the left side too?

I assume the point is to ask whether it's better to have a QB start right away or 'learn the ropes as a backup' and the answer is of course, it depends on the QB's abilities and the team's needs. There is no blanket 'right' answer.

The lists are quite useless. Bart Starr never started as a rookie. He alternated starts his second season with Babe Parilli; but, since they played only a 12 game schedule in those years he makes neither of the lists.